2014 College Football – Week 8 – Cannibalism

It is very possible that the four best teams in the country reside in the two states west of Georgia.  Certainly Alabama’s evisceration of Texas A&M (yes, I know – they aren’t that good) improved their quality measures a lot.  In terms offense and defense, Alabama has been very strong.  That said, they are behind in the conference race, and that has to take some precedent.  Now, the selection committee’s criteria is super-fuzzy, but I have to think that conference supremacy matters.  As such, the Mississippi schools still lead the charge here.

Of course, this is obvious stuff.  What is interesting though is that, while the SEC West and the Big XII have taken turns beating themselves up, (the Pac-12 too) the ACC and Big Ten suddenly have some opportunities to sneak into one of the Final Four spots.  In fact, once Florida State dispatched Notre Dame in the clear Game of the Year to date, the Big Ten suddenly had something to brag about.

As far as the one-man playoff selection committee?

  • The final 4: Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Michigan State and Florida State.  The two SEC teams are obvious here.  As for why the #5 and #10 teams on the list get the nod?  The committee is expected to weigh conference supremacy some, so I will too.  That is certainly part of it.  But it is also worth looking at the ranking scores, not just the ordinal ranks.  Once we get out of the top 4, you basically have 10 teams separate by 5 percent.  This is not a large gap, and with the limited datasets you have to make some leaps.  I take Michigan State as the Big Ten leader and highest rated non SEC team, and Florida State by virtue of leading its conference, still being unbeaten and a head to head result over #9.  If you wanted to choose TCU or Baylor or even Ohio State, you would not be crazy.
  • Other automatic qualifiers:  TCU from the Big 12, USC from the Pac 12, Marshall from “everybody else”.  With Florida State in the national semifinals, the Orange Bowl by fiat takes Clemson, the next highest ranked ACC team.  The opponent is the highest rated SEC, Big Ten or Notre Dame opponent so hooray for Alabama.
  • This leaves just three more spots.  Here Auburns get in with monstrous strength ratings.  Baylor and Georgia get the other two slots.  This leaves us with a Cotton Bowl which might take 5 hours to play.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.
    • Sugar Bowl: Ole Miss v Florida State
    • Rose Bowl: Mississippi State v Michigan State
    • Orange Bowl: Clemson v Alabama
    • Cotton Bowl: Baylor v Auburn  
    • Peach Bowl: Georgia v Marshall
    • Fiesta Bowl: TCU v USC

