College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #12

If the season ended today -  (rankings here :)

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way – ignoring procedural seeding rules.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps.  This week, after looking at the criteria – it felt like we did need at least one “How did they play” component, so we’ve added the Pomeroy Ranking to the composition of the rankings.  Technically this is still only 20% of the crtieria, and at best 50% (since every team can be compared on both RPI and KenPom at the least).  So yes, this is not consistent with the frameworks earlier, but hopefully it is a better one in what the committee should be looking at:

BOSTON

  • (1) SYRACUSE vs (16) LONG ISLAND/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
  • (8) ORAL ROBERTS vs (9) Iowa State
  • (4) Saint Louis vs (13) Oregon
  • (5) Indiana vs (12) Purdue
  • (2) MISSOURI vs (15) DAVIDSON
  • (7) UNLV vs (10) BYU
  • (3) WICHITA STATE vs (14) AKRON
  • (6) SOUTHERN MISS vs (11) SAINT MARY’S

PHOENIX

  • (1) MICHIGAN STATE vs (16) WEBER STATE
  • (8) Virginia vs (9) Connecticut
  • (4) Georgetown vs (13) NEVADA
  • (5) Wisconsin vs (12) IONA
  • (2) North Carolina vs (15) VALPARAISO
  • (7) Memphis vs (10) MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
  • (3) Baylor vs (14) DREXEL
  • (6) Louisville vs (11) San Diego State

ATLANTA

  • (1) KENTUCKY vs (16) VERMONT/SAVANNAH STATE
  • (8) Alabama vs (9) Notre Dame
  • (4) Florida vs (13) Miami-FL/Arizona
  • (5) Florida State vs (12) LONG BEACH STATE
  • (2) Kansas vs (15) TEXAS-ARLINGTON
  • (7) Creighton vs (10) Kansas State
  • (3) Marquette vs (14) BELMONT
  • (6) CALIFORNIA vs (11) Texas

SAINT LOUIS

  • (1) DUKE vs (16) NC-ASHEVILLE
  • (8) Vanderbilt vs (9) West Virginia
  • (4) TEMPLE vs (13) Cincinnati/Washington
  • (5) Michigan vs (12) VCU
  • (2) Ohio State vs (15) BUCKNELL
  • (7) HARVARD vs (10) Seton Hall
  • (3) NEW MEXICO vs (14) MURRAY STATE
  • (6) Gonzaga vs (11) Northwestern

First four out: Xavier, South Dakota State, Saint Joseph’s, Massachusetts

Next four out: NC State, LSU, South Florida, Colorado State

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • Pac 12 (4)
  • Big East (9)
  • ACC (5)
  • Big Ten (7)
  • Mountain West (3)
  • Big 12 (6)
  • West Coast (3)
  • SEC (4)
  • Conference USA (2)
  • Missouri Valley (2)
  • Atlantic 10 (2)

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #11

If the season ended today -  (rankings here :)

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way – ignoring procedural seeding rules.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps:

BOSTON

  • (1) SYRACUSE v (16) NORFOLK STATE/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
  • (8) Memphis vs (9) Seton Hall
  • (4) Temple vs (13) West Virginia
  • (5) Creighton vs (12) Arkansas
  • (2) Baylor vs (15) BUCKNELL
  • (7) Florida State vs (10) NC State
  • (3) Marquette vs (14) DAVIDSON
  • (6) SAINT MARY’S vs (11) Connecticut

PHOENIX

  • (1) MISSOURI vs (16) VALPARAISO
  • (8) San Diego State vs (9) Iowa State
  • (4) Gonzaga vs (13) MURRAY STATE
  • (5) Michigan vs (12) Minnesota
  • (2) North Carolina vs (15) LONG ISLAND
  • (7) Vanderbilt vs (10) HARVARD
  • (3) Louisville vs (14) LONG BEACH STATE
  • (6) Wisconsin vs (11) Oregon

