2014 College Football – Week 7 – The Number of Teams is Not the Only Thing Messy About the Big XII

Another fun week passes with the Mississippi teams flexing their muscles in this SEC West gauntlet.  But much was talked about there – let’s look at the 2nd best conference in the country, the ten team Big XII.  After their big win against Oklahoma, one figured TCU – who was in our Final Four last week – would have an interesting time against Baylor in the back to back.  Indeed, it was interesting, as TCU allowed 28 points in the 4th to let it slip away.  Baylor, who had been strong against a soft slate gets one of the more significant bumps of the week.  This week more mayhem in the conference is on slate, with Kansas State-Oklahoma and TCU-Oklahoma State serving as de facto conference elimination games while Baylor goes to West Virginia for a very dangerous roadie (West Virginia is 4-2, but has played a lot better than that).

As far as the one-man playoff selection committee?

  • The final 4: Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Baylor and Notre Dame.  Last week we noted why more than 2 teams from a conference seems unlikely.  Given that, Baylor is a natural for the 3rd team.  The final spot comes down to Notre Dame v Michigan State v Florida State. Notre Dame has solidly the best resume of the three, although their game at Florida State this week will settle much.
  • Other automatic qualifiers:  Florida State from the ACC, Michigan State from the Big Ten, USC from the Pac 12 (highest ranked of seven one-loss teams), Marshall represents everybody else. This provides eight of the 12 spots.  The other four?  Going down the list, Alabama, Auburn, TCU, Georgia take the other slots.  I suspect a team like Oregon will rise higher as the season goes on, but we’re not there yet.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.
    • Sugar Bowl: Mississippi State v Notre Dame
    • Rose Bowl: Ole Miss v Baylor
    • Orange Bowl: Florida State v Auburn 
    • Cotton Bowl: Alabama v TCU 
    • Peach Bowl: Georgia v Marshall
    • Fiesta Bowl: Michigan State v USC

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Mississippi State 6 0 1 (1) 0.937 (5) 0.969
2 Ole Miss 6 0 0.981 (2) 0.956 (4) 0.969
3 Auburn 5 1 0.917 (4) 1 (1) 0.959
4 Alabama 5 1 0.882 (6) 0.981 (3) 0.932
5 Baylor 6 0 0.85 (7) 0.981 (2) 0.915
6 Notre Dame 6 0 0.937 (3) 0.77 (18) 0.854
7 Georgia 5 1 0.825 (9) 0.864 (6) 0.844
8 TCU 4 1 0.797 (10) 0.818 (11) 0.808
9 Michigan State 5 1 0.79 (14) 0.794 (14) 0.792
10 Florida State 6 0 0.91 (5) 0.664 (34) 0.787
11 Marshall 6 0 0.797 (11) 0.771 (17) 0.784
12 LSU 5 2 0.721 (25) 0.84 (7) 0.78
13 Oklahoma 5 1 0.85 (8) 0.71 (27) 0.78
14 Louisville 5 2 0.695 (29) 0.837 (8) 0.766
15 Texas A&M 5 2 0.763 (18) 0.759 (21) 0.761
16 Clemson 4 2 0.691 (30) 0.826 (10) 0.759
17 USC 4 2 0.74 (21) 0.768 (19) 0.754
18 Nebraska 5 1 0.764 (17) 0.736 (23) 0.75
19 Ohio State 4 1 0.665 (36) 0.83 (9) 0.748
20 Oregon 5 1 0.795 (12) 0.648 (35) 0.722
21 West Virginia 4 2 0.629 (41) 0.788 (15) 0.708
22 Stanford 4 2 0.626 (42) 0.775 (16) 0.701
23 Florida 3 2 0.674 (35) 0.723 (25) 0.698
24 Boise State 4 2 0.695 (28) 0.676 (30) 0.686
25 Arizona 5 1 0.785 (15) 0.581 (48) 0.683
26 Iowa 5 1 0.651 (37) 0.711 (26) 0.681
27 UCLA 4 2 0.69 (31) 0.667 (32) 0.678
28 Virginia Tech 4 2 0.587 (52) 0.767 (20) 0.677
29 Arkansas 3 3 0.543 (60) 0.81 (13) 0.676
30 Kansas State 4 1 0.678 (34) 0.669 (31) 0.674
31 Georgia Tech 5 1 0.733 (24) 0.608 (42) 0.67
32 Arizona State 4 1 0.733 (23) 0.598 (45) 0.666
33 Colorado State 5 1 0.766 (16) 0.56 (50) 0.663
34 Penn State 4 2 0.625 (43) 0.685 (29) 0.655
35 Boston College 4 2 0.568 (56) 0.741 (22) 0.655
36 Duke 5 1 0.744 (20) 0.554 (51) 0.649
37 Wisconsin 4 2 0.572 (55) 0.725 (24) 0.649
38 Miami-FL 4 3 0.602 (48) 0.693 (28) 0.647
39 Pittsburgh 3 3 0.469 (74) 0.812 (12) 0.641
40 East Carolina 5 1 0.749 (19) 0.528 (57) 0.639
41 Minnesota 5 1 0.791 (13) 0.482 (66) 0.637
42 Kentucky 5 1 0.735 (22) 0.529 (56) 0.632
43 Oregon State 4 1 0.721 (26) 0.516 (60) 0.618
44 Arkansas State 4 2 0.62 (45) 0.614 (40) 0.617
45 Rutgers 5 1 0.681 (33) 0.53 (55) 0.605
46 BYU 4 2 0.603 (47) 0.608 (43) 0.605
47 Oklahoma State 5 1 0.714 (27) 0.475 (72) 0.595
48 South Carolina 3 3 0.554 (57) 0.633 (36) 0.593
49 Tennessee 3 3 0.52 (66) 0.666 (33) 0.593
50 UAB 4 2 0.53 (64) 0.618 (38) 0.574
51 Virginia 4 2 0.54 (61) 0.603 (44) 0.571
52 California 4 2 0.644 (39) 0.495 (63) 0.57
53 Georgia Southern 5 2 0.585 (53) 0.548 (52) 0.566
54 Memphis 3 3 0.538 (62) 0.592 (46) 0.565
55 Washington 5 1 0.65 (38) 0.465 (73) 0.558
56 Northwestern 3 3 0.483 (72) 0.614 (39) 0.549
57 Utah State 4 2 0.644 (40) 0.451 (78) 0.548
58 Missouri 4 2 0.604 (46) 0.481 (69) 0.543
59 Temple 4 1 0.554 (59) 0.527 (58) 0.54
60 Utah 4 1 0.685 (32) 0.393 (88) 0.539
61 Maryland 4 2 0.592 (50) 0.481 (68) 0.537
62 Akron 4 2 0.554 (58) 0.514 (61) 0.534
63 UCF 3 2 0.584 (54) 0.458 (75) 0.521
64 NC State 4 3 0.519 (67) 0.517 (59) 0.518
65 Air Force 4 2 0.624 (44) 0.409 (86) 0.516
66 Texas 2 4 0.404 (86) 0.623 (37) 0.514
67 Michigan 3 4 0.398 (88) 0.609 (41) 0.504
68 MTSU 4 3 0.588 (51) 0.418 (83) 0.503
69 Navy 3 4 0.41 (83) 0.586 (47) 0.498
70 Louisiana Tech 3 3 0.531 (63) 0.454 (77) 0.492
71 Rice 3 3 0.524 (65) 0.457 (76) 0.49
72 South Alabama 3 2 0.478 (73) 0.483 (65) 0.481
73 Nevada 3 3 0.488 (71) 0.461 (74) 0.475
74 Northern Illinois 4 2 0.514 (68) 0.43 (80) 0.472
75 Washington State 2 5 0.371 (98) 0.569 (49) 0.47
76 Indiana 3 3 0.454 (77) 0.482 (67) 0.468
77 Western Kentucky 2 3 0.455 (75) 0.477 (70) 0.466
78 North Carolina 2 4 0.379 (95) 0.533 (54) 0.456
79 Central Michigan 4 3 0.496 (69) 0.415 (84) 0.455
80 Houston 3 3 0.392 (91) 0.507 (62) 0.449
81 Syracuse 2 4 0.399 (87) 0.493 (64) 0.446
82 Bowling Green 5 2 0.592 (49) 0.294 (106) 0.443
83 Colorado 2 4 0.342 (104) 0.54 (53) 0.441
84 Iowa State 2 4 0.384 (93) 0.476 (71) 0.43
85 Texas State 3 2 0.411 (82) 0.44 (79) 0.426
86 Fresno State 3 4 0.423 (81) 0.388 (90) 0.405
87 San Jose State 2 3 0.386 (92) 0.422 (82) 0.404
88 Illinois 3 4 0.392 (90) 0.413 (85) 0.403
89 Texas Tech 2 4 0.375 (96) 0.428 (81) 0.402
90 Western Michigan 3 3 0.405 (85) 0.385 (91) 0.395
91 LA-Monroe 3 3 0.454 (76) 0.331 (98) 0.393
92 Toledo 4 3 0.437 (79) 0.335 (97) 0.386
93 Cincinnati 2 3 0.356 (101) 0.403 (87) 0.38
94 San Diego State 3 3 0.444 (78) 0.309 (100) 0.376
95 Purdue 3 4 0.395 (89) 0.344 (95) 0.37
96 Old Dominion 3 4 0.407 (84) 0.305 (101) 0.356
97 FIU 3 4 0.315 (106) 0.392 (89) 0.353
98 Wyoming 3 3 0.494 (70) 0.211 (115) 0.352
99 UTEP 3 3 0.423 (80) 0.266 (110) 0.345
100 LA-Lafayette 2 3 0.38 (94) 0.302 (102) 0.341
101 UTSA 2 4 0.342 (105) 0.3 (104) 0.321
102 Hawaii 2 4 0.285 (110) 0.353 (94) 0.319
103 Buffalo 3 4 0.26 (113) 0.356 (93) 0.308
104 Tulane 2 4 0.291 (109) 0.318 (99) 0.304
105 Kansas 2 4 0.309 (107) 0.296 (105) 0.302
106 Ohio 3 4 0.368 (99) 0.218 (113) 0.293
107 New Mexico 2 4 0.279 (111) 0.284 (108) 0.282
108 Florida Atlantic 2 4 0.373 (97) 0.187 (120) 0.28
109 Tulsa 1 5 0.173 (119) 0.382 (92) 0.278
110 Southern Miss 2 4 0.361 (100) 0.145 (123) 0.253
111 New Mexico State 2 5 0.226 (116) 0.271 (109) 0.249
112 North Texas 2 4 0.26 (112) 0.204 (118) 0.232
113 Wake Forest 2 4 0.349 (103) 0.106 (126) 0.228
114 South Florida 2 4 0.238 (114) 0.202 (119) 0.22
115 Army 2 4 0.222 (117) 0.208 (116) 0.215
116 Miami-OH 1 6 0.122 (124) 0.301 (103) 0.212
117 Vanderbilt 2 5 0.292 (108) 0.108 (125) 0.2
118 Appalachian State 1 5 0.103 (126) 0.291 (107) 0.197
119 UNLV 2 5 0.233 (115) 0.141 (124) 0.187
120 Massachusetts 1 6 0.161 (122) 0.207 (117) 0.184
121 Eastern Michigan 2 4 0.354 (102) 0.008 (128) 0.181
122 Connecticut 1 5 0.133 (123) 0.211 (114) 0.172
123 Idaho 0 6 0 (129) 0.343 (96) 0.171
124 Georgia State 1 5 0.109 (125) 0.221 (112) 0.165
125 Troy 1 5 0.167 (120) 0.152 (121) 0.16
126 Ball State 1 5 0.053 (127) 0.265 (111) 0.159
127 SMU 0 5 0.167 (121) 0.07 (127) 0.119
128 Non FBS 8 91 0.191 (118) 0 (129) 0.096
129 Kent State 0 6 0.031 (128) 0.148 (122) 0.089