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Alabama 6 1 0.883 (5) 1 (1) 0.941
2 Ole Miss 7 0 0.984 (2) 0.89 (3) 0.937
3 Mississippi State 6 0 1 (1) 0.832 (4) 0.916
4 Auburn 5 1 0.923 (3) 0.891 (2) 0.907
5 Michigan State 6 1 0.769 (12) 0.79 (8) 0.779
6 TCU 5 1 0.776 (11) 0.776 (10) 0.776
7 Georgia 6 1 0.815 (7) 0.736 (13) 0.776
8 Baylor 6 1 0.732 (17) 0.819 (5) 0.775
9 Notre Dame 6 1 0.843 (6) 0.687 (16) 0.765
10 Florida State 7 0 0.916 (4) 0.585 (34) 0.75
11 LSU 6 2 0.695 (25) 0.79 (7) 0.743
12 Ohio State 5 1 0.685 (29) 0.799 (6) 0.742
13 Clemson 5 2 0.736 (16) 0.742 (11) 0.739
14 Marshall 7 0 0.777 (9) 0.683 (18) 0.73
15 Nebraska 6 1 0.768 (13) 0.685 (17) 0.726
16 West Virginia 5 2 0.643 (31) 0.784 (9) 0.714
17 Louisville 6 2 0.692 (28) 0.726 (14) 0.709
18 Oregon 6 1 0.776 (10) 0.631 (27) 0.704
19 Oklahoma 5 2 0.696 (24) 0.661 (21) 0.679
20 USC 5 2 0.694 (26) 0.655 (22) 0.674
21 Boise State 5 2 0.693 (27) 0.654 (23) 0.674
22 Arizona State 5 1 0.716 (18) 0.591 (31) 0.653
23 UCLA 5 2 0.713 (20) 0.589 (32) 0.651
24 Kansas State 5 1 0.716 (19) 0.581 (35) 0.648
25 Arizona 5 1 0.749 (15) 0.533 (44) 0.641
26 Colorado State 6 1 0.757 (14) 0.521 (46) 0.639
27 Texas A&M 5 3 0.678 (30) 0.586 (33) 0.632
28 Minnesota 6 1 0.79 (8) 0.434 (65) 0.612
29 Duke 6 1 0.7 (23) 0.505 (49) 0.603
30 East Carolina 5 1 0.7 (22) 0.503 (52) 0.602
31 Virginia Tech 4 3 0.511 (52) 0.669 (19) 0.59
32 Wisconsin 4 2 0.514 (51) 0.664 (20) 0.589
33 Arkansas 3 4 0.439 (68) 0.738 (12) 0.589
34 Pittsburgh 4 3 0.462 (63) 0.71 (15) 0.586
35 Penn State 4 2 0.566 (40) 0.606 (29) 0.586
36 Miami-FL 4 3 0.539 (46) 0.626 (28) 0.583
37 Florida 3 3 0.51 (54) 0.653 (24) 0.582
38 Iowa 5 2 0.555 (43) 0.6 (30) 0.578
39 Stanford 4 3 0.501 (56) 0.639 (25) 0.57
40 Georgia Tech 5 2 0.617 (34) 0.512 (47) 0.565
41 Arkansas State 4 2 0.563 (41) 0.546 (40) 0.554
42 Boston College 4 3 0.465 (62) 0.634 (26) 0.549
43 Maryland 5 2 0.605 (36) 0.482 (57) 0.543
44 Utah 5 1 0.704 (21) 0.377 (87) 0.54
45 Kentucky 5 2 0.625 (32) 0.456 (61) 0.54
46 Memphis 3 3 0.51 (55) 0.569 (36) 0.539
47 Rutgers 5 2 0.591 (37) 0.457 (60) 0.524
48 Georgia Southern 5 2 0.542 (45) 0.504 (50) 0.523
49 Virginia 4 3 0.461 (64) 0.557 (38) 0.509
50 Missouri 5 2 0.624 (33) 0.389 (80) 0.507
51 South Carolina 4 3 0.499 (57) 0.511 (48) 0.505
52 BYU 4 3 0.472 (61) 0.53 (45) 0.501
53 Oklahoma State 5 2 0.611 (35) 0.389 (81) 0.5
54 Oregon State 4 2 0.536 (47) 0.461 (59) 0.498
55 Air Force 5 2 0.581 (38) 0.406 (73) 0.494
56 Nevada 4 3 0.534 (48) 0.449 (62) 0.492
57 MTSU 5 3 0.574 (39) 0.408 (72) 0.491
58 Tennessee 3 4 0.437 (69) 0.54 (43) 0.489
59 UCF 4 2 0.557 (42) 0.412 (71) 0.485
60 UAB 4 3 0.417 (76) 0.544 (42) 0.48
61 NC State 4 4 0.446 (65) 0.501 (53) 0.473
62 Houston 4 3 0.379 (82) 0.559 (37) 0.469
63 California 4 3 0.516 (50) 0.421 (67) 0.468
64 Louisiana Tech 4 3 0.511 (53) 0.42 (68) 0.465
65 Washington 5 2 0.553 (44) 0.376 (88) 0.465
66 South Alabama 4 2 0.476 (59) 0.446 (63) 0.461
67 Northwestern 3 4 0.371 (84) 0.549 (39) 0.46
68 San Jose State 3 3 0.474 (60) 0.437 (64) 0.456
69 Utah State 4 3 0.52 (49) 0.391 (77) 0.456
70 North Carolina 3 4 0.402 (78) 0.493 (54) 0.448
71 Michigan 3 4 0.348 (91) 0.546 (41) 0.447
72 Northern Illinois 5 2 0.478 (58) 0.401 (76) 0.439
73 Akron 4 3 0.426 (72) 0.432 (66) 0.429
74 Texas 3 4 0.353 (90) 0.504 (51) 0.429
75 Rice 3 3 0.443 (67) 0.402 (75) 0.423
76 LA-Lafayette 3 3 0.422 (74) 0.417 (69) 0.42
77 Western Michigan 4 3 0.443 (66) 0.39 (79) 0.417
78 Temple 4 2 0.425 (73) 0.404 (74) 0.414
79 Syracuse 3 4 0.406 (77) 0.416 (70) 0.411
80 Navy 3 4 0.329 (94) 0.492 (55) 0.411
81 Cincinnati 3 3 0.421 (75) 0.391 (78) 0.406
82 Washington State 2 5 0.303 (97) 0.491 (56) 0.397
83 San Diego State 4 3 0.429 (70) 0.343 (92) 0.386
84 Colorado 2 5 0.271 (101) 0.477 (58) 0.374
85 Texas Tech 3 4 0.366 (86) 0.379 (86) 0.373
86 Central Michigan 4 4 0.336 (92) 0.388 (82) 0.362
87 Toledo 4 3 0.388 (80) 0.334 (94) 0.361
88 Indiana 3 4 0.353 (89) 0.352 (91) 0.353
89 Fresno State 3 5 0.361 (88) 0.34 (93) 0.351
90 Bowling Green 5 3 0.429 (71) 0.272 (107) 0.35
91 LA-Monroe 3 3 0.379 (81) 0.315 (99) 0.347
92 Western Kentucky 2 4 0.301 (98) 0.382 (85) 0.341
93 Iowa State 2 5 0.272 (100) 0.384 (84) 0.328
94 Illinois 3 4 0.296 (99) 0.358 (90) 0.327
95 Purdue 3 5 0.317 (96) 0.331 (95) 0.324
96 Ohio 4 4 0.371 (83) 0.248 (111) 0.31
97 FIU 3 5 0.228 (105) 0.386 (83) 0.307
98 Southern Miss 3 4 0.39 (79) 0.218 (117) 0.304
99 UTEP 3 3 0.369 (85) 0.238 (113) 0.303
100 Old Dominion 3 4 0.33 (93) 0.276 (105) 0.303
101 Florida Atlantic 3 4 0.362 (87) 0.234 (115) 0.298
102 Texas State 3 3 0.247 (104) 0.326 (96) 0.287
103 UTSA 2 5 0.26 (103) 0.306 (101) 0.283
104 Wyoming 3 4 0.328 (95) 0.2 (120) 0.264
105 South Florida 3 4 0.262 (102) 0.235 (114) 0.249
106 Appalachian State 2 5 0.153 (114) 0.315 (98) 0.234
107 Tulane 2 5 0.168 (111) 0.297 (102) 0.232
108 Buffalo 3 4 0.153 (113) 0.307 (100) 0.23
109 New Mexico 2 5 0.195 (108) 0.255 (108) 0.225
110 Kansas 2 5 0.193 (109) 0.239 (112) 0.216
111 Hawaii 2 5 0.141 (115) 0.278 (104) 0.209
112 Ball State 2 5 0.115 (117) 0.273 (106) 0.194
113 Massachusetts 2 6 0.125 (116) 0.252 (110) 0.188
114 Idaho 1 6 0 (129) 0.373 (89) 0.187
115 UNLV 2 5 0.182 (110) 0.165 (121) 0.174
116 Tulsa 1 6 0.041 (122) 0.29 (103) 0.165
117 Miami-OH 1 7 0.014 (127) 0.316 (97) 0.165
118 New Mexico State 2 6 0.103 (120) 0.222 (116) 0.163
119 Wake Forest 2 5 0.205 (107) 0.111 (125) 0.158
120 Vanderbilt 2 5 0.206 (106) 0.094 (126) 0.15
121 Georgia State 1 6 0.014 (126) 0.252 (109) 0.133
122 North Texas 2 5 0.107 (119) 0.153 (123) 0.13
123 Kent State 1 6 0.036 (124) 0.212 (118) 0.124
124 Connecticut 1 5 0.03 (125) 0.206 (119) 0.118
125 Army 2 5 0.072 (121) 0.154 (122) 0.113
126 Eastern Michigan 2 5 0.168 (112) 0.01 (128) 0.089
127 Troy 1 6 0.005 (128) 0.125 (124) 0.065
128 Non FBS 8 92 0.108 (118) 0.013 (127) 0.06
129 SMU 0 6 0.04 (123) 0 (129) 0.02

Top 5 offenses by Net DSR:
1. Oregon
2. Georgia Tech
3. Auburn
4. Ohio State
5. Alabama

Top 5 defenses by Net DSR
1. Clemson
2. Alabama
3. Louisville
4. Virginia Tech
5. Stanford

The Act of Killing

Am I supposed to laugh during a film about a bunch of right wing mass murderers?  Of course, The Act of Killing was co-produced by Errol Morris and Werner Herzog, so the answer might be yes.  Of course, I was also terrified, disgusted, stunned and ultimately moved by this story too – what I do not normally expect from a documentary about this sort of material is just frankly, how entertaining this film is.  Much of this entertainment is supplied by the gangsters themselves – killers working on behalf of the anti-Communist purge in Indonesia in 1965-1966, one of the guys surmised that he personally killed about 1,000 people.  These guys are legends in Indonesian circles, feted by the government and more or less bulletproof in their society.  We see this as one of them, Safit Pardede, makes his rounds collecting protection money from Chinese merchants, while demanding a smile as it is done so.  Imagine a Goodfellas where not only does Paulie Cicero get away with it, but he is a guest of Barack Obama, and you start to get the idea.

Of course, being heroes, who wouldn’t jump at director Joshua Oppenheimer’s offer to help make and star in a movie about their exploits?  As one of the gangsters notes, they got a lot of their stylistic ideas from old Hollywood movies anyway.  They know a popular entertainment when they see one.  And so we get an amazing collision between a first person account of unspeakable terror along with a sort of “let’s make a movie” romp.  Oppenheimer does not use narration, and is only heard off screen asking some fairly basic questions – so we are at sea.  The tone is not being spoon fed to us, but we are invited to experience this.  The movie scenes themselves are a combination of torture scenes ripped out of American action movies, interspersed with these startlingly weird fantasy sequences.  One unforgettable image is a fantasy sequence taking place outside of a fish restaurant (and by “fish restaurant” I don’t mean a restaurant that serves fish – they might be vegan for all I know).  For this, Hernan Koto, one of the old gangster’s friends dresses up in the female role – making him a sort of Indonesian Divine (his wardrobe choices throughout are spectacular), and against the backdrop of Indonesia and the bright colors I was half expecting Bollywood backup dancers to materialize.