ATLANTA

  • (1) KENTUCKY vs (16) UNC-ASHEVILLE/STONY BROOK
  • (8) CALIFORNIA vs (9) Alabama
  • (4) UNLV vs (13) Mississippi/Arizona
  • (5) SOUTHERN MISS vs (12) NEVADA
  • (2) Kansas vs (15) WEBER STATE
  • (7) Virginia vs (10) IONA
  • (3) Michigan State vs (14) AKRON
  • (6) Saint Louis vs (11) Notre Dame

SAINT LOUIS

  • (1) DUKE vs (16) MERCER
  • (8) New Mexico vs (9) Mississippi State
  • (4) WICHITA STATE vs (13) Washington/Northern Iowa
  • (5) Indiana vs (12) Kansas State
  • (2) OHIO STATE vs (15) TEXAS-ARLINGTON
  • (7) ORAL ROBERTS vs (10) MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
  • (3) Georgetown vs (14) VCU
  • (6) Florida vs (11) Brigham Young

First four out: Miami-FL, Xavier, Illinois, Massachusetts

Next four out: Northwestern, Saint Joseph’s, Purdue, Texas

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • Pac 12 (4)
  • Missouri Valley (3)
  • SEC (7)
  • Big East (8)
  • Big 12 (5)
  • Big Ten (6)
  • West Coast (3)
  • ACC (5)
  • Conference USA (2)
  • Mountain West (3)
  • Atlantic 10 (2)

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #10

If the season ended today -  (rankings here :)

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way – ignoring procedural seeding rules.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps:

BOSTON

  • (1) SYRACUSE vs (16) NORFOLK STATE/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
  • (8) ORAL ROBERTS vs (9) Iowa State
  • (4) Florida State vs (13) Brigham Young/Northern Iowa
  • (5) Gonzaga vs (12) North Carolina State
  • (2) CREIGHTON vs (15) WEBER STATE
  • (7) Wisconsin vs (10) Arkansas
  • (3) Florida vs (14) VCU
  • (6) Connecticut vs (11) Minnesota

PHOENIX

  • (1) BAYLOR vs (16) TEXAS-ARLINGTON
  • (8) Virginia vs (9) Saint Louis
  • (4) Kansas vs (13) NEVADA
  • (5) Louisville vs (12) MURRAY STATE
  • (2) NORTH CAROLINA vs (15) BUCKNELL
  • (7) Vanderbilt vs (10) Kansas State
  • (3) Georgetown vs (14) WASHINGTON
  • (6) Wichita State vs (11) IONA

ATLANTA

  • (1) KENTUCKY vs (16) LONG ISLAND/STONY BROOK
  • (8) West Virginia vs (9) New Mexico
  • (4) Michigan State vs (13) CLEVELAND STATE
  • (5) SAINT MARY’S vs (12) Miami-FL
  • (2) Duke vs (15) AKRON
  • (7) Mississippi State vs (10) Memphis
  • (3) SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI vs (14) DAVIDSON
  • (6) SAN DIEGO STATE vs (11) Illinois

SAINT LOUIS

  • (1) OHIO STATE vs (16) UNC-ASHEVILLE
  • (8) Alabama vs (9) Harvard
  • (4) TEMPLE vs (13) Xavier/Mississippi
  • (5) UNLV vs (12) Seton Hall
  • (2) Missouri vs (15) BELMONT
  • (7) Indiana vs (10) California
  • (3) Marquette vs (14) LONG BEACH STATE
  • (6) Michigan vs (11) MIDDLE TENNESSEE

First four out: Arizona, Northwestern, Ohio, Saint Joseph’s

Next four out: South Dakota State, Purdue, Pittsburgh, Colorado State

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • Missouri Valley (3)
  • SEC (7)
  • Atlantic 10 (3)
  • West Coast (3)
  • ACC (6)
  • Big East (7)
  • Big Ten (7)
  • Conference USA (2)
  • Pac 12 (2)
  • Big 12 (5)
  • Mountain West (3)