Maine – Kennebunk

While domesticated life with the peanut and the life partner has been the best thing that has ever happened in my life, the weeks and weekends do fly by.  It is easy to forget that as a couple we did have lives before, and the chance to steal a vacation came at a very, very good time.  The family vacation portion took us to Kennebunkport, Maine while we left the peanut with the grandparents to head to Acadia National Park.

Kennebunkport

There is no doubt Kennebunkport is picturesque.  When you go in the summertime, what you get is an idyll by the beach, with lots of rich houses and compounds (like the Bush’s, which more than one person randomly asked us about).  It is beautiful, picturesque and – clearly geared for tourism.  Indeed the town square did not just look like Classic New England, it looked like the Classic New England you would have expected Epcot Center to have captured.

The Clam Shack at Kennebunkport

The Clam Shack at Kennebunkport

Oh picturesque New England

Oh picturesque New England

You have the place to get fried clams and lobstah rolls, signs pointing to other tourist attractions in the area – clearly this is not built to be residential.  Put simply, it was cheesy, but fun.  As far as a couple of the famous tourist spots?

  • Rococo’s Ice Cream: Allegedly the #6 Ice Cream place in the country.  Certainly they try hard with the flavors and variety.  At the same time, just because the artisan flavor were cute doesn’t mean they were good.  No complaints about texture, but my Coffee-Bourbon was a bit boozy, and the Cardamom Chai Ice Cream had tea grounds in it, which was probably meant as a textural contrast but seemed rough.  The sample of Spicy, Smoky Blueberry was not tried by me, but the life partner found it repulsive.  This was a major disappointment.  The place next door which served Graeter’s was a welcome break.
  • The Clam Shack: By contrast, this lived up to the promise and the long lines.  Yeah, yeah, yeah this is touristy fluff.  But the whole belly clams were outstanding, as was the Lobster Roll (no skimping on meat, and not overdressed).  In fact, the Clam Cake, something which I was not familiar with – worked too, with good clam favor and a lack of filler – assuming applying a crab cake grading process is the right way to go.