The making of the film serves are the core of the documentary, and what we get are these sorts of bizarre movie scenes juxtaposed with some truly terrifying moments where the real horror of what happened in Indonesia surfaces.  One occurs early on, when a scene is staged as they look to cast “terrified onlookers” and the screaming and crying sound all too real.  Another occurs later, when a Chinese merchant lobbies for his side of the story to be told – and the story he tells of his family being destroyed is tragic, underlined by his need to point out “I am not criticizing your behavior”.  The need for many to equivocate runs rampant.

A lot of these guys did monstrous things, but they are fellow human beings – and the redeeming possibility is that there is some humanity.  Certainly as the film evolves, we learn that Anwar Congo has been having bad dreams and visions about what he has done.  One of his fellow killers – Adi Zulkadry – is ruthless when he berates one of the former newspaper workers who claims he did not know what the gangsters did.  Indeed as the film moves on, it starts to be about these two men to me – and how the atrocities they committed live in their souls.  Congo’s effects are obvious (and especially true in the stunning climax), but Zulkadry’s is also.  He has moved on, compartmentalized the incident, but clearly he is not blind – and his anger when someone wants to float the narrative about what happened is telling.

That said, like all good movies, there are other angles.  It is obviously about Indonesia today, as well as how a society can live with a lie (US knows a lot about that).  It can also be read as comic, in the movie depictions as well as the bizarre need for these people who have gotten away with so much to flaunt it.  But most of all to me it comes back to Congo and Zulkadry – and how time and the gravity of what they did have started to catch up with them.  Human beings did this to other human beings, and when Congo realizes it at the end, it is somewhat vindicating.  It isn’t bringing the dead back, but it’s something.

 

2014 College Football – Week 7 – The Number of Teams is Not the Only Thing Messy About the Big XII

Another fun week passes with the Mississippi teams flexing their muscles in this SEC West gauntlet.  But much was talked about there – let’s look at the 2nd best conference in the country, the ten team Big XII.  After their big win against Oklahoma, one figured TCU – who was in our Final Four last week – would have an interesting time against Baylor in the back to back.  Indeed, it was interesting, as TCU allowed 28 points in the 4th to let it slip away.  Baylor, who had been strong against a soft slate gets one of the more significant bumps of the week.  This week more mayhem in the conference is on slate, with Kansas State-Oklahoma and TCU-Oklahoma State serving as de facto conference elimination games while Baylor goes to West Virginia for a very dangerous roadie (West Virginia is 4-2, but has played a lot better than that).

As far as the one-man playoff selection committee?

  • The final 4: Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Baylor and Notre Dame.  Last week we noted why more than 2 teams from a conference seems unlikely.  Given that, Baylor is a natural for the 3rd team.  The final spot comes down to Notre Dame v Michigan State v Florida State. Notre Dame has solidly the best resume of the three, although their game at Florida State this week will settle much.
  • Other automatic qualifiers:  Florida State from the ACC, Michigan State from the Big Ten, USC from the Pac 12 (highest ranked of seven one-loss teams), Marshall represents everybody else. This provides eight of the 12 spots.  The other four?  Going down the list, Alabama, Auburn, TCU, Georgia take the other slots.  I suspect a team like Oregon will rise higher as the season goes on, but we’re not there yet.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.
    • Sugar Bowl: Mississippi State v Notre Dame
    • Rose Bowl: Ole Miss v Baylor
    • Orange Bowl: Florida State v Auburn 
    • Cotton Bowl: Alabama v TCU 
    • Peach Bowl: Georgia v Marshall
    • Fiesta Bowl: Michigan State v USC

