2013 College Basketball – 3/10/2013

As always based on the power rankings which are faithfully updated (well, semi-regularly), and consequently the 68 team “should” field.  We will try to do this at least a couple of times this week, now that Championship Week has started in earnest.  We already know that some teams are in the field.  We also know that some dead regular season champs are in the NIT field.  As such we can include an NIT projection as well – though for that we observe no seeding “rules” like we do for the NCAA. (teams “in” are italics)

NCAA FIELD

WASHINGTON, DC

  • Philadelphia: (1) Duke v (16) Long Beach State, (8) Butler v (9) Missouri
  • San Jose: (4) Creighton v (13) Akron, (5) Syracuse v (12) San Diego State
  • Dayton: (2) Miami-FL v (15) Vermont, (7) UNLV v (10) Notre Dame
  • Philadelphia: (3) Ohio State v (14) Harvard, (6) Kansas State v (11) Louisiana Tech

LOS ANGELES, CA

  • Dayton: (1) Indiana v (16) Montana, (8) Belmont v (9) Oklahoma
  • Salt Lake City: (4) Arizona v (13) Davidson, (5) Saint Louis v (12) Virginia
  • San Jose: (2) Gonzaga v (15) Northeastern, (7) Pittsburgh v (10) Colorado
  • Austin: (3) Michigan v (14) Stephen F Austin, (6) Middle Tennessee v (11) Iowa State/Southern Miss

INDIANAPOLIS, IN

  • Lexington: (1) Louisville v (16) Norfolk State/Texas Southern, (8) NC State v (9) Wichita State
  • Austin: (4) Memphis v (13) Bucknell, (5) Colorado State v (12) Illinois
  • Lexington: (2) Florida v (15) Florida International, (8) UCLA v (9) LaSalle
  • Auburn Hills: (3) Michigan State v (14) South Dakota State, (6) North Carolina v (11) Cincinnati/California

ARLINGTON, TX

  • Salt Lake City: (1) New Mexico v (16) Mount Saint Mary’s/Liberty, (8) Minnesota v (9) Temple
  • Kansas City: (4) Marquette v (13) Valparaiso, (5) Oklahoma State v (12) Ole Miss
  • Kansas City: (2) Kansas v (15) FL Gulf Coast, (7) VCU v (10) Wisconsin
  • Auburn Hills: (3) Georgetown v (14) Iona, (6) Saint Mary’s v (11) Boise State

Some quick comments:

  • Funny what the last week did.  Earlier this week, Indiana’s loss to Ohio State moved it off of the top line, but now they are back, but still behind Louisville in the race for Indianapolis.  
  • Middle Tennessee lost in the Sun Belt semifinals, and my rankings have them still in.  Frankly, in real life they are on the bubble at best – though Kentucky must be awfully nervous as this move in these rankings pushed them off the bubble.
  • The NIT field below is a reflection of the bubble as well as the teams which have won regular season titles but lost out on automatic bids to the Big Dance.

THE LITTLE DANCE (YOUR NIT FIELD – AUTO BIDS IN CAPS)

  • (1) Kentucky v (32) CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
  • (16) Xavier v (17) Brigham Young
  • (8) Stanford v (25) Arizona State
  • (9) Providence v (24) Air Force
  • (4) Villanova v (29) ROBERT MORRIS
  • (13) Maryland v (20) New Mexico State
  • (5) Tennessee v (28) Indiana State
  • (12) Baylor v (21) Saint Joseph’s
  • (2) Oregon v (31) MERCER
  • (15) LSU v (18) Arkansas
  • (7) Massachusetts v (26) Wyoming
  • (10) Alabama v (23) Charlotte
  • (3) Denver v (30) NIAGARA
  • (14) Ohio v (19) Detroit
  • (6) Iowa v (27) Florida State
  • (11) Stony Brook v (22) Richmond

 

2013 College Basketball – 3/4/2013

As always based on the power rankings which are faithfully updated (well, semi-regularly), and consequently the 68 team “should” field.  This time though, we DO consider regions now – and try to slot into regionals and eliminate UConn from discussion due to ineligibility.  It’s a more tedious exercise, but possibly more interesting,  Commentary will be a bit quicker now – as with the conference tourneys starting this week, information will get more interesting.  As a practical matter, I doubt Middle Tennessee and Belmont are as safe as they should be.