Fortunately, a respite from the tourist trap is available up the highway in neighboring Kennebunk.  I read about a place to pick blueberries, but was expecting a marked area.  Instead, it was just preserved area off the road – the only reason we stopped was because we saw other people there.  The bounty was pretty phenomenal.  Blueberries were everywhere – and in the 30 minutes or so we took, we filled a couple of bottles with blueberries and could have filled a lot more.  Maine blueberries of course, are smaller and sweet – perfect for baking, as the muffins we had later proved.  It’s everywhere.  Do it.

2014 College Football – Week 6 – Letting #50 Glow in being #1

Okay, this was a fun week.  Many unbeaten teams fell, and the projections have been flipped upside down clearly.  However, before we dive into that, wow has Mississippi drawn the short stick in America for so long.  Some of it is well deserved, and some of it is just a result of horrific poverty and desperately bankrupt governance.  It is a long list of things which Mississippi is, if not outright #50, way down there.  (such as this, this and this)  While it is befitting of our noxious jock culture to celebrate the state’s two gigantic football wins as a salve for the other horrors that constitute the actual Mississippi experience – it would be dishonest to not report that I felt good.  Mississippi needed a reason to feel proud, however fleetingly.  College Gameday was in Oxford (even though Desmond Howard’s presence in the same Southern Dandy getup as the others was a notable error in “vintage authenticity”) and even Katy Perry made an appearance despite little knowledge of college or football (which gives her a lot in common with many of the TV commentators, but never mind).  The Lazy Magnolia deserved a shout.

As far as the one-man playoff selection committee?

  • The final 4: Auburn, Ole Miss, Notre Dame and TCU.  Mississippi State is higher than the other two, by a solid margin in fact.  However, it is hard to imagine all three of these teams getting to the final four – especially with Ole Miss and Mississippi State settling its differences in the future.  In any case, while the committee will have some freedom to select teams, I actually think selecting more than 2 teams from a conference (especially with qualified unbeatens out there) seems like a stretch.
  • Other automatic qualifiers:  Florida State from the ACC, Michigan State from the Big Ten, Arizona from the Pac 12, Marshall represents everybody else. This provides eight of the 12 spots.  The other four?  Going down the list, Alabama, Mississippi State, Oklahoma and Baylor provide some solid balance here.  Yeah the SEC and Big 12 are hogging the spots – but that’s what happens when every top Pac-12 team bit the dust last week.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.  Note we get a particularly juicy Cotton Bowl.  Nebraska in this projection goes to the Fiesta Bowl with its longtime Big XII old affiliation.  One expects Notre Dame to be able to carry the Atlanta game more.
    • Sugar Bowl: Auburn v TCU
    • Rose Bowl: Ole Miss v Notre Dame
    • Orange Bowl: Florida State v Alabama 
    • Cotton Bowl: Mississippi State v Oklahoma 
    • Peach Bowl: Michigan State v Marshall
    • Fiesta Bowl: Arizona v Baylor