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Mississippi State 6 0 1 (1) 0.937 (5) 0.969
2 Ole Miss 6 0 0.981 (2) 0.956 (4) 0.969
3 Auburn 5 1 0.917 (4) 1 (1) 0.959
4 Alabama 5 1 0.882 (6) 0.981 (3) 0.932
5 Baylor 6 0 0.85 (7) 0.981 (2) 0.915
6 Notre Dame 6 0 0.937 (3) 0.77 (18) 0.854
7 Georgia 5 1 0.825 (9) 0.864 (6) 0.844
8 TCU 4 1 0.797 (10) 0.818 (11) 0.808
9 Michigan State 5 1 0.79 (14) 0.794 (14) 0.792
10 Florida State 6 0 0.91 (5) 0.664 (34) 0.787
11 Marshall 6 0 0.797 (11) 0.771 (17) 0.784
12 LSU 5 2 0.721 (25) 0.84 (7) 0.78
13 Oklahoma 5 1 0.85 (8) 0.71 (27) 0.78
14 Louisville 5 2 0.695 (29) 0.837 (8) 0.766
15 Texas A&M 5 2 0.763 (18) 0.759 (21) 0.761
16 Clemson 4 2 0.691 (30) 0.826 (10) 0.759
17 USC 4 2 0.74 (21) 0.768 (19) 0.754
18 Nebraska 5 1 0.764 (17) 0.736 (23) 0.75
19 Ohio State 4 1 0.665 (36) 0.83 (9) 0.748
20 Oregon 5 1 0.795 (12) 0.648 (35) 0.722
21 West Virginia 4 2 0.629 (41) 0.788 (15) 0.708
22 Stanford 4 2 0.626 (42) 0.775 (16) 0.701
23 Florida 3 2 0.674 (35) 0.723 (25) 0.698
24 Boise State 4 2 0.695 (28) 0.676 (30) 0.686
25 Arizona 5 1 0.785 (15) 0.581 (48) 0.683
26 Iowa 5 1 0.651 (37) 0.711 (26) 0.681
27 UCLA 4 2 0.69 (31) 0.667 (32) 0.678
28 Virginia Tech 4 2 0.587 (52) 0.767 (20) 0.677
29 Arkansas 3 3 0.543 (60) 0.81 (13) 0.676
30 Kansas State 4 1 0.678 (34) 0.669 (31) 0.674
31 Georgia Tech 5 1 0.733 (24) 0.608 (42) 0.67
32 Arizona State 4 1 0.733 (23) 0.598 (45) 0.666
33 Colorado State 5 1 0.766 (16) 0.56 (50) 0.663
34 Penn State 4 2 0.625 (43) 0.685 (29) 0.655
35 Boston College 4 2 0.568 (56) 0.741 (22) 0.655
36 Duke 5 1 0.744 (20) 0.554 (51) 0.649
37 Wisconsin 4 2 0.572 (55) 0.725 (24) 0.649
38 Miami-FL 4 3 0.602 (48) 0.693 (28) 0.647
39 Pittsburgh 3 3 0.469 (74) 0.812 (12) 0.641
40 East Carolina 5 1 0.749 (19) 0.528 (57) 0.639
41 Minnesota 5 1 0.791 (13) 0.482 (66) 0.637
42 Kentucky 5 1 0.735 (22) 0.529 (56) 0.632
43 Oregon State 4 1 0.721 (26) 0.516 (60) 0.618
44 Arkansas State 4 2 0.62 (45) 0.614 (40) 0.617
45 Rutgers 5 1 0.681 (33) 0.53 (55) 0.605
46 BYU 4 2 0.603 (47) 0.608 (43) 0.605
47 Oklahoma State 5 1 0.714 (27) 0.475 (72) 0.595
48 South Carolina 3 3 0.554 (57) 0.633 (36) 0.593
49 Tennessee 3 3 0.52 (66) 0.666 (33) 0.593
50 UAB 4 2 0.53 (64) 0.618 (38) 0.574
51 Virginia 4 2 0.54 (61) 0.603 (44) 0.571
52 California 4 2 0.644 (39) 0.495 (63) 0.57
53 Georgia Southern 5 2 0.585 (53) 0.548 (52) 0.566
54 Memphis 3 3 0.538 (62) 0.592 (46) 0.565
55 Washington 5 1 0.65 (38) 0.465 (73) 0.558
56 Northwestern 3 3 0.483 (72) 0.614 (39) 0.549
57 Utah State 4 2 0.644 (40) 0.451 (78) 0.548
58 Missouri 4 2 0.604 (46) 0.481 (69) 0.543
59 Temple 4 1 0.554 (59) 0.527 (58) 0.54
60 Utah 4 1 0.685 (32) 0.393 (88) 0.539
61 Maryland 4 2 0.592 (50) 0.481 (68) 0.537
62 Akron 4 2 0.554 (58) 0.514 (61) 0.534
63 UCF 3 2 0.584 (54) 0.458 (75) 0.521
64 NC State 4 3 0.519 (67) 0.517 (59) 0.518
65 Air Force 4 2 0.624 (44) 0.409 (86) 0.516
66 Texas 2 4 0.404 (86) 0.623 (37) 0.514
67 Michigan 3 4 0.398 (88) 0.609 (41) 0.504
68 MTSU 4 3 0.588 (51) 0.418 (83) 0.503
69 Navy 3 4 0.41 (83) 0.586 (47) 0.498
70 Louisiana Tech 3 3 0.531 (63) 0.454 (77) 0.492
71 Rice 3 3 0.524 (65) 0.457 (76) 0.49
72 South Alabama 3 2 0.478 (73) 0.483 (65) 0.481
73 Nevada 3 3 0.488 (71) 0.461 (74) 0.475
74 Northern Illinois 4 2 0.514 (68) 0.43 (80) 0.472
75 Washington State 2 5 0.371 (98) 0.569 (49) 0.47
76 Indiana 3 3 0.454 (77) 0.482 (67) 0.468
77 Western Kentucky 2 3 0.455 (75) 0.477 (70) 0.466
78 North Carolina 2 4 0.379 (95) 0.533 (54) 0.456
79 Central Michigan 4 3 0.496 (69) 0.415 (84) 0.455
80 Houston 3 3 0.392 (91) 0.507 (62) 0.449
81 Syracuse 2 4 0.399 (87) 0.493 (64) 0.446
82 Bowling Green 5 2 0.592 (49) 0.294 (106) 0.443
83 Colorado 2 4 0.342 (104) 0.54 (53) 0.441
84 Iowa State 2 4 0.384 (93) 0.476 (71) 0.43
85 Texas State 3 2 0.411 (82) 0.44 (79) 0.426
86 Fresno State 3 4 0.423 (81) 0.388 (90) 0.405
87 San Jose State 2 3 0.386 (92) 0.422 (82) 0.404
88 Illinois 3 4 0.392 (90) 0.413 (85) 0.403
89 Texas Tech 2 4 0.375 (96) 0.428 (81) 0.402
90 Western Michigan 3 3 0.405 (85) 0.385 (91) 0.395
91 LA-Monroe 3 3 0.454 (76) 0.331 (98) 0.393
92 Toledo 4 3 0.437 (79) 0.335 (97) 0.386
93 Cincinnati 2 3 0.356 (101) 0.403 (87) 0.38
94 San Diego State 3 3 0.444 (78) 0.309 (100) 0.376
95 Purdue 3 4 0.395 (89) 0.344 (95) 0.37
96 Old Dominion 3 4 0.407 (84) 0.305 (101) 0.356
97 FIU 3 4 0.315 (106) 0.392 (89) 0.353
98 Wyoming 3 3 0.494 (70) 0.211 (115) 0.352
99 UTEP 3 3 0.423 (80) 0.266 (110) 0.345
100 LA-Lafayette 2 3 0.38 (94) 0.302 (102) 0.341
101 UTSA 2 4 0.342 (105) 0.3 (104) 0.321
102 Hawaii 2 4 0.285 (110) 0.353 (94) 0.319
103 Buffalo 3 4 0.26 (113) 0.356 (93) 0.308
104 Tulane 2 4 0.291 (109) 0.318 (99) 0.304
105 Kansas 2 4 0.309 (107) 0.296 (105) 0.302
106 Ohio 3 4 0.368 (99) 0.218 (113) 0.293
107 New Mexico 2 4 0.279 (111) 0.284 (108) 0.282
108 Florida Atlantic 2 4 0.373 (97) 0.187 (120) 0.28
109 Tulsa 1 5 0.173 (119) 0.382 (92) 0.278
110 Southern Miss 2 4 0.361 (100) 0.145 (123) 0.253
111 New Mexico State 2 5 0.226 (116) 0.271 (109) 0.249
112 North Texas 2 4 0.26 (112) 0.204 (118) 0.232
113 Wake Forest 2 4 0.349 (103) 0.106 (126) 0.228
114 South Florida 2 4 0.238 (114) 0.202 (119) 0.22
115 Army 2 4 0.222 (117) 0.208 (116) 0.215
116 Miami-OH 1 6 0.122 (124) 0.301 (103) 0.212
117 Vanderbilt 2 5 0.292 (108) 0.108 (125) 0.2
118 Appalachian State 1 5 0.103 (126) 0.291 (107) 0.197
119 UNLV 2 5 0.233 (115) 0.141 (124) 0.187
120 Massachusetts 1 6 0.161 (122) 0.207 (117) 0.184
121 Eastern Michigan 2 4 0.354 (102) 0.008 (128) 0.181
122 Connecticut 1 5 0.133 (123) 0.211 (114) 0.172
123 Idaho 0 6 0 (129) 0.343 (96) 0.171
124 Georgia State 1 5 0.109 (125) 0.221 (112) 0.165
125 Troy 1 5 0.167 (120) 0.152 (121) 0.16
126 Ball State 1 5 0.053 (127) 0.265 (111) 0.159
127 SMU 0 5 0.167 (121) 0.07 (127) 0.119
128 Non FBS 8 91 0.191 (118) 0 (129) 0.096
129 Kent State 0 6 0.031 (128) 0.148 (122) 0.089

Maine – Kennebunk

While domesticated life with the peanut and the life partner has been the best thing that has ever happened in my life, the weeks and weekends do fly by.  It is easy to forget that as a couple we did have lives before, and the chance to steal a vacation came at a very, very good time.  The family vacation portion took us to Kennebunkport, Maine while we left the peanut with the grandparents to head to Acadia National Park.