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #9

If the season ended today -  (rankings here :)

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way – ignoring procedural seeding rules.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps:

BOSTON

  • (1) SYRACUSE vs (16) UNC-ASHEVILLE/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
  • (8) ORAL ROBERTS vs (9) Connecticut
  • (4) Michigan State vs (13) CLEVELAND STATE
  • (5) SAINT MARY’S vs (12) IONA
  • (2) Missouri vs (15) LONG BEACH STATE
  • (7) Michigan vs (10) HARVARD
  • (3) Marquette vs (14) WEBER STATE
  • (6) Florida State vs (11) Mississippi

PHOENIX

  • (1) Duke vs (16) TEXAS-ARLINGTON
  • (8) West Virginia vs (9) Illinois
  • (4) Florida vs (13) MASSACHUSETTS
  • (5) Indiana vs (12) Iowa State
  • (2) Ohio State vs (15) BELMONT
  • (7) Mississippi State vs (10) Minnesota
  • (3) Temple vs (14) NEVADA
  • (6) Wisconsin vs (11) Arkansas

ATLANTA

  • (1) KENTUCKY vs (16) LONG ISLAND/STONY BROOK
  • (8) CALIFORNIA vs (9) Kansas State
  • (4) UNLV vs (13) Dayton/BYU
  • (5) Georgetown vs (12) Purdue
  • (2) KANSAS vs (15) BUCKNELL
  • (7) Wichita State vs (10) Alabama
  • (3) Creighton vs (14) AKRON
  • (6) Virginia vs (11) MIDDLE TENNESSEE

SAINT LOUIS

  • (1) Baylor vs (16) NORFOLK STATE
  • (8) Seton Hall vs (9) Memphis
  • (4) SOUTHERN MISS vs (13) NC State/Colorado State
  • (5) Vanderbilt vs (12) MURRAY STATE
  • (2) North Carolina vs (15) GEORGE MASON
  • (7) San Diego State vs (10) New Mexico
  • (3) Gonzaga vs (14) DAVIDSON
  • (6) Louisville vs (11) Xavier

First four out: Oregon, Saint Louis, Ohio, Northern Iowa

Next four out: Washington, Northwestern, Stanford, Saint Joseph’s

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • West Coast (3)
  • Atlantic 10 (4)
  • Mountain West (4)
  • ACC (5)
  • Big Ten (8)
  • Big 12 (5)
  • SEC (7)
  • Conference USA (2)
  • Big East (7)
  • Missouri Valley (2)

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #8

If the season ended today -  (rankings here :)

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way – ignoring procedural seeding rules.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps:

BTW: Got a lot of traffic from Seton Hall fans for having them as a #2 seed.  Hey, as of last Sunday their resume was excellent.  I am not saying it will hold or trying to “predict” – more a “should” bracket than a “will”.  Either way, they have been excellent this season – enjoy!

BOSTON

  • (1) SYRACUSE vs (16) UNC-ASHEVILLE/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
  • (8) Florida vs (9) Virginia
  • (4) DAYTON vs (13) Oregon/Iowa State
  • (5) West Virginia vs (12) Colorado State
  • (2) North Carolina vs (15) AKRON
  • (7) Michigan vs (10) MURRAY STATE
  • (3) CREIGHTON vs (14) LONG BEACH STATE
  • (6) Wichita State vs (11) North Carolina State

PHOENIX

  • (1) Missouri vs (16) GEORGE MASON
  • (8) CALIFORNIA vs (9) IONA
  • (4) Gonzaga vs (13) DAVIDSON
  • (5) Southern Miss vs (12) Mississippi
  • (2) KANSAS vs (15) NORFOLK STATE
  • (7) Louisville vs (10) Minnesota
  • (3) Marquette vs (14) CENTRAL FLORIDA
  • (6) UConn vs (11) MIDDLE TENNESSEE