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Auburn 5 0 0.999 (2) 0.964 (2) 0.981
2 Ole Miss 5 0 1 (1) 0.92 (3) 0.96
3 Alabama 4 1 0.862 (10) 1 (1) 0.931
4 Mississippi State 5 0 0.941 (3) 0.866 (4) 0.904
5 Notre Dame 5 0 0.933 (4) 0.797 (9) 0.865
6 TCU 4 0 0.925 (6) 0.755 (12) 0.84
7 Oklahoma 4 1 0.855 (11) 0.813 (6) 0.834
8 Baylor 5 0 0.818 (15) 0.847 (5) 0.833
9 Texas A&M 5 1 0.872 (9) 0.691 (24) 0.782
10 Louisville 5 1 0.783 (17) 0.78 (10) 0.782
11 Florida State 5 0 0.915 (7) 0.64 (32) 0.777
12 Michigan State 4 1 0.765 (21) 0.759 (11) 0.762
13 Florida 3 1 0.827 (13) 0.693 (23) 0.76
14 UCLA 4 1 0.847 (12) 0.65 (29) 0.749
15 Marshall 5 0 0.782 (18) 0.706 (20) 0.744
16 Ohio State 4 1 0.728 (28) 0.753 (13) 0.741
17 Arizona 5 0 0.929 (5) 0.552 (49) 0.741
18 Nebraska 5 1 0.789 (16) 0.689 (26) 0.739
19 Georgia Tech 5 0 0.901 (8) 0.569 (45) 0.735
20 LSU 4 2 0.651 (42) 0.807 (7) 0.729
21 Georgia 4 1 0.746 (24) 0.703 (22) 0.725
22 Arkansas 3 2 0.665 (38) 0.75 (15) 0.707
23 Oregon 4 1 0.769 (20) 0.635 (33) 0.702
24 West Virginia 3 2 0.592 (54) 0.805 (8) 0.698
25 Boise State 4 2 0.731 (27) 0.659 (27) 0.695
26 Clemson 3 2 0.631 (47) 0.752 (14) 0.691
27 USC 3 2 0.633 (46) 0.737 (18) 0.685
28 Memphis 3 2 0.751 (22) 0.607 (40) 0.679
29 Arizona State 4 1 0.746 (25) 0.594 (41) 0.67
30 Stanford 3 2 0.59 (56) 0.744 (16) 0.667
31 Minnesota 4 1 0.772 (19) 0.558 (47) 0.665
32 California 4 1 0.826 (14) 0.496 (64) 0.661
33 Penn State 4 1 0.689 (35) 0.626 (34) 0.658
34 Virginia Tech 4 2 0.592 (55) 0.718 (19) 0.655
35 Kansas State 4 1 0.684 (36) 0.621 (36) 0.652
36 East Carolina 4 1 0.751 (23) 0.549 (51) 0.65
37 BYU 4 1 0.664 (40) 0.625 (35) 0.644
38 Colorado State 4 1 0.719 (31) 0.547 (52) 0.633
39 Missouri 4 1 0.715 (32) 0.55 (50) 0.633
40 Miami-FL 3 3 0.57 (59) 0.689 (25) 0.63
41 Iowa 4 1 0.602 (52) 0.644 (31) 0.623
42 Wisconsin 3 2 0.538 (66) 0.703 (21) 0.621
43 Pittsburgh 3 3 0.485 (75) 0.742 (17) 0.613
44 Kentucky 4 1 0.719 (30) 0.508 (60) 0.613
45 Rutgers 5 1 0.701 (34) 0.513 (58) 0.607
46 Virginia 4 2 0.6 (53) 0.593 (42) 0.596
47 NC State 4 2 0.637 (44) 0.546 (53) 0.592
48 Oregon State 4 1 0.677 (37) 0.497 (62) 0.587
49 Northern Illinois 4 1 0.709 (33) 0.463 (76) 0.586
50 Northwestern 3 2 0.558 (63) 0.609 (39) 0.584
51 Air Force 4 1 0.745 (26) 0.42 (86) 0.583
52 South Carolina 3 3 0.549 (64) 0.614 (38) 0.581
53 Georgia Southern 4 2 0.637 (45) 0.525 (55) 0.581
54 Oklahoma State 4 1 0.663 (41) 0.494 (66) 0.579
55 Utah 4 1 0.724 (29) 0.418 (87) 0.571
56 Tennessee 2 3 0.492 (74) 0.65 (30) 0.571
57 Duke 4 1 0.643 (43) 0.482 (69) 0.563
58 Maryland 4 2 0.615 (51) 0.491 (68) 0.553
59 Boston College 3 2 0.451 (82) 0.651 (28) 0.551
60 Arkansas State 3 2 0.573 (57) 0.525 (56) 0.549
61 UAB 3 2 0.528 (67) 0.568 (46) 0.548
62 Akron 3 2 0.571 (58) 0.521 (57) 0.546
63 MTSU 4 2 0.665 (39) 0.421 (85) 0.543
64 Nevada 3 2 0.623 (50) 0.462 (77) 0.542
65 Louisiana Tech 3 3 0.567 (60) 0.477 (70) 0.522
66 Temple 3 1 0.547 (65) 0.495 (65) 0.521
67 Utah State 3 2 0.627 (48) 0.407 (89) 0.517
68 Washington 4 1 0.563 (62) 0.471 (74) 0.517
69 Indiana 3 2 0.524 (69) 0.506 (61) 0.515
70 Texas 2 3 0.455 (81) 0.574 (44) 0.514
71 South Alabama 3 2 0.525 (68) 0.497 (63) 0.511
72 Navy 2 4 0.429 (88) 0.581 (43) 0.505
73 Washington State 2 4 0.431 (86) 0.552 (48) 0.491
74 Syracuse 2 3 0.439 (85) 0.526 (54) 0.482
75 UCF 2 2 0.522 (70) 0.441 (80) 0.481
76 Michigan 2 4 0.337 (104) 0.618 (37) 0.478
77 Rice 2 3 0.478 (76) 0.469 (75) 0.474
78 Western Kentucky 2 3 0.472 (77) 0.471 (73) 0.472
79 Fresno State 3 3 0.501 (72) 0.422 (84) 0.462
80 Wyoming 3 2 0.626 (49) 0.283 (110) 0.455
81 Toledo 4 2 0.509 (71) 0.399 (91) 0.454
82 Bowling Green 4 2 0.564 (61) 0.343 (102) 0.453
83 Cincinnati 2 2 0.44 (84) 0.428 (83) 0.434
84 Texas State 3 2 0.429 (87) 0.439 (82) 0.434
85 San Jose State 2 3 0.416 (91) 0.448 (79) 0.432
86 North Carolina 2 3 0.369 (100) 0.493 (67) 0.431
87 Texas Tech 2 3 0.462 (80) 0.395 (92) 0.428
88 Colorado 2 4 0.341 (103) 0.512 (59) 0.427
89 LA-Monroe 3 2 0.495 (73) 0.334 (103) 0.415
90 Old Dominion 3 3 0.467 (79) 0.349 (99) 0.408
91 Iowa State 1 4 0.336 (106) 0.475 (71) 0.405
92 Illinois 3 3 0.425 (90) 0.382 (94) 0.403
93 Central Michigan 3 3 0.441 (83) 0.361 (97) 0.401
94 Western Michigan 2 3 0.383 (95) 0.406 (90) 0.395
95 FIU 3 3 0.374 (97) 0.409 (88) 0.392
96 LA-Lafayette 2 3 0.409 (93) 0.362 (96) 0.386
97 Purdue 3 3 0.426 (89) 0.334 (104) 0.38
98 Buffalo 3 3 0.305 (112) 0.449 (78) 0.377
99 Houston 2 3 0.243 (114) 0.473 (72) 0.358
100 Ohio 3 3 0.472 (78) 0.232 (118) 0.352
101 New Mexico 2 3 0.373 (99) 0.304 (106) 0.338
102 UTEP 2 3 0.407 (94) 0.269 (113) 0.338
103 Florida Atlantic 2 4 0.413 (92) 0.244 (116) 0.329
104 New Mexico State 2 4 0.307 (111) 0.344 (101) 0.325
105 UTSA 1 4 0.315 (109) 0.333 (105) 0.324
106 Appalachian State 1 4 0.185 (120) 0.441 (81) 0.313
107 San Diego State 2 3 0.326 (107) 0.297 (109) 0.312
108 Kansas 2 3 0.341 (102) 0.27 (112) 0.305
109 Southern Miss 2 4 0.38 (96) 0.225 (119) 0.303
110 Tulsa 1 4 0.215 (117) 0.378 (95) 0.296
111 Army 2 3 0.336 (105) 0.256 (114) 0.296
112 Tulane 1 4 0.229 (115) 0.351 (98) 0.29
113 North Texas 2 3 0.343 (101) 0.219 (121) 0.281
114 Wake Forest 2 4 0.373 (98) 0.177 (126) 0.275
115 South Florida 2 3 0.312 (110) 0.22 (120) 0.266
116 Hawaii 1 4 0.181 (121) 0.345 (100) 0.263
117 Vanderbilt 1 5 0.245 (113) 0.211 (123) 0.228
118 Connecticut 1 4 0.199 (118) 0.255 (115) 0.227
119 Georgia State 1 4 0.147 (125) 0.302 (107) 0.224
120 Miami-OH 1 5 0.147 (123) 0.301 (108) 0.224
121 Ball State 1 4 0.135 (126) 0.277 (111) 0.206
122 SMU 0 5 0.196 (119) 0.21 (124) 0.203
123 Idaho 0 5 0 (129) 0.387 (93) 0.193
124 Kent State 0 5 0.147 (124) 0.237 (117) 0.192
125 UNLV 1 5 0.172 (122) 0.187 (125) 0.179
126 Eastern Michigan 1 4 0.316 (108) 0 (129) 0.158
127 Non FBS 7 88 0.221 (116) 0.08 (128) 0.15
128 Massachusetts 0 6 0.067 (128) 0.215 (122) 0.141
129 Troy 0 5 0.07 (127) 0.149 (127) 0.109

How to Fix the Sprint Cup Chase (for Real) – Pretend Wild Card Series Week 3

Continuing the smart way to run the Wild Card thing.

  1. Jeff Gordon (565)
  2. Brad Keselowski (544)
  3. Joey Logano (516)
  4. Dale Earnhardt Jr (492)
  5. Kevin Harvick (487)
  6. Jimmie Johnson (471)
  7. Matt Kenseth (423)
  8. Kyle Larson (362)
  9. Kyle Busch (344)
  10. Denny Hamlin (319)
  11. Carl Edwards (318)
  12. Clint Bowyer (286)
  13. Kasey Kahne (283)
  14. Ryan Newman (280)
  15. Kurt Busch (264)
  16. Greg Biffle (244)
  17. Aric Almirola (196)
  18. AJ Allmendinger (154)

The (this year) chase for the wild card spots?

  1. Jamie McMurray (39)
  2. Martin Truex Jr (34)
  3. Brian Vickers (18)
  4. Austin Dillon (15)
  5. Paul Menard (11)
  6. Tony Stewart (10)

Anyway, I have no doubt this will not be implemented – and more ad hoc changes will come as TV ratings dwindle.  Fortunately, I don’t care.