Kennebunkport

There is no doubt Kennebunkport is picturesque.  When you go in the summertime, what you get is an idyll by the beach, with lots of rich houses and compounds (like the Bush’s, which more than one person randomly asked us about).  It is beautiful, picturesque and – clearly geared for tourism.  Indeed the town square did not just look like Classic New England, it looked like the Classic New England you would have expected Epcot Center to have captured.

The Clam Shack at Kennebunkport

The Clam Shack at Kennebunkport

Oh picturesque New England

Oh picturesque New England

You have the place to get fried clams and lobstah rolls, signs pointing to other tourist attractions in the area – clearly this is not built to be residential.  Put simply, it was cheesy, but fun.  As far as a couple of the famous tourist spots?

  • Rococo’s Ice Cream: Allegedly the #6 Ice Cream place in the country.  Certainly they try hard with the flavors and variety.  At the same time, just because the artisan flavor were cute doesn’t mean they were good.  No complaints about texture, but my Coffee-Bourbon was a bit boozy, and the Cardamom Chai Ice Cream had tea grounds in it, which was probably meant as a textural contrast but seemed rough.  The sample of Spicy, Smoky Blueberry was not tried by me, but the life partner found it repulsive.  This was a major disappointment.  The place next door which served Graeter’s was a welcome break.
  • The Clam Shack: By contrast, this lived up to the promise and the long lines.  Yeah, yeah, yeah this is touristy fluff.  But the whole belly clams were outstanding, as was the Lobster Roll (no skimping on meat, and not overdressed).  In fact, the Clam Cake, something which I was not familiar with – worked too, with good clam favor and a lack of filler – assuming applying a crab cake grading process is the right way to go.

Fortunately, a respite from the tourist trap is available up the highway in neighboring Kennebunk.  I read about a place to pick blueberries, but was expecting a marked area.  Instead, it was just preserved area off the road – the only reason we stopped was because we saw other people there.  The bounty was pretty phenomenal.  Blueberries were everywhere – and in the 30 minutes or so we took, we filled a couple of bottles with blueberries and could have filled a lot more.  Maine blueberries of course, are smaller and sweet – perfect for baking, as the muffins we had later proved.  It’s everywhere.  Do it.

2014 College Football – Week 6 – Letting #50 Glow in being #1

Okay, this was a fun week.  Many unbeaten teams fell, and the projections have been flipped upside down clearly.  However, before we dive into that, wow has Mississippi drawn the short stick in America for so long.  Some of it is well deserved, and some of it is just a result of horrific poverty and desperately bankrupt governance.  It is a long list of things which Mississippi is, if not outright #50, way down there.  (such as this, this and this)  While it is befitting of our noxious jock culture to celebrate the state’s two gigantic football wins as a salve for the other horrors that constitute the actual Mississippi experience – it would be dishonest to not report that I felt good.  Mississippi needed a reason to feel proud, however fleetingly.  College Gameday was in Oxford (even though Desmond Howard’s presence in the same Southern Dandy getup as the others was a notable error in “vintage authenticity”) and even Katy Perry made an appearance despite little knowledge of college or football (which gives her a lot in common with many of the TV commentators, but never mind).  The Lazy Magnolia deserved a shout.

As far as the one-man playoff selection committee?

  • The final 4: Auburn, Ole Miss, Notre Dame and TCU.  Mississippi State is higher than the other two, by a solid margin in fact.  However, it is hard to imagine all three of these teams getting to the final four – especially with Ole Miss and Mississippi State settling its differences in the future.  In any case, while the committee will have some freedom to select teams, I actually think selecting more than 2 teams from a conference (especially with qualified unbeatens out there) seems like a stretch.
  • Other automatic qualifiers:  Florida State from the ACC, Michigan State from the Big Ten, Arizona from the Pac 12, Marshall represents everybody else. This provides eight of the 12 spots.  The other four?  Going down the list, Alabama, Mississippi State, Oklahoma and Baylor provide some solid balance here.  Yeah the SEC and Big 12 are hogging the spots – but that’s what happens when every top Pac-12 team bit the dust last week.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.  Note we get a particularly juicy Cotton Bowl.  Nebraska in this projection goes to the Fiesta Bowl with its longtime Big XII old affiliation.  One expects Notre Dame to be able to carry the Atlanta game more.
    • Sugar Bowl: Auburn v TCU
    • Rose Bowl: Ole Miss v Notre Dame
    • Orange Bowl: Florida State v Alabama 
    • Cotton Bowl: Mississippi State v Oklahoma 
    • Peach Bowl: Michigan State v Marshall
    • Fiesta Bowl: Arizona v Baylor