ATLANTA

  • (1) KENTUCKY vs (16) TEXAS-ARLINGTON/BOSTON UNIVERSITY
  • (8) Vanderbilt vs (9) Florida State
  • (4) Michigan State vs (13) Memphis/Purdue
  • (5) Temple vs (12) Northern Iowa
  • (2) OHIO STATE vs (15) BELMONT
  • (7) Illinois vs (10) Alabama
  • (3) Seton Hall vs (14) WEBER STATE
  • (6) Mississippi State vs (11) HARVARD

SAINT LOUIS

  • (1) DUKE vs (16) LONG ISLAND
  • (8) SAINT MARY’S vs (9) SAN DIEGO STATE
  • (4) UNLV vs (13) CLEVELAND STATE
  • (5) Indiana vs (12) Arkansas
  • (2) Baylor vs (15) BUCKNELL
  • (7) Wisconsin vs (10) ORAL ROBERTS
  • (3) Georgetown vs (14) NEVADA
  • (6) Kansas State vs (11) Xavier

First four out: New Mexico, Saint Louis, South Dakota State, Denver

Next four out: Marshall, Northwestern, Ohio, Stanford

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • Big 12 (5)
  • Big Ten (8)
  • Conference USA (3)
  • Pac 12 (2)
  • Mountain West (3)
  • Missouri Valley (3)
  • SEC (7)
  • Atlantic 10 (3)
  • West Coast (2)
  • Big East (7)

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #7

If the season ended today -  (rankings here :)

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way – ignoring procedural seeding rules.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps:

BOSTON

  • (1) SYRACUSE vs (16) UNC-ASHEVILLE/TEXAS SOUTHERN
  • (8) COLORADO STATE vs (9) ORAL ROBERTS
  • (4) Georgetown vs (13) MURRAY STATE
  • (5) Virginia vs (12) San Diego State/Harvard
  • (2) Ohio State vs (15) AKRON
  • (7) IONA vs (10) Memphis
  • (3) MICHIGAN STATE vs (14) GEORGE MASON
  • (6) SAINT MARY’S vs (11) Florida

PHOENIX

  • (1) KENTUCKY vs (16) TEXAS-ARLINGTON
  • (8) Temple vs (9) Xavier
  • (4) CREIGHTON vs (13) NEVADA
  • (5) Southern Miss vs (12) Wisconsin
  • (2) Connecticut vs (15) LONG ISLAND
  • (7) Michigan vs (10) Long Island
  • (3) Kansas vs (14) WEBER STATE
  • (6) DAYTON vs (11) Purdue

SAINT LOUIS

  • (1) BAYLOR vs (16) PENNSYLVANIA/ALBANY
  • (8) Louisville vs (9) Minnesota
  • (4) Indiana vs (13) MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  • (5) Alabama vs (12) Kansas State/NC State
  • (2) Missouri vs (15) MILWAUKEE
  • (7) West Virginia vs (10) Northern Iowa
  • (3) Gonzaga vs (14) BELMONT
  • (6) Mississippi State vs (11) Denver

ATLANTA

  • (1) DUKE vs (16) BUCKNELL
  • (8) CALIFORNIA vs (9) Wichita State
  • (4) North Carolina vs (13) DAVIDSON
  • (5) Marquette vs (12) Stanford
  • (2) Seton Hall vs (15) NORFOLK STATE
  • (7) Vanderbilt vs (10) MARSHALL
  • (3) Illinois vs (14) LONG BEACH STATE
  • (6) UNLV vs (11) New Mexico

First four out: Oregon, Arkansas, Florida State, BYU

Next four out: Iowa State, Saint Joseph’s, Arizona, Saint Louis

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • ACC (4)
  • Pac 12 (2)
  • Big Ten (9)
  • Mountain West (4)
  • SEC (5)
  • Conference USA (3)
  • Missouri Valley (3)
  • Ivy League (2)
  • Sun Belt (2)
  • Big East (7)
  • Atlantic 10 (3)
  • West Coast (2)
  • Big 12 (4)