2014 College Football – Week 5 – Starting to Catch Up

One of the maxims I have maintained about this exercise is that each week’s rankings are not a future indicator – but a summary of what we know about the season up to now.  Florida State’s schedule, for instance – had a combined one win against FBS opposition.  However, with a true road win at NC State combined with Clemson, Oklahoma State and even Yale defeating Army, Florida State’s profile made a quantum leap.  Nebraska’s win over Miami-FL looks better now, and the sheer destruction wrought by Michigan State combined with the Oregon loss not being at all bad, and their standing is enhanced.  West Virginia, a 2-2 team has actually played really well – and these rankings reflect that.  After all, speculation about which teams have “tough roads” ahead are well informed perhaps, but not backed by results.  Each week we learn more about the teams – as well as about what their resumes are really.

Anyway, with 5 weeks in the hopper, and our 2nd week of true standings, some of the big boys are starting to catch up.  And this week looks to be particularly massive at the top of the table

  1. THURSDAY: (23) Arizona at (11) Oregon
  2. (31) Miami-FL at (27) Georgia Tech
  3. (13) Texas A&M at (4) Mississippi State
  4. (18) Florida at (37) Tennessee
  5. (1) Alabama at (3) Ole Miss
  6. (5) Oklahoma at (16) TCU
  7. (26) Stanford at (7) Notre Dame
  8. (8) LSU at (2) Auburn
  9. (46) Arizona State at (12) USC
  10. (14) Nebraska at (21) Michigan State
  11. (68) Utah at (6) UCLA

As far as the one-man playoff selection?

  • The final 4: Alabama, Auburn, Oklahoma and UCLA still get the top 4 spots.  While UCLA is slightly behind the other two SEC teams, its conference kingpin status elevates them into the Top 4.  This gives you an Alabama-UCLA Sugar Bowl and Auburn-Oklahoma Rose Bowl.
  • The other Big 5 champs (we use losses in conference as first tiebreaker, and rating as the second) are Florida State for the ACC and Nebraska for the Big Ten.  East Carolina is the current “best of the rest” at #25.
  • This speaks for seven of the 12 spots.  That leaves Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Notre Dame, Baylor and BYU as the reamining bids.  LSU is ranked above BYU, but it is a small margin – small enough that the undefeated record would probably seduce a selection committee for now.  Based on the Orange Bowl contract, Florida State plays the highest ranked of SEC/Big Ten/ND, so that puts Ole Miss in play.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.  Note we get a particularly juicy Cotton Bowl.  Nebraska in this projection goes to the Fiesta Bowl with its longtime Big XII old affiliation.  One expects Notre Dame to be able to carry the Atlanta game more.
    • Sugar Bowl: Alabama v UCLA
    • Rose Bowl: Auburn v Oklahoma
    • Orange Bowl: Florida State v Ole Miss
    • Cotton Bowl: Mississippi State v Baylor
    • Peach Bowl: Notre Dame v East Carolina
    • Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska v BYU