Washington DC

  • Philadelphia: (1) Duke v (16) NORTHEASTERN, (8) BELMONT v (9) Oklahoma
  • San Jose: (4) Arizona v (13) Boise State/Iowa State, (5) Minnesota v (12) Cincinnati
  • Austin: (2) FLORIDA v (15) PRINCETON, (7) VCU v (10) Illinois
  • Philadelphia: (3) GEORGETOWN v (14) SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, (6) Colorado State v (11) Oregon

Indianapolis

  • Lexington: (1) INDIANA v (16) TEXAS SOUTHERN/NORFOLK STATE, (8) Pittsburgh v (9) Colorado
  • Salt Lake City: (4) SAINT LOUIS v (13) VALPARAISO, (5) UNLV v (12) Virginia
  • San Jose: (2) GONZAGA v (15) LONG BEACH STATE, (7) NC State v (10) Wisconsin
  • Dayton: (3) Syracuse v (14) DAVIDSON, (6) Oklahoma State v (11) Temple

Los Angeles

  • Salt Lake City: (1) NEW MEXICO v (16) MONTANA/CHARLESTON SOUTHERN, (8) Saint Mary’s v (9) Notre Dame
  • Dayton: (4) Ohio State v (13) BUCKNELL, (5) MEMPHIS v (12) LOUISIANA TECH
  • Austin: (2) MIAMI-FL v (15) ROBERT MORRIS, (7) UCLA v (10) Butler
  • Kansas City: (3) Marquette v (14) STEPHEN F AUSTIN, (6) CREIGHTON v (11) AKRON

Arlington

  • Kansas City: (1) KANSAS v (16) MERCER, (8) North Carolina v (9) Missouri
  • Auburn Hills: (4) Michigan State v (13) Southern Miss/Kentucky, (5) MIDDLE TENNESSEE v (12) California
  • Lexington: (2) Louisville v (15) NIAGARA, (7) Wichita State v (10) San Diego State
  • Auburn Hills: (3) Michigan v (14) STONY BROOK, (6) Kansas State v (11) LaSalle

Quick impressions?

  1. As far as who missed this field? Ole Miss, Villanova, Maryland and Denver with Ole Miss getting first dibs.  Massachusetts, Tennessee, Providence and Alabama are even further away.

The conference breakdown

  • ACC (5): Duke, Virginia, NC State, Miami-FL, North Carolina
  • Big 12 (5): Oklahoma, Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Kansas, Kansas State
  • Atlantic 10 (5): Saint Louis, VCU, Temple, Butler, LaSalle
  • Mountain West (5): Boise State, Colorado State, UNLV, New Mexico, San Diego State
  • Big Ten (7): Minnesota, Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Michigan State, Michigan
  • Big East (7): Cincinnati, Georgetown, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Notre Dame, Marquette, Louisville
  • SEC (3): Florida, Missouri, Kentucky
  • Pac 12 (5): Oregon, Colorado, Arizona, UCLA, California
  • West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s
  • Conference USA (2): Memphis, Southern Miss
  • Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State
  • One Bidders: Northeastern (Colonial), Belmont (Ohio Valley), Princeton (Ivy), South Dakota State (Summit), Texas Southern (SWAC), Norfolk State (MEAC), Valparaiso (Horizon), Long Beach State (Big West), Davidson (Southern), Montana (Big Sky), Charleston Southern (Big South), Bucknell (Patriot), Louisiana Tech (WAC), Robert Morris (Northeast), Akron (MAC), Stephen F Austin (Southland), Mercer (Atlantic Sun), Middle Tennessee (Sun Belt), Niagara (Metro Atlantic), Stony Brook (America East)

2013 College Basketball – 2/27/2013

As always based on the power rankings which are faithfully updated (well, semi-regularly), and consequently the 68 team “should” field.  This time though, we DO consider regions now – and try to slot into regionals and eliminate UConn from discussion due to ineligibility.  It’s a more tedious exercise, but possibly more interesting – I was surprised at the impact of the Indiana and Florida losses – and a bit surprised at how Minnesota has held up despite a sub .500 record.  I have no doubt their actual seed will be lower:

Washington DC Regional

  • Philadelphia: (1) Duke v (16) MERCER, (8) UCLA v (9) VCU
  • San Jose: (4) MEMPHIS v (13) LOUISIANA TECH, (5) Ohio State v (12) Kentucky
  • Dayton: (2) Louisville v (15) HARVARD, (7) Kansas State v (10) Oregon
  • Auburn Hills: (3) Michigan v (14) SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, (6) SAINT LOUIS v (11) Virginia

Indianapolis Regional

  • Salt Lake City: (1) NEW MEXICO v (16) MONTANA/CHARLESTON SOUTHERN, (8) Butler v (9) Saint Mary’s
  • Austin: (4) GEORGETOWN v (13) VALPARAISO, (5) Minnesota v (12) AKRON
  • Lexington: (2) MIAMI-FL v (15) NORTHEASTERN, (7) Notre Dame v (10) San Diego State
  • Auburn Hills: (3) Michigan State v (14) STEPHEN F AUSTIN, (6) MIDDLE TENNESSEE v (11) Missouri

Arlington Regional

  • Kansas City: (1) KANSAS v (16) ROBERT MORRIS, (8) NC State v (9) Illinois
  • Austin: (4) WICHITA STATE (4) v (13) Ole Miss/California, (5) Colorado State v (12) Cincinnati
  • Dayton: (2) INDIANA v (15) LONG BEACH STATE, (7) Pittsburgh v (10) BELMONT
  • Salt Lake City: (3) ARIZONA v (14) DAVIDSON, (6) Oklahoma State v (11) Temple

Los Angeles Region

  • San Jose: (1) GONZAGA v (16) NORFOLK STATE/TEXAS SOUTHERN, (8) North Carolina v (9) Oklahoma
  • Kansas City: (4) Marquette v (13) BUCKNELL, (5) UNLV v (12) Southern Miss/Iowa State
  • Lexington: (2) FLORIDA v (15) NIAGARA, (7) Creighton v (10) Colorado
  • Philadelphia: (3) Syracuse v (14) STONY BROOK, (6) Wisconsin v (11) LaSalle

Quick impressions?

  1. As far as who missed this field?  Tennessee, Villanova, Boise State, Maryland with Tennessee getting first dibs.  Ohio, Massachusetts, BYU and Indiana State are even further away.

The conference breakdown

  • ACC (5): Duke, Virginia, Miami-FL, NC State, North Carolina
  • Pac-12 (5): UCLA, Oregon, California, Arizona, Colorado
  • Big Ten (7): Ohio State, Michigan, Minnesota, Michigan State, Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin
  • Big East (7): Louisville, Georgetown, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Marquette, Syracuse
  • SEC (4): Kentucky, Missouri, Ole Miss, Florida
  • Big 12 (5): Kansas State, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Iowa State
  • Atlantic 10 (5): VCU, Saint Louis, Butler, Temple, LaSalle
  • Conference USA (2): Memphis, Southern Miss
  • Mountain West (4): New Mexico, San Diego State, Colorado State, UNLV
  • West Coast (2): Saint Mary’s, Gonzaga
  • Missouri Valley (2): Wichita State, Creighton
  • One Bidders: Mercer (Atlantic Sun), Louisiana Tech (WAC), Ivy (Harvard), Summit (South Dakota State), Big Sky (Montana), Big South (Charleston Southern), Horizon (Valparaiso), MAC (Akron), Colonial (Northeastern), Southland (Stephen F Austin), Sun Belt (Middle Tennessee), Northeast (Robert Morris), Big West (Long Beach State), Ohio Valley (Belmont), Southern (Davidson), SWAC (Texas Southern), MEAC (Norfolk State),  Patriot (Bucknell), MAAC (Niagara), America East (Stony Brook)

2013 College Basketball – 2/20/2013

As always based on the power rankings which are faithfully updated (well, semi-regularly), and consequently the 68 team “should” field.  This time though, we DO consider regions now – and try to slot into regionals and eliminate UConn from discussion due to ineligibility.  It’s a more tedious exercise, but possibly more interesting – I put top ranked Duke in Los Angeles to give Miami some credit for being the ACC champ in this alignment:

Los Angeles Regional

  • Philadelphia: (1) Duke v (16) NORTHEASTERN, (8) LaSalle v (9) Illinois
  • San Jose: (4) Georgetown v (13) BUCKNELL, (5) MEMPHIS v (12) Kentucky
  • Dayton: (2) Louisville v (15) HARVARD, (7) Creighton v (10) San Diego State
  • Auburn Hills: (3) Michigan v (14) STONY BROOK, (6) Kansas State v (11) BELMONT

Indianapolis Regional

  • Dayton: (1) INDIANA v (16) NORFOLK STATE/CHARLESTON SOUTHERN, (8) OREGON v (9) VCU
  • Salt Lake City: (4) Colorado State v (13) Ole Miss, (5) WICHITA STATE v (12) Notre Dame
  • San Jose: (2) GONZAGA v (15) LONG BEACH STATE, (7) Pittsburgh v (10) Oklahoma
  • Auburn Hills: (3) Michigan State v (14) VALPARAISO, (6) NC State v (11) LOUISIANA TECH

Washington, DC Regional

  • Lexington: (1) MIAMI-FL v (16) MERCER/TEXAS SOUTHERN, (8) Colorado v (9) Missouri
  • Austin: (4) Marquette v (13) Southern Miss/California, (5) Oklahoma State v (12) AKRON
  • Kansas City: (2) KANSAS v (15) NIAGARA, (7) Wisconsin v (10) Saint Mary’s
  • Philadelphia: (3) SYRACUSE v (14) DAVIDSON, (6) SAINT LOUIS v (11) Virginia

Arlington, TX Regional

  • Lexington: (1) FLORIDA v (16) MONTANA, (8) UNLV v (9) UCLA
  • Kansas City: (4) Minnesota v (13) STEPHEN F AUSTIN, (5) MIDDLE TENNESSEE v (12) Iowa State/Temple
  • Austin: (2) NEW MEXICO v (15) BRYANT, (7) Butler v (10) North Carolina
  • Salt Lake City: (3) Arizona v (14) SOUTH DAKOTA STATE, (6) Ohio State v (11) Cincinnati

Quick impressions?

  1. As far as who missed this field?  Villanova, Baylor, Boise State, Alabama with Villanova getting first dibs.  Maryland, Arizona State, BYU and Charlotte are even further away.

The conference breakdown

  • ACC (5): Duke, Miami-FL, Virginia, NC State, North Carolina
  • Northeast (1): Bryant
  • MEAC (1): Norfolk State
  • Big 12 (5): Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Kansas
  • Big East (8): Connecticut, Georgetown, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Louisville, Marquette
  • SEC (4): Kentucky, Ole Miss, Missouri, Florida
  • Atlantic 10 (5): Temple, VCU, LaSalle, Butler, Saint Louis
  • Pac 12 (4): Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, Arizona
  • West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s
  • Mountain West (4): UNLV, Colorado State, New Mexico, San Diego State
  • Missouri Valley (2): Creighton, Wichita State
  • Conference USA (2): Memphis, Southern Miss
  • WAC (1): Louisiana Tech
  • Big Ten (7): Indiana, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan State, Ohio State, Michigan, Illinois
  • MAC (1): Akron
  • Atlantic Sun (1): Mercer
  • Ivy (1): Harvard
  • Big Sky (1): Montana
  • Ohio Valley (1): Belmont
  • Patriot (1): Bucknell
  • Horizon (1): Valparaiso
  • Big South (1): Charleston Southern
  • SWAC (1): Texas Southern
  • Colonial (1): Northeastern
  • America East (1): Stony Brook
  • Metro Atlantic (1): Niagara
  • Big West (1): Long Beach State
  • Southland (1): Stephen F Austin
  • Sun Belt (1): Middle Tennessee
  • Summit (1): South Dakota State
  • Southern (1): Davidson

2013 College Basketball – 2/11/2013

OK, so Duke only ALMOST lost.  But Indiana losing (but deservedly holding the #1 position in the writers poll) along with Michigan and Kansas shook things up.  Of course with that comes a change in the power rankings which are faithfully updated (well, semi-regularly), and consequently the 68 team “should” field.  I won’t spend any time pondering the integrity of seeding and regional rules (i.e. not too many teams form one conference in one region etc).  Consider this a pure S-curve of the field.  For automatic bids, I’m going with the best record OR highest ranking in a tie.  I know UConn is not eligible – but I rank them anyway because I am lazy and it is a “should” field.  Anyhoo, here is the bracket.