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Auburn 5 0 0.999 (2) 0.964 (2) 0.981
2 Ole Miss 5 0 1 (1) 0.92 (3) 0.96
3 Alabama 4 1 0.862 (10) 1 (1) 0.931
4 Mississippi State 5 0 0.941 (3) 0.866 (4) 0.904
5 Notre Dame 5 0 0.933 (4) 0.797 (9) 0.865
6 TCU 4 0 0.925 (6) 0.755 (12) 0.84
7 Oklahoma 4 1 0.855 (11) 0.813 (6) 0.834
8 Baylor 5 0 0.818 (15) 0.847 (5) 0.833
9 Texas A&M 5 1 0.872 (9) 0.691 (24) 0.782
10 Louisville 5 1 0.783 (17) 0.78 (10) 0.782
11 Florida State 5 0 0.915 (7) 0.64 (32) 0.777
12 Michigan State 4 1 0.765 (21) 0.759 (11) 0.762
13 Florida 3 1 0.827 (13) 0.693 (23) 0.76
14 UCLA 4 1 0.847 (12) 0.65 (29) 0.749
15 Marshall 5 0 0.782 (18) 0.706 (20) 0.744
16 Ohio State 4 1 0.728 (28) 0.753 (13) 0.741
17 Arizona 5 0 0.929 (5) 0.552 (49) 0.741
18 Nebraska 5 1 0.789 (16) 0.689 (26) 0.739
19 Georgia Tech 5 0 0.901 (8) 0.569 (45) 0.735
20 LSU 4 2 0.651 (42) 0.807 (7) 0.729
21 Georgia 4 1 0.746 (24) 0.703 (22) 0.725
22 Arkansas 3 2 0.665 (38) 0.75 (15) 0.707
23 Oregon 4 1 0.769 (20) 0.635 (33) 0.702
24 West Virginia 3 2 0.592 (54) 0.805 (8) 0.698
25 Boise State 4 2 0.731 (27) 0.659 (27) 0.695
26 Clemson 3 2 0.631 (47) 0.752 (14) 0.691
27 USC 3 2 0.633 (46) 0.737 (18) 0.685
28 Memphis 3 2 0.751 (22) 0.607 (40) 0.679
29 Arizona State 4 1 0.746 (25) 0.594 (41) 0.67
30 Stanford 3 2 0.59 (56) 0.744 (16) 0.667
31 Minnesota 4 1 0.772 (19) 0.558 (47) 0.665
32 California 4 1 0.826 (14) 0.496 (64) 0.661
33 Penn State 4 1 0.689 (35) 0.626 (34) 0.658
34 Virginia Tech 4 2 0.592 (55) 0.718 (19) 0.655
35 Kansas State 4 1 0.684 (36) 0.621 (36) 0.652
36 East Carolina 4 1 0.751 (23) 0.549 (51) 0.65
37 BYU 4 1 0.664 (40) 0.625 (35) 0.644
38 Colorado State 4 1 0.719 (31) 0.547 (52) 0.633
39 Missouri 4 1 0.715 (32) 0.55 (50) 0.633
40 Miami-FL 3 3 0.57 (59) 0.689 (25) 0.63
41 Iowa 4 1 0.602 (52) 0.644 (31) 0.623
42 Wisconsin 3 2 0.538 (66) 0.703 (21) 0.621
43 Pittsburgh 3 3 0.485 (75) 0.742 (17) 0.613
44 Kentucky 4 1 0.719 (30) 0.508 (60) 0.613
45 Rutgers 5 1 0.701 (34) 0.513 (58) 0.607
46 Virginia 4 2 0.6 (53) 0.593 (42) 0.596
47 NC State 4 2 0.637 (44) 0.546 (53) 0.592
48 Oregon State 4 1 0.677 (37) 0.497 (62) 0.587
49 Northern Illinois 4 1 0.709 (33) 0.463 (76) 0.586
50 Northwestern 3 2 0.558 (63) 0.609 (39) 0.584
51 Air Force 4 1 0.745 (26) 0.42 (86) 0.583
52 South Carolina 3 3 0.549 (64) 0.614 (38) 0.581
53 Georgia Southern 4 2 0.637 (45) 0.525 (55) 0.581
54 Oklahoma State 4 1 0.663 (41) 0.494 (66) 0.579
55 Utah 4 1 0.724 (29) 0.418 (87) 0.571
56 Tennessee 2 3 0.492 (74) 0.65 (30) 0.571
57 Duke 4 1 0.643 (43) 0.482 (69) 0.563
58 Maryland 4 2 0.615 (51) 0.491 (68) 0.553
59 Boston College 3 2 0.451 (82) 0.651 (28) 0.551
60 Arkansas State 3 2 0.573 (57) 0.525 (56) 0.549
61 UAB 3 2 0.528 (67) 0.568 (46) 0.548
62 Akron 3 2 0.571 (58) 0.521 (57) 0.546
63 MTSU 4 2 0.665 (39) 0.421 (85) 0.543
64 Nevada 3 2 0.623 (50) 0.462 (77) 0.542
65 Louisiana Tech 3 3 0.567 (60) 0.477 (70) 0.522
66 Temple 3 1 0.547 (65) 0.495 (65) 0.521
67 Utah State 3 2 0.627 (48) 0.407 (89) 0.517
68 Washington 4 1 0.563 (62) 0.471 (74) 0.517
69 Indiana 3 2 0.524 (69) 0.506 (61) 0.515
70 Texas 2 3 0.455 (81) 0.574 (44) 0.514
71 South Alabama 3 2 0.525 (68) 0.497 (63) 0.511
72 Navy 2 4 0.429 (88) 0.581 (43) 0.505
73 Washington State 2 4 0.431 (86) 0.552 (48) 0.491
74 Syracuse 2 3 0.439 (85) 0.526 (54) 0.482
75 UCF 2 2 0.522 (70) 0.441 (80) 0.481
76 Michigan 2 4 0.337 (104) 0.618 (37) 0.478
77 Rice 2 3 0.478 (76) 0.469 (75) 0.474
78 Western Kentucky 2 3 0.472 (77) 0.471 (73) 0.472
79 Fresno State 3 3 0.501 (72) 0.422 (84) 0.462
80 Wyoming 3 2 0.626 (49) 0.283 (110) 0.455
81 Toledo 4 2 0.509 (71) 0.399 (91) 0.454
82 Bowling Green 4 2 0.564 (61) 0.343 (102) 0.453
83 Cincinnati 2 2 0.44 (84) 0.428 (83) 0.434
84 Texas State 3 2 0.429 (87) 0.439 (82) 0.434
85 San Jose State 2 3 0.416 (91) 0.448 (79) 0.432
86 North Carolina 2 3 0.369 (100) 0.493 (67) 0.431
87 Texas Tech 2 3 0.462 (80) 0.395 (92) 0.428
88 Colorado 2 4 0.341 (103) 0.512 (59) 0.427
89 LA-Monroe 3 2 0.495 (73) 0.334 (103) 0.415
90 Old Dominion 3 3 0.467 (79) 0.349 (99) 0.408
91 Iowa State 1 4 0.336 (106) 0.475 (71) 0.405
92 Illinois 3 3 0.425 (90) 0.382 (94) 0.403
93 Central Michigan 3 3 0.441 (83) 0.361 (97) 0.401
94 Western Michigan 2 3 0.383 (95) 0.406 (90) 0.395
95 FIU 3 3 0.374 (97) 0.409 (88) 0.392
96 LA-Lafayette 2 3 0.409 (93) 0.362 (96) 0.386
97 Purdue 3 3 0.426 (89) 0.334 (104) 0.38
98 Buffalo 3 3 0.305 (112) 0.449 (78) 0.377
99 Houston 2 3 0.243 (114) 0.473 (72) 0.358
100 Ohio 3 3 0.472 (78) 0.232 (118) 0.352
101 New Mexico 2 3 0.373 (99) 0.304 (106) 0.338
102 UTEP 2 3 0.407 (94) 0.269 (113) 0.338
103 Florida Atlantic 2 4 0.413 (92) 0.244 (116) 0.329
104 New Mexico State 2 4 0.307 (111) 0.344 (101) 0.325
105 UTSA 1 4 0.315 (109) 0.333 (105) 0.324
106 Appalachian State 1 4 0.185 (120) 0.441 (81) 0.313
107 San Diego State 2 3 0.326 (107) 0.297 (109) 0.312
108 Kansas 2 3 0.341 (102) 0.27 (112) 0.305
109 Southern Miss 2 4 0.38 (96) 0.225 (119) 0.303
110 Tulsa 1 4 0.215 (117) 0.378 (95) 0.296
111 Army 2 3 0.336 (105) 0.256 (114) 0.296
112 Tulane 1 4 0.229 (115) 0.351 (98) 0.29
113 North Texas 2 3 0.343 (101) 0.219 (121) 0.281
114 Wake Forest 2 4 0.373 (98) 0.177 (126) 0.275
115 South Florida 2 3 0.312 (110) 0.22 (120) 0.266
116 Hawaii 1 4 0.181 (121) 0.345 (100) 0.263
117 Vanderbilt 1 5 0.245 (113) 0.211 (123) 0.228
118 Connecticut 1 4 0.199 (118) 0.255 (115) 0.227
119 Georgia State 1 4 0.147 (125) 0.302 (107) 0.224
120 Miami-OH 1 5 0.147 (123) 0.301 (108) 0.224
121 Ball State 1 4 0.135 (126) 0.277 (111) 0.206
122 SMU 0 5 0.196 (119) 0.21 (124) 0.203
123 Idaho 0 5 0 (129) 0.387 (93) 0.193
124 Kent State 0 5 0.147 (124) 0.237 (117) 0.192
125 UNLV 1 5 0.172 (122) 0.187 (125) 0.179
126 Eastern Michigan 1 4 0.316 (108) 0 (129) 0.158
127 Non FBS 7 88 0.221 (116) 0.08 (128) 0.15
128 Massachusetts 0 6 0.067 (128) 0.215 (122) 0.141
129 Troy 0 5 0.07 (127) 0.149 (127) 0.109

How to Fix the Sprint Cup Chase (for Real) – Pretend Wild Card Series Week 3

Continuing the smart way to run the Wild Card thing.