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Alabama 4 0 0.96 (2) 1 (1) 0.98
2 Auburn 4 0 0.926 (3) 0.848 (7) 0.887
3 Ole Miss 4 0 0.843 (13) 0.921 (3) 0.882
4 Mississippi State 4 0 0.856 (10) 0.866 (6) 0.861
5 Oklahoma 4 0 0.895 (4) 0.79 (11) 0.842
6 UCLA 4 0 1 (1) 0.659 (31) 0.829
7 Notre Dame 4 0 0.851 (11) 0.767 (16) 0.809
8 LSU 4 1 0.641 (33) 0.963 (2) 0.802
9 Baylor 4 0 0.725 (17) 0.874 (5) 0.8
10 BYU 4 0 0.863 (9) 0.736 (22) 0.799
11 Oregon 4 0 0.873 (6) 0.699 (24) 0.786
12 USC 3 1 0.758 (16) 0.81 (8) 0.784
13 Texas A&M 5 0 0.872 (7) 0.694 (26) 0.783
14 Nebraska 5 0 0.849 (12) 0.66 (29) 0.754
15 Florida State 4 0 0.893 (5) 0.6 (43) 0.747
16 TCU 3 0 0.791 (15) 0.695 (25) 0.743
17 Louisville 4 1 0.678 (25) 0.798 (10) 0.738
18 Florida 2 1 0.686 (24) 0.776 (15) 0.731
19 Georgia 3 1 0.708 (22) 0.74 (21) 0.724
20 West Virginia 2 2 0.567 (52) 0.88 (4) 0.724
21 Michigan State 3 1 0.659 (28) 0.777 (14) 0.718
22 Arkansas 3 2 0.622 (36) 0.788 (12) 0.705
23 Arizona 4 0 0.871 (8) 0.528 (58) 0.7
24 Wisconsin 3 1 0.571 (50) 0.806 (9) 0.689
25 East Carolina 3 1 0.718 (18) 0.652 (34) 0.685
26 Stanford 3 1 0.582 (48) 0.783 (13) 0.682
27 Georgia Tech 4 0 0.799 (14) 0.559 (52) 0.679
28 Marshall 4 0 0.714 (20) 0.637 (35) 0.676
29 Ohio State 3 1 0.593 (45) 0.747 (18) 0.67
30 NC State 4 1 0.655 (30) 0.657 (33) 0.656
31 Miami-FL 3 2 0.563 (54) 0.741 (20) 0.652
32 Minnesota 4 1 0.693 (23) 0.583 (45) 0.638
33 Boise State 3 2 0.578 (49) 0.69 (27) 0.634
34 Northern Illinois 3 1 0.674 (26) 0.571 (46) 0.623
35 Virginia Tech 3 2 0.483 (71) 0.762 (17) 0.623
36 Penn State 4 1 0.617 (37) 0.616 (39) 0.616
37 Tennessee 2 2 0.521 (63) 0.703 (23) 0.612
38 Kansas State 3 1 0.609 (39) 0.612 (41) 0.611
39 Iowa 4 1 0.548 (59) 0.661 (28) 0.604
40 Missouri 4 1 0.648 (32) 0.556 (54) 0.602
41 Pittsburgh 3 2 0.459 (74) 0.742 (19) 0.601
42 Colorado State 3 1 0.657 (29) 0.539 (55) 0.598
43 Memphis 2 2 0.589 (47) 0.603 (42) 0.596
44 California 3 1 0.712 (21) 0.478 (73) 0.595
45 South Carolina 3 2 0.568 (51) 0.62 (38) 0.594
46 Arizona State 3 1 0.608 (40) 0.566 (48) 0.587
47 Nevada 3 1 0.717 (19) 0.449 (80) 0.583
48 Maryland 4 1 0.666 (27) 0.496 (66) 0.581
49 Kentucky 3 1 0.601 (44) 0.561 (50) 0.581
50 Georgia Southern 3 2 0.561 (55) 0.599 (44) 0.58
51 Rutgers 4 1 0.628 (34) 0.524 (59) 0.576
52 Oregon State 3 1 0.627 (35) 0.52 (60) 0.574
53 Clemson 2 2 0.511 (65) 0.623 (37) 0.567
54 Texas 2 2 0.566 (53) 0.561 (51) 0.563
55 Duke 4 1 0.603 (42) 0.507 (63) 0.555
56 Oklahoma State 3 1 0.61 (38) 0.499 (65) 0.555
57 Virginia 3 2 0.536 (60) 0.565 (49) 0.55
58 Boston College 3 2 0.438 (79) 0.659 (30) 0.549
59 MTSU 3 2 0.602 (43) 0.491 (68) 0.547
60 Washington 4 1 0.56 (56) 0.503 (64) 0.532
61 Air Force 3 1 0.653 (31) 0.409 (90) 0.531
62 Akron 2 2 0.493 (69) 0.559 (53) 0.526
63 Navy 2 3 0.422 (86) 0.628 (36) 0.525
64 Washington State 2 3 0.434 (82) 0.614 (40) 0.524
65 Western Kentucky 2 2 0.59 (46) 0.447 (82) 0.519
66 Cincinnati 2 1 0.534 (61) 0.475 (74) 0.504
67 Temple 3 1 0.504 (67) 0.496 (67) 0.5
68 Utah 3 1 0.531 (62) 0.453 (78) 0.492
69 Illinois 3 2 0.551 (58) 0.423 (86) 0.487
70 Northwestern 2 2 0.437 (81) 0.534 (56) 0.485
71 LA-Monroe 3 1 0.558 (57) 0.407 (91) 0.482
72 Syracuse 2 2 0.429 (84) 0.519 (61) 0.474
73 Indiana 2 2 0.454 (75) 0.491 (69) 0.472
74 Michigan 2 3 0.283 (108) 0.658 (32) 0.471
75 Arkansas State 2 2 0.451 (76) 0.48 (72) 0.465
76 Wyoming 3 2 0.605 (41) 0.317 (107) 0.461
77 Rice 1 3 0.429 (85) 0.488 (70) 0.459
78 Texas Tech 2 2 0.481 (72) 0.429 (85) 0.455
79 UAB 2 2 0.327 (101) 0.568 (47) 0.447
80 Texas State 2 2 0.408 (88) 0.485 (71) 0.446
81 Louisiana Tech 2 3 0.487 (70) 0.394 (92) 0.441
82 North Carolina 2 2 0.416 (87) 0.465 (76) 0.44
83 Old Dominion 3 2 0.496 (68) 0.382 (93) 0.439
84 Colorado 2 3 0.36 (94) 0.517 (62) 0.439
85 South Alabama 2 2 0.445 (77) 0.431 (84) 0.438
86 Fresno State 2 3 0.437 (80) 0.421 (89) 0.429
87 Iowa State 1 3 0.314 (104) 0.534 (57) 0.424
88 Bowling Green 3 2 0.513 (64) 0.335 (100) 0.424
89 Western Michigan 2 2 0.433 (83) 0.376 (95) 0.404
90 Florida Atlantic 2 3 0.51 (66) 0.296 (111) 0.403
91 Houston 2 2 0.342 (97) 0.458 (77) 0.4
92 UTSA 1 3 0.444 (78) 0.354 (99) 0.399
93 UCF 1 2 0.316 (103) 0.453 (79) 0.385
94 UTEP 2 2 0.4 (89) 0.368 (97) 0.384
95 Ohio 3 2 0.469 (73) 0.293 (113) 0.381
96 San Jose State 1 3 0.334 (99) 0.422 (87) 0.378
97 Toledo 3 2 0.371 (92) 0.378 (94) 0.375
98 Buffalo 3 2 0.285 (107) 0.448 (81) 0.367
99 Utah State 2 2 0.385 (90) 0.328 (103) 0.357
100 FIU 2 3 0.272 (110) 0.422 (88) 0.347
101 Appalachian State 1 3 0.21 (116) 0.472 (75) 0.341
102 New Mexico State 2 3 0.332 (100) 0.324 (104) 0.328
103 San Diego State 2 2 0.358 (95) 0.295 (112) 0.327
104 Tulsa 1 3 0.219 (113) 0.434 (83) 0.326
105 Kansas 2 2 0.341 (98) 0.282 (115) 0.311
106 LA-Lafayette 1 3 0.28 (109) 0.335 (101) 0.308
107 Central Michigan 2 3 0.344 (96) 0.268 (117) 0.306
108 South Florida 2 3 0.318 (102) 0.286 (114) 0.302
109 Southern Miss 2 3 0.385 (91) 0.195 (124) 0.29
110 Purdue 2 3 0.237 (112) 0.323 (105) 0.28
111 Tulane 1 4 0.197 (118) 0.36 (98) 0.278
112 Hawaii 1 3 0.179 (121) 0.375 (96) 0.277
113 New Mexico 1 3 0.239 (111) 0.296 (110) 0.268
114 North Texas 2 2 0.362 (93) 0.144 (126) 0.253
115 Wake Forest 2 3 0.301 (106) 0.198 (123) 0.249
116 Connecticut 1 4 0.201 (117) 0.281 (116) 0.241
117 Ball State 1 3 0.146 (124) 0.32 (106) 0.233
118 Georgia State 1 3 0.149 (123) 0.315 (108) 0.232
119 Army 1 3 0.214 (115) 0.231 (119) 0.222
120 Vanderbilt 1 4 0.217 (114) 0.211 (121) 0.214
121 UNLV 1 4 0.189 (120) 0.219 (120) 0.204
122 SMU 0 4 0.153 (122) 0.247 (118) 0.2
123 Miami-OH 0 5 0.07 (127) 0.307 (109) 0.189
124 Idaho 0 4 0 (129) 0.328 (102) 0.164
125 Eastern Michigan 1 3 0.301 (105) 0 (129) 0.15
126 Massachusetts 0 5 0.075 (126) 0.21 (122) 0.143
127 Non FBS 7 88 0.191 (119) 0.09 (128) 0.141
128 Kent State 0 4 0.114 (125) 0.132 (127) 0.123
129 Troy 0 5 0.056 (128) 0.169 (125) 0.112

How to Fix the Sprint Cup Chase (for Real) – Pretend Wild Card Series Week 2

Last week I discussed using the PGA Tour as a way forward when understanding how to fix the Sprint Cup Chase.  So how would the scenario play after Chase Week 2?

As noted last week, in my framework the regular season decided the Top 16 spots plus any remaining winners.  These are the top 18 grid spots, but the season keeps going to figure out where these guys will end up at Miami.  To that end, the standings in the Top 18.

 

  1. Jeff Gordon (525)
  2. Brad Keselowski (511)
  3. Dale Earnhardt Jr (492)
  4. Joey Logano (491)
  5. Kevin Harvick (475)
  6. Jimmie Johnson (443)
  7. Matt Kenseth (401)
  8. Kyle Larson (382)
  9. Kyle Busch (332)
  10. Denny Hamlin (310)
  11. Carl Edwards (308)
  12. Kasey Kahne (282)
  13. Clint Bowyer (272)
  14. Ryan Newman (264)
  15. Kurt Busch (261)
  16. Greg Biffle (244)
  17. Aric Almirola (196)
  18. AJ Allmendinger (154)

The (this year) chase for the wild card spots?