REGION A: (Top overall seed, #2 seed is 8th ranked team)

  • (1) Duke v (16) Bryant/NC Central
  • (8) Kansas State v (9) Connecticut
  • (4) Georgetown v (13) Kentucky/Temple
  • (5) Pittsburgh v (12) Louisiana Tech
  • (2) Indiana v (15) FL Gulf Coast
  • (7) UNLV v (10) Iowa State
  • (3) Gonzaga v (14) Harvard
  • (6) Memphis v (11) VCU

REGION B: (4th overall seed, #2 seed is 5th ranked)

  • (1) Syracuse v (16) Montana
  • (8) Wisconsin v (9) Belmont
  • (4) Minnesota v (13) Bucknell
  • (5) Oklahoma State v (12) Ole Miss
  • (2) Kansas v (15) Niagara
  • (7) Colorado v (10) LaSalle
  • (3) Michigan State v (14) Valparaiso
  • (6) Creighton v (11) UCLA

REGION C: (2nd overall, #2 is 7th)

  • (1) Miami-FL v (16) NC-Asheville/AR-Pine Bluff
  • (8) Virginia v (9) Oregon
  • (4) Colorado State v (13) Akron
  • (5) Ohio State v (12) Notre Dame/Indiana State
  • (2) Arizona v (15) Northeastern
  • (7) Wichita State v (10) Missouri
  • (3) New Mexico v (14) Stony Brook
  •  (6) NC State v (11) Oklahoma

REGION D: (3rd overall, #2 is 6th)

  • (1) Florida v (16) Long Beach State
  • (8) Cincinnati v (9) San Diego State
  • (4) Butler v (13) Stephen F Austin
  • (5) Middle Tennessee v (12) North Carolina
  • (2) Michigan v (15) Western Illinois
  • (7) Saint Mary’s v (10) Saint Louis
  • (3) Louisville v (14) Davidson
  • (6) Marquette v (11) Illinois

Quick impressions?

  1. As far as who missed this field?  Stanford, UMass, Boise State and Baylor, with Stanford getting first dibs.  Southern Miss, California, Arizona State and Charlotte are even further away.

The conference breakdown

  • ACC (5): Duke, Miami-FL, Virginia, NC State, North Carolina
  • Northeast (1): Bryant
  • MEAC (1): NC Central
  • Big 12 (5): Kansas State, Iowa State, Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, Kansas
  • Big East (8): Connecticut, Georgetown, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Notre Dame, Cincinnati, Louisville, Marquette
  • SEC (4): Kentucky, Ole Miss, Missouri, Florida
  • Atlantic 10 (5): Temple, VCU, LaSalle, Butler, Saint Louis
  • Pac 12 (4): Colorado, UCLA, Oregon, Arizona
  • West Coast (2): Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s
  • Mountain West (4): UNLV, Colorado State, New Mexico, San Diego State
  • Missouri Valley (3): Creighton, Indiana State, Wichita State
  • Conference USA (1): Memphis
  • WAC (1): Louisiana Tech
  • Big Ten (7): Indiana, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan State, Ohio State, Michigan, Illinois
  • MAC (1): Akron
  • Atlantic Sun (1): FL Gulf Coast
  • Ivy (1): Harvard
  • Big Sky (1): Montana
  • Ohio Valley (1): Belmont
  • Patriot (1): Bucknell
  • Horizon (1): Valparaiso
  • Big South (1): NC-Asheville
  • SWAC (1): AR-Pine Bluff
  • Colonial (1): Northeastern
  • America East (1): Stony Brook
  • Metro Atlantic (1): Niagara
  • Big West (1): Long Beach State
  • Southland (1): Stephen F Austin
  • Sun Belt (1): Middle Tennessee
  • Summit (1): Western Illinois
  • Southern (1): Davidson