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #6

If the season ended today – correcting for a horrid math error (rankings here :)

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way – ignoring procedural seeding rules.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps:

BOSTON

  • (1) Syracuse vs (16) MISSISSIPPI VALLEY-UNC ASHEVILLE
  • (8) Florida vs (9) SAINT MARY’S
  • (4) Kansas vs (13) CLEVELAND STATE
  • (5) Temple vs (12) MARSHALL
  • (2) Gonzaga vs (15) GEORGE MASON
  • (7) Kansas State vs (10) Mississippi
  • (3) Missouri vs (14) BELMONT
  • (6) Marquette vs (11) Mississippi State

PHOENIX

  • (1) KENTUCKY vs (16) BUCKNELL
  • (8) Vanderbilt vs (9) ORAL ROBERTS
  • (4) Illinois vs (13) LONG BEACH STATE
  • (5) Georgetown vs (12) MURRAY STATE
  • (2) Duke vs (15) AKRON
  • (7) Louisville vs (10) Wichita State
  • (3) Ohio State vs (14) LASALLE
  • (6) UNLV vs (11) Harvard

SAINT LOUIS

  • (1) Indiana vs (16) TEXAS-ARLINGTON/STONY BROOK
  • (8) West Virginia vs (9) Northern Iowa
  • (4) Alabama vs (13) DAVIDSON
  • (5) Virginia vs (12) Arizona/NC State
  • (2) MICHIGAN STATE vs (15) WEBER STATE
  • (7) Purdue vs (10) Iowa State
  • (3) Connecticut vs (14) COLORADO
  • (6) IONA vs (11) Xavier

ATLANTA

  • (1) BAYLOR vs (16) LONG ISLAND
  • (8) Denver vs (9) California
  • (4) CREIGHTON vs (13) MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  • (5) Michigan vs (12) Saint Joseph’s/Minnesota
  • (2) Seton Hall vs (15) NORFOLK STATE
  • (7) Dayton vs (10) Colorado State
  • (3) North Carolina vs (14) NEVADA
  • (6) Southern Miss vs (11) Northwestern

First four out: Stanford, New Mexico, Ohio, Memphis

Next four out: Arkansas, Oregon, Texas, LSU

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • Big East (7)
  • SEC (6)
  • West Coast (2)
  • Big 12 (5)
  • Atlantic 10 (5)
  • Conference USA (2)
  • Big Ten (8)
  • ACC (4)
  • Missouri Valley (3)
  • Mountain West (2)
  • Pac 12 (3)
  • Sun Belt (2)

 

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #5

If the season ended today (rankings here :)

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps:

  1. SYRACUSE
  2. BAYLOR
  3. Indiana
  4. MURRAY STATE
  5. KENTUCKY
  6. VIRGINIA
  7. Seton Hall
  8. Missouri
  9. Ohio State
  10. Duke
  11. SOUTHERN MISS
  12. HARVARD
  13. MICHIGAN STATE
  14. GONZAGA
  15. UConn
  16. IONA
  17. UNLV
  18. Georgetown
  19. Kansas State
  20. CREIGHTON
  21. North Carolina
  22. Saint Mary’s
  23. Illinois
  24. Kansas
  25. Middle Tennessee
  26. Denver
  27. Alabama
  28. CLEVELAND STATE
  29. New Mexico
  30. Michigan
  31. San Diego State
  32. Iowa State
  33. Florida
  34. Purdue
  35. Louisville
  36. West Virginia
  37. Ohio
  38. Wichita State
  39. California
  40. Northern Iowa
  41. DAYTON
  42. Mississippi State
  43. ORAL ROBERTS
  44. Central