  1. Jamie McMurray (39)
  2. Martin Truex Jr (16)
  3. Austin Dillon (14)
  4. Brian Vickers (12)
  5. Paul Menard (6)
  6. Ricky Stenhouse Jr (4)
  7. Danica Patrick (4)

Anyway, I have no doubt this will not be implemented – and more ad hoc changes will come as TV ratings dwindle.  Fortunately, I don’t care.

2014 College Football – Week 4 – Fully Official

As a preamble, the recent business in the NFL creates a lot of questions about exactly what people ask from football – and the role football plays in creating many of these circumstances.  Obviously there is some nature vs nurture – football does not spawn wife beaters per se, although given the head injuries and the need, the demand from fans for this nth degree level of machismo and ferocity, that the programming spills over into real life is not a surprise.  We see it with soldiers returning home, and fans after upsets.  Louisa Thomas in particular covers this well.  I could note other things on how the football culture fosters much of what is not so savory about culture generally, but that’s another show.  I still like the games, but I am also sick.

For my heart, the most satisfying of the matches was Georgia Tech’s unlikely victory over Virginia Tech.  Now, (putting on my college football fan hat here) Paul Johnson has been more or less totally unjustly maligned over his 6+ seasons at the helm – and with a new AD, calling his position “embattled” seems fair.  I know fans who certainly are ready to move on – although their reasons seem specious, and the nostalgia for previous eras of football a bit misplaced.  Calvin Johnson, hero of Georgia Tech football and my own fantasy league, was great at Georgia Tech, but also played in a deadly boring offense – the equivalent of a using McDonald’s fried for your moules frites.  The program is immeasurably better now – and as a football fan it is fun to watch the flexbone offense.  What the first four games this season has shown is how important a good quarterback is (duh).  Last year’s quarterback Vad Lee had more throwing talent (though from his numbers you would not notice it) but he was a raised pocket passer who could not run the option.  What Justin Thomas had brought to the table is the best skillset since Josh Nesbitt.  I am not predicting a 10 win season, but there is no reason not to be happy.  Now the game itself was a comedy of errors – but Thomas pounced on the opportunities and helmed a stirring comeback, not the usual terrain for an option team.

With Cincinnati getting its second win, now all of the teams have 2 games played, so a real SoS metric can be derived. As such, the rankings are clean. Obviously, results now have huge marginal impacts – that is how the #2 team last week can drop to #20.  Not only did Florida lose at Alabama, but Eastern Michigan got demolished by Michigan State which punctured the Gators’ schedule ratings.  At the same time. last week’s #5 (LSU) only dropped to #9 by losing to a good team and their best win (Wisconsin) looking better and better.  So how does this show in the bowl projections?

  • The final 4: Alabama, Auburn, Oklahoma and UCLA get the top 4 spots.  While UCLA is slightly behind the other two SEC teams, its conference kingpin status elevates them into the Top 4.  This gives you an Alabama-UCLA Sugar Bowl and Auburn-Oklahoma Rose Bowl.
  • The other Big 5 champs (we use losses in conference as first tiebreaker, and rating as the second) are NC State for the ACC and Penn State for the Big Ten.  East Carolina is the current “best of the rest” at #21.
  • This speaks for seven of the 12 spots.  That leaves Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Notre Dame, Baylor and BYU as the reamining bids.  LSU is ranked above BYU, but it is a small margin – small enough that the undefeated record would probably seduce a selection committee for now.  Based on the Orange Bowl contract, NC State plays the highest ranked of SEC/Big Ten/ND, so that puts Mississippi State in play.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.  Note we get a particularly juicy Cotton Bowl, and if you are into things like Crusades and Jihads, it is quite the Fiesta Bowl.
    • Sugar Bowl: Alabama v UCLA
    • Rose Bowl: Auburn v Oklahoma
    • Orange Bowl: NC State v Mississippi State
    • Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss v Baylor
    • Peach Bowl: Penn State v East Carolina
    • Fiesta Bowl: Notre Dame v BYU