2013 College Basketball – 2/5/2013

Well, this week we got the game of the year, with Michigan and Indiana trading haymakers in a classic – though one more for hardcores than for casual fans (since Indiana was not in danger of losing in the final minute or so).  But for the talent on the floor and the level of play, you can’t get much better.   Michigan followed up with a grueling overtime win over Ohio State – as always the lesson is, the Big Ten of 2013 is a bear.  Of course with that comes a change in the power rankings which are faithfully updated (well, semi-regularly), and consequently the 68 team “should” field.  I won’t spend any time pondering the integrity of seeding and regional rules (i.e. not too many teams form one conference in one region etc).  Consider this a pure S-curve of the field.  For automatic bids, I’m going with the best record OR highest ranking in a tie.  I know UConn is not eligible – but I rank them anyway because I am lazy and it is a “should” field.  Anyhoo, here is the bracket.

REGION A: (Top overall seed, #2 seed is 8th ranked team)

  • (1) Duke v (16) NC Central/Charleston Southern
  • (8) Ole Miss v (9) Iowa State
  • (4) Butler v (13) Charlotte/BYU
  • (5) Colorado State v (12) Saint Louis
  • (2) New Mexico v (15) Harvard
  • (7) Wichita State v (10) Wisconsin
  • (3) Syracuse v (14) Davidson
  • (6) Middle Tennessee v (11) UCLA

REGION B: (4th overall seed, #2 seed is 5th ranked)

  • (1) Florida v (16) Montana
  • (8) Connecticut v (9) North Carolina
  • (4) Ohio State v (13) Stephen F Austin
  • (5) UNLV v (12) Oklahoma
  • (2) Kansas v (15) FL Gulf Coast
  • (7) NC State v (10) Colorado
  • (3) Minnesota v (14) North Dakota State
  • (6) Oregon v (11) Kentucky

REGION C: (2nd overall, #2 is 7th)

  • (1) Arizona v (16) Bryant/Southern
  • (8) Memphis v (9) Louisiana Tech
  • (4) Michigan State v (13) Akron
  • (5) Cincinnati v (12) San Diego State
  • (2) Miami-FL v (15) Niagara
  • (7) Oklahoma State v (10) LaSalle
  • (3) Gonzaga v (14) Stony Brook
  • (6) Georgetown v (11) Notre Dame

REGION D: (3rd overall, #2 is 6th)

  • (1) Michigan v (16) Long Beach State
  • (8) Kansas State v (9) VCU
  • (4) Creighton v (13) Bucknell
  • (5) Marquette v (12) Southern Miss
  • (2) Indiana v (15) Northeastern
  • (7) Pittsburgh v (10) Saint Mary’s
  • (3) Louisville v (14) Valparaiso
  • (6) Belmont v (11) Missouri

Quick impressions?

  1. It is an interesting top 4, with Florida getting trampled by Arkansas.  However, with Kansas losing at home Florida does not sag that much here.  Duke still holds the top spot, although their resume does not match the eye test.  Arizona is also one of those.
  2. Belmont as a 6 seed is probably the most lofty weird ranking – but the Pomeroy component of the comparison I think does a lot there.  I don’t expect the committee to regard them or Middle Tennessee quite this kindly.
  3. Of course 2013′s field – the “no great team” claim, is bolstered when one sees the top 2 teams in the standings (Duke and Arizona) and can think of #3 seeds (Syracuse, Louisville) who you’d pick to beat them in a best of 7.
  4. As far as who missed this field?  Baylor, Illinois, Stanford and Maryland.  Baylor gets the last spot in a UConn-free field.  Considering Illinois’ start this is rather amazing.  Maryland’s horrid nonleague schedule hurts them badly here.  Alabama, Indiana State, Arizona State and Massachusetts are even further off.