  1. Jeff Gordon (565)
  2. Brad Keselowski (544)
  3. Joey Logano (516)
  4. Dale Earnhardt Jr (492)
  5. Kevin Harvick (487)
  6. Jimmie Johnson (471)
  7. Matt Kenseth (423)
  8. Kyle Larson (362)
  9. Kyle Busch (344)
  10. Denny Hamlin (319)
  11. Carl Edwards (318)
  12. Clint Bowyer (286)
  13. Kasey Kahne (283)
  14. Ryan Newman (280)
  15. Kurt Busch (264)
  16. Greg Biffle (244)
  17. Aric Almirola (196)
  18. AJ Allmendinger (154)

The (this year) chase for the wild card spots?

  1. Jamie McMurray (39)
  2. Martin Truex Jr (34)
  3. Brian Vickers (18)
  4. Austin Dillon (15)
  5. Paul Menard (11)
  6. Tony Stewart (10)

Anyway, I have no doubt this will not be implemented – and more ad hoc changes will come as TV ratings dwindle.  Fortunately, I don’t care.

2014 College Football – Week 5 – Starting to Catch Up

One of the maxims I have maintained about this exercise is that each week’s rankings are not a future indicator – but a summary of what we know about the season up to now.  Florida State’s schedule, for instance – had a combined one win against FBS opposition.  However, with a true road win at NC State combined with Clemson, Oklahoma State and even Yale defeating Army, Florida State’s profile made a quantum leap.  Nebraska’s win over Miami-FL looks better now, and the sheer destruction wrought by Michigan State combined with the Oregon loss not being at all bad, and their standing is enhanced.  West Virginia, a 2-2 team has actually played really well – and these rankings reflect that.  After all, speculation about which teams have “tough roads” ahead are well informed perhaps, but not backed by results.  Each week we learn more about the teams – as well as about what their resumes are really.

Anyway, with 5 weeks in the hopper, and our 2nd week of true standings, some of the big boys are starting to catch up.  And this week looks to be particularly massive at the top of the table

  1. THURSDAY: (23) Arizona at (11) Oregon
  2. (31) Miami-FL at (27) Georgia Tech
  3. (13) Texas A&M at (4) Mississippi State
  4. (18) Florida at (37) Tennessee
  5. (1) Alabama at (3) Ole Miss
  6. (5) Oklahoma at (16) TCU
  7. (26) Stanford at (7) Notre Dame
  8. (8) LSU at (2) Auburn
  9. (46) Arizona State at (12) USC
  10. (14) Nebraska at (21) Michigan State
  11. (68) Utah at (6) UCLA

As far as the one-man playoff selection?

  • The final 4: Alabama, Auburn, Oklahoma and UCLA still get the top 4 spots.  While UCLA is slightly behind the other two SEC teams, its conference kingpin status elevates them into the Top 4.  This gives you an Alabama-UCLA Sugar Bowl and Auburn-Oklahoma Rose Bowl.
  • The other Big 5 champs (we use losses in conference as first tiebreaker, and rating as the second) are Florida State for the ACC and Nebraska for the Big Ten.  East Carolina is the current “best of the rest” at #25.
  • This speaks for seven of the 12 spots.  That leaves Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Notre Dame, Baylor and BYU as the reamining bids.  LSU is ranked above BYU, but it is a small margin – small enough that the undefeated record would probably seduce a selection committee for now.  Based on the Orange Bowl contract, Florida State plays the highest ranked of SEC/Big Ten/ND, so that puts Ole Miss in play.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.  Note we get a particularly juicy Cotton Bowl.  Nebraska in this projection goes to the Fiesta Bowl with its longtime Big XII old affiliation.  One expects Notre Dame to be able to carry the Atlanta game more.
    • Sugar Bowl: Alabama v UCLA
    • Rose Bowl: Auburn v Oklahoma
    • Orange Bowl: Florida State v Ole Miss
    • Cotton Bowl: Mississippi State v Baylor
    • Peach Bowl: Notre Dame v East Carolina
    • Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska v BYU