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Alabama 4 0 0.978 (2) 1 (1) 0.989
2 Auburn 3 0 0.971 (3) 0.932 (4) 0.951
3 Oklahoma 4 0 0.923 (4) 0.881 (9) 0.902
4 Mississippi State 4 0 0.912 (5) 0.873 (11) 0.893
5 Ole Miss 3 0 0.831 (9) 0.913 (5) 0.872
6 UCLA 3 0 1 (1) 0.736 (32) 0.868
7 Notre Dame 3 0 0.864 (7) 0.805 (17) 0.835
8 Baylor 3 0 0.66 (32) 0.992 (2) 0.826
9 LSU 3 1 0.649 (36) 0.984 (3) 0.817
10 BYU 4 0 0.859 (8) 0.747 (29) 0.803
11 TCU 2 0 0.775 (16) 0.823 (15) 0.799
12 NC State 4 0 0.795 (14) 0.8 (18) 0.797
13 Arkansas 3 1 0.797 (13) 0.794 (19) 0.796
14 Oregon 4 0 0.812 (10) 0.762 (23) 0.787
15 USC 2 1 0.682 (27) 0.876 (10) 0.779
16 Penn State 4 0 0.806 (12) 0.752 (27) 0.779
17 Texas A&M 4 0 0.811 (11) 0.728 (34) 0.769
18 West Virginia 2 2 0.589 (47) 0.91 (6) 0.749
19 Arizona 4 0 0.881 (6) 0.591 (54) 0.736
20 Florida 2 1 0.676 (29) 0.794 (20) 0.735
21 East Carolina 3 1 0.749 (20) 0.697 (37) 0.723
22 Louisville 3 1 0.618 (40) 0.817 (16) 0.718
23 Georgia 2 1 0.591 (45) 0.841 (14) 0.716
24 Pittsburgh 3 1 0.529 (62) 0.9 (7) 0.714
25 Tennessee 2 1 0.672 (30) 0.753 (25) 0.713
26 Boise State 3 1 0.669 (31) 0.733 (33) 0.701
27 South Carolina 3 1 0.65 (34) 0.75 (28) 0.7
28 Georgia Tech 4 0 0.778 (15) 0.598 (52) 0.688
29 Marshall 4 0 0.701 (25) 0.673 (39) 0.687
30 Nebraska 4 0 0.774 (17) 0.595 (53) 0.684
31 Florida State 3 0 0.768 (18) 0.599 (51) 0.683
32 Arizona State 3 0 0.751 (19) 0.61 (46) 0.681
33 Memphis 2 1 0.612 (42) 0.743 (31) 0.677
34 Oregon State 3 0 0.694 (26) 0.636 (42) 0.665
35 Wisconsin 2 1 0.486 (67) 0.844 (13) 0.665
36 Duke 4 0 0.709 (24) 0.601 (50) 0.655
37 Boston College 3 1 0.538 (59) 0.761 (24) 0.649
38 Michigan State 2 1 0.542 (56) 0.743 (30) 0.643
39 Cincinnati 2 0 0.73 (23) 0.552 (60) 0.641
40 Utah 3 0 0.746 (21) 0.532 (67) 0.639
41 Michigan 2 2 0.374 (92) 0.882 (8) 0.628
42 Washington 4 0 0.74 (22) 0.514 (75) 0.627
43 Stanford 2 1 0.389 (87) 0.849 (12) 0.619
44 Navy 2 2 0.47 (71) 0.763 (22) 0.616
45 Northern Illinois 3 1 0.653 (33) 0.577 (57) 0.615
46 Minnesota 3 1 0.633 (38) 0.578 (56) 0.605
47 Virginia Tech 2 2 0.452 (74) 0.752 (26) 0.602
48 Georgia Southern 2 2 0.588 (48) 0.614 (44) 0.601
49 Ohio State 2 1 0.434 (80) 0.768 (21) 0.601
50 California 2 1 0.65 (35) 0.523 (71) 0.586
51 Kansas State 2 1 0.578 (50) 0.586 (55) 0.582
52 Rutgers 3 1 0.616 (41) 0.533 (66) 0.575
53 Miami-FL 2 2 0.43 (81) 0.716 (35) 0.573
54 Missouri 3 1 0.52 (64) 0.621 (43) 0.57
55 Maryland 3 1 0.62 (39) 0.52 (72) 0.57
56 Virginia 2 2 0.493 (66) 0.646 (40) 0.569
57 Indiana 2 1 0.568 (52) 0.567 (59) 0.567
58 Oklahoma State 2 1 0.526 (63) 0.602 (49) 0.564
59 Iowa 3 1 0.449 (75) 0.677 (38) 0.563
60 Illinois 3 1 0.586 (49) 0.527 (69) 0.556
61 LA-Monroe 2 1 0.552 (54) 0.547 (63) 0.549
62 Colorado State 2 1 0.601 (43) 0.495 (80) 0.548
63 Nevada 2 1 0.589 (46) 0.502 (78) 0.546
64 Kentucky 2 1 0.544 (55) 0.545 (65) 0.545
65 Syracuse 2 1 0.475 (70) 0.608 (48) 0.541
66 UAB 2 1 0.552 (53) 0.526 (70) 0.539
67 Old Dominion 3 1 0.647 (37) 0.414 (101) 0.531
68 Clemson 1 2 0.339 (97) 0.698 (36) 0.518
69 Wyoming 3 1 0.68 (28) 0.356 (111) 0.518
70 Air Force 2 1 0.574 (51) 0.458 (88) 0.516
71 UTSA 1 2 0.517 (65) 0.512 (76) 0.514
72 Texas Tech 2 1 0.594 (44) 0.432 (95) 0.513
73 UTEP 2 1 0.538 (58) 0.48 (84) 0.509
74 Texas 1 2 0.403 (86) 0.611 (45) 0.507
75 MTSU 2 2 0.454 (73) 0.546 (64) 0.5
76 North Carolina 2 1 0.538 (60) 0.46 (87) 0.499
77 Temple 2 1 0.437 (78) 0.55 (61) 0.494
78 Western Michigan 2 1 0.478 (69) 0.495 (81) 0.487
79 Arkansas State 2 2 0.449 (76) 0.514 (74) 0.481
80 Colorado 2 2 0.411 (82) 0.519 (73) 0.465
81 Louisiana Tech 2 2 0.484 (68) 0.443 (91) 0.464
82 Kansas 2 1 0.537 (61) 0.375 (109) 0.456
83 Rice 0 3 0.227 (117) 0.645 (41) 0.436
84 Texas State 1 2 0.259 (112) 0.609 (47) 0.434
85 Akron 1 2 0.317 (100) 0.55 (62) 0.434
86 New Mexico 1 2 0.388 (88) 0.479 (85) 0.434
87 UCF 1 2 0.325 (99) 0.53 (68) 0.427
88 Washington State 1 3 0.271 (110) 0.574 (58) 0.423
89 Western Kentucky 1 2 0.351 (94) 0.483 (83) 0.417
90 San Jose State 1 2 0.458 (72) 0.376 (108) 0.417
91 Houston 2 2 0.35 (95) 0.476 (86) 0.413
92 Appalachian State 1 2 0.299 (105) 0.506 (77) 0.402
93 New Mexico State 2 2 0.379 (90) 0.424 (97) 0.402
94 Utah State 2 2 0.411 (83) 0.386 (104) 0.398
95 South Alabama 1 2 0.381 (89) 0.406 (103) 0.393
96 Bowling Green 2 2 0.406 (85) 0.38 (106) 0.393
97 Southern Miss 2 2 0.539 (57) 0.242 (122) 0.391
98 Central Michigan 2 2 0.446 (77) 0.318 (114) 0.382
99 Iowa State 1 2 0.329 (98) 0.429 (96) 0.379
100 Purdue 2 2 0.308 (102) 0.438 (92) 0.373
101 Toledo 2 2 0.306 (103) 0.438 (93) 0.372
102 Ohio 2 2 0.41 (84) 0.315 (116) 0.362
103 Buffalo 2 2 0.233 (115) 0.485 (82) 0.359
104 Fresno State 1 3 0.297 (107) 0.421 (98) 0.359
105 Florida Atlantic 1 3 0.437 (79) 0.274 (118) 0.355
106 Tulsa 1 2 0.374 (91) 0.327 (112) 0.351
107 Hawaii 1 3 0.229 (116) 0.458 (89) 0.343
108 San Diego State 1 2 0.298 (106) 0.377 (107) 0.338
109 Tulane 1 3 0.225 (118) 0.45 (90) 0.337
110 LA-Lafayette 1 3 0.301 (104) 0.369 (110) 0.335
111 South Florida 2 2 0.348 (96) 0.317 (115) 0.332
112 Army 1 2 0.257 (114) 0.382 (105) 0.32
113 FIU 1 3 0.135 (125) 0.5 (79) 0.317
114 Northwestern 1 2 0.193 (120) 0.437 (94) 0.315
115 Georgia State 1 3 0.152 (122) 0.415 (99) 0.283
116 Miami-OH 0 4 0.154 (121) 0.41 (102) 0.282
117 Wake Forest 2 2 0.366 (93) 0.18 (124) 0.273
118 Connecticut 1 3 0.276 (109) 0.261 (119) 0.268
119 Vanderbilt 1 3 0.267 (111) 0.249 (121) 0.258
120 UNLV 1 3 0.258 (113) 0.214 (123) 0.236
121 Ball State 1 3 0.14 (124) 0.322 (113) 0.231
122 North Texas 2 2 0.31 (101) 0.138 (126) 0.224
123 Idaho 0 3 0.027 (128) 0.414 (100) 0.22
124 Massachusetts 0 4 0.149 (123) 0.251 (120) 0.2
125 SMU 0 3 0.092 (127) 0.303 (117) 0.198
126 Non FBS 6 87 0.202 (119) 0.114 (127) 0.158
127 Eastern Michigan 1 3 0.288 (108) 0 (129) 0.144
128 Troy 0 4 0.094 (126) 0.14 (125) 0.117
129 Kent State 0 3 0 (129) 0.034 (128) 0.017