The conference breakdown

  • ACC (4): Duke, North Carolina, NC State, Miami-FL 
  • SEC (4): Ole Miss, Florida, Kentucky, Missouri
  • Big 12 (5): Iowa State, Oklahoma, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Kansas State
  • Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, Charlotte, Saint Louis, LaSalle, VCU
  • West Coast (3): BYU, Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s
  • Missouri Valley (2): Wichita State, Creighton
  • Big Ten (6): Wisconsin, Ohio State, Minnesota, Michigan State, Michigan, Indiana
  • Big East (8): Syracuse, Connecticut, Cincinnati, Georgetown, Notre Dame, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Louisville
  • Pac 12 (4): UCLA, Colorado, Oregon, Arizona
  • Mountain West (4): Colorado State, New Mexico, UNLV, San Diego State
  • Conference USA (2): Memphis, Southern Miss
  • WAC (1): Louisiana Tech
  • MAC (1): Akron
  • Colonial (1): Northeastern
  • Horizon (1): Valparaiso
  • Ohio Valley (1): Belmont
  • MEAC (1): NC Central
  • Big South (1): Charleston Southern
  • Ivy (1): Harvard
  • Southern (1): Davidson
  • Sun Belt (1): Middle Tennessee
  • Big Sky (1): Montana
  • Southland (1): Stephen F Austin
  • Atlantic Sun (1): FL Gulf Coast
  • Summit (1): North Dakota State
  • Northeast (1): Bryant
  • SWAC (1): Southern
  • MAAC (1): Niagara
  • America East (1): Stony Brook
  • Big West (1): Long Beach State
  • Patriot (1): Bucknell

2013 College Basketball – 1/28/2013

I confess, I was moving this weekend, so the commentary will be a bit lax – well aside, from about the #1 team, but you’ll see that later.  Well, with the conference season starting in earnest now, and finally having a couple of minutes to actually write about the power rankings which are faithfully updated (well, semi-regularly), we can unveil the 68 team “should” field.  I won’t spend any time pondering the integrity of seeding and regional rules (i.e. not too many teams form one conference in one region etc).  Consider this a pure S-curve of the field.  For automatic bids, I’m going with the best record OR highest ranking in a tie.  I know UConn is not eligible – but I rank them anyway because I am lazy and it is a “should” field.  Anyhoo, here is the bracket.

REGION A: (Top overall seed, #2 seed is 8th ranked team)

  • (1) Duke v (16) NC Central/Charleston Southern
  • (8) Louisiana Tech v (9) VCU
  • (4) Creighton v (13) Saint Mary’s/Kentucky
  • (5) Marquette v (12) Bucknell
  • (2) Miami-FL v (15) Stony Brook
  • (7) UCLA v (10) Memphis
  • (3) Indiana v (14) Davidson
  • (6) Belmont v (11) Oklahoma State

REGION B: (4th overall seed, #2 seed is 5th ranked)

  • (1) Florida v (16) Long Beach State
  • (8) Missouri v (9) Pittsburgh
  • (4) Minnesota v (13) Stephen F Austin
  • (5) Cincinnati v (12) Virginia
  • (2) Arizona v (15) FL Gulf Coast
  • (7) Oklahoma v (10) Georgetown
  • (3) New Mexico v (14) North Dakota State
  • (6) Ole Miss v (11) Wisconsin

REGION C: (2nd overall, #2 is 7th)

  • (1) Kansas v (16) Montana/Southern
  • (8) LaSalle v (9) Connecticut
  • (4) Butler v (13) BYU/Wyoming
  • (5) Michigan State v (12) North Carolina
  • (2) Gonzaga v (15) Harvard
  • (7) Colorado State v (10) Kansas State
  • (3) Louisville v (14) Northeastern
  • (6) UNLV v (11) Baylor

REGION D: (3rd overall, #2 is 6th)

  • (1) Michigan v (16) Bryant
  • (8) Colorado v (9) San Diego State
  • (4) Oregon v (13) Akron
  • (5) Ohio State v (12) Illinois
  • (2) Syracuse v (15) Niagara
  • (7) Middle Tennessee v (10) Iowa State
  • (3) Wichita State v (14) Valparaiso
  • (6) NC State v (11) Notre Dame

Quick impressions?

  1. Obviously, Louisville had a rough week.  I think they are a Top 5 team, but come on.
  2. Duke as the #1 team still?  They built up a large lead early with those big wins, but seriously.  Without Ryan Kelly, this does not look like a #1 team.  Indeed teams of this timber do not get their doors blown off – ever, even if it involves a team like Miami who looks legitimately good.
  3. Indiana knocking off Michigan State a big win in the Big Ten rockfight.  But seriously, it just muddles things more.