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Alabama 4 0 0.96 (2) 1 (1) 0.98
2 Auburn 4 0 0.926 (3) 0.848 (7) 0.887
3 Ole Miss 4 0 0.843 (13) 0.921 (3) 0.882
4 Mississippi State 4 0 0.856 (10) 0.866 (6) 0.861
5 Oklahoma 4 0 0.895 (4) 0.79 (11) 0.842
6 UCLA 4 0 1 (1) 0.659 (31) 0.829
7 Notre Dame 4 0 0.851 (11) 0.767 (16) 0.809
8 LSU 4 1 0.641 (33) 0.963 (2) 0.802
9 Baylor 4 0 0.725 (17) 0.874 (5) 0.8
10 BYU 4 0 0.863 (9) 0.736 (22) 0.799
11 Oregon 4 0 0.873 (6) 0.699 (24) 0.786
12 USC 3 1 0.758 (16) 0.81 (8) 0.784
13 Texas A&M 5 0 0.872 (7) 0.694 (26) 0.783
14 Nebraska 5 0 0.849 (12) 0.66 (29) 0.754
15 Florida State 4 0 0.893 (5) 0.6 (43) 0.747
16 TCU 3 0 0.791 (15) 0.695 (25) 0.743
17 Louisville 4 1 0.678 (25) 0.798 (10) 0.738
18 Florida 2 1 0.686 (24) 0.776 (15) 0.731
19 Georgia 3 1 0.708 (22) 0.74 (21) 0.724
20 West Virginia 2 2 0.567 (52) 0.88 (4) 0.724
21 Michigan State 3 1 0.659 (28) 0.777 (14) 0.718
22 Arkansas 3 2 0.622 (36) 0.788 (12) 0.705
23 Arizona 4 0 0.871 (8) 0.528 (58) 0.7
24 Wisconsin 3 1 0.571 (50) 0.806 (9) 0.689
25 East Carolina 3 1 0.718 (18) 0.652 (34) 0.685
26 Stanford 3 1 0.582 (48) 0.783 (13) 0.682
27 Georgia Tech 4 0 0.799 (14) 0.559 (52) 0.679
28 Marshall 4 0 0.714 (20) 0.637 (35) 0.676
29 Ohio State 3 1 0.593 (45) 0.747 (18) 0.67
30 NC State 4 1 0.655 (30) 0.657 (33) 0.656
31 Miami-FL 3 2 0.563 (54) 0.741 (20) 0.652
32 Minnesota 4 1 0.693 (23) 0.583 (45) 0.638
33 Boise State 3 2 0.578 (49) 0.69 (27) 0.634
34 Northern Illinois 3 1 0.674 (26) 0.571 (46) 0.623
35 Virginia Tech 3 2 0.483 (71) 0.762 (17) 0.623
36 Penn State 4 1 0.617 (37) 0.616 (39) 0.616
37 Tennessee 2 2 0.521 (63) 0.703 (23) 0.612
38 Kansas State 3 1 0.609 (39) 0.612 (41) 0.611
39 Iowa 4 1 0.548 (59) 0.661 (28) 0.604
40 Missouri 4 1 0.648 (32) 0.556 (54) 0.602
41 Pittsburgh 3 2 0.459 (74) 0.742 (19) 0.601
42 Colorado State 3 1 0.657 (29) 0.539 (55) 0.598
43 Memphis 2 2 0.589 (47) 0.603 (42) 0.596
44 California 3 1 0.712 (21) 0.478 (73) 0.595
45 South Carolina 3 2 0.568 (51) 0.62 (38) 0.594
46 Arizona State 3 1 0.608 (40) 0.566 (48) 0.587
47 Nevada 3 1 0.717 (19) 0.449 (80) 0.583
48 Maryland 4 1 0.666 (27) 0.496 (66) 0.581
49 Kentucky 3 1 0.601 (44) 0.561 (50) 0.581
50 Georgia Southern 3 2 0.561 (55) 0.599 (44) 0.58
51 Rutgers 4 1 0.628 (34) 0.524 (59) 0.576
52 Oregon State 3 1 0.627 (35) 0.52 (60) 0.574
53 Clemson 2 2 0.511 (65) 0.623 (37) 0.567
54 Texas 2 2 0.566 (53) 0.561 (51) 0.563
55 Duke 4 1 0.603 (42) 0.507 (63) 0.555
56 Oklahoma State 3 1 0.61 (38) 0.499 (65) 0.555
57 Virginia 3 2 0.536 (60) 0.565 (49) 0.55
58 Boston College 3 2 0.438 (79) 0.659 (30) 0.549
59 MTSU 3 2 0.602 (43) 0.491 (68) 0.547
60 Washington 4 1 0.56 (56) 0.503 (64) 0.532
61 Air Force 3 1 0.653 (31) 0.409 (90) 0.531
62 Akron 2 2 0.493 (69) 0.559 (53) 0.526
63 Navy 2 3 0.422 (86) 0.628 (36) 0.525
64 Washington State 2 3 0.434 (82) 0.614 (40) 0.524
65 Western Kentucky 2 2 0.59 (46) 0.447 (82) 0.519
66 Cincinnati 2 1 0.534 (61) 0.475 (74) 0.504
67 Temple 3 1 0.504 (67) 0.496 (67) 0.5
68 Utah 3 1 0.531 (62) 0.453 (78) 0.492
69 Illinois 3 2 0.551 (58) 0.423 (86) 0.487
70 Northwestern 2 2 0.437 (81) 0.534 (56) 0.485
71 LA-Monroe 3 1 0.558 (57) 0.407 (91) 0.482
72 Syracuse 2 2 0.429 (84) 0.519 (61) 0.474
73 Indiana 2 2 0.454 (75) 0.491 (69) 0.472
74 Michigan 2 3 0.283 (108) 0.658 (32) 0.471
75 Arkansas State 2 2 0.451 (76) 0.48 (72) 0.465
76 Wyoming 3 2 0.605 (41) 0.317 (107) 0.461
77 Rice 1 3 0.429 (85) 0.488 (70) 0.459
78 Texas Tech 2 2 0.481 (72) 0.429 (85) 0.455
79 UAB 2 2 0.327 (101) 0.568 (47) 0.447
80 Texas State 2 2 0.408 (88) 0.485 (71) 0.446
81 Louisiana Tech 2 3 0.487 (70) 0.394 (92) 0.441
82 North Carolina 2 2 0.416 (87) 0.465 (76) 0.44
83 Old Dominion 3 2 0.496 (68) 0.382 (93) 0.439
84 Colorado 2 3 0.36 (94) 0.517 (62) 0.439
85 South Alabama 2 2 0.445 (77) 0.431 (84) 0.438
86 Fresno State 2 3 0.437 (80) 0.421 (89) 0.429
87 Iowa State 1 3 0.314 (104) 0.534 (57) 0.424
88 Bowling Green 3 2 0.513 (64) 0.335 (100) 0.424
89 Western Michigan 2 2 0.433 (83) 0.376 (95) 0.404
90 Florida Atlantic 2 3 0.51 (66) 0.296 (111) 0.403
91 Houston 2 2 0.342 (97) 0.458 (77) 0.4
92 UTSA 1 3 0.444 (78) 0.354 (99) 0.399
93 UCF 1 2 0.316 (103) 0.453 (79) 0.385
94 UTEP 2 2 0.4 (89) 0.368 (97) 0.384
95 Ohio 3 2 0.469 (73) 0.293 (113) 0.381
96 San Jose State 1 3 0.334 (99) 0.422 (87) 0.378
97 Toledo 3 2 0.371 (92) 0.378 (94) 0.375
98 Buffalo 3 2 0.285 (107) 0.448 (81) 0.367
99 Utah State 2 2 0.385 (90) 0.328 (103) 0.357
100 FIU 2 3 0.272 (110) 0.422 (88) 0.347
101 Appalachian State 1 3 0.21 (116) 0.472 (75) 0.341
102 New Mexico State 2 3 0.332 (100) 0.324 (104) 0.328
103 San Diego State 2 2 0.358 (95) 0.295 (112) 0.327
104 Tulsa 1 3 0.219 (113) 0.434 (83) 0.326
105 Kansas 2 2 0.341 (98) 0.282 (115) 0.311
106 LA-Lafayette 1 3 0.28 (109) 0.335 (101) 0.308
107 Central Michigan 2 3 0.344 (96) 0.268 (117) 0.306
108 South Florida 2 3 0.318 (102) 0.286 (114) 0.302
109 Southern Miss 2 3 0.385 (91) 0.195 (124) 0.29
110 Purdue 2 3 0.237 (112) 0.323 (105) 0.28
111 Tulane 1 4 0.197 (118) 0.36 (98) 0.278
112 Hawaii 1 3 0.179 (121) 0.375 (96) 0.277
113 New Mexico 1 3 0.239 (111) 0.296 (110) 0.268
114 North Texas 2 2 0.362 (93) 0.144 (126) 0.253
115 Wake Forest 2 3 0.301 (106) 0.198 (123) 0.249
116 Connecticut 1 4 0.201 (117) 0.281 (116) 0.241
117 Ball State 1 3 0.146 (124) 0.32 (106) 0.233
118 Georgia State 1 3 0.149 (123) 0.315 (108) 0.232
119 Army 1 3 0.214 (115) 0.231 (119) 0.222
120 Vanderbilt 1 4 0.217 (114) 0.211 (121) 0.214
121 UNLV 1 4 0.189 (120) 0.219 (120) 0.204
122 SMU 0 4 0.153 (122) 0.247 (118) 0.2
123 Miami-OH 0 5 0.07 (127) 0.307 (109) 0.189
124 Idaho 0 4 0 (129) 0.328 (102) 0.164
125 Eastern Michigan 1 3 0.301 (105) 0 (129) 0.15
126 Massachusetts 0 5 0.075 (126) 0.21 (122) 0.143
127 Non FBS 7 88 0.191 (119) 0.09 (128) 0.141
128 Kent State 0 4 0.114 (125) 0.132 (127) 0.123
129 Troy 0 5 0.056 (128) 0.169 (125) 0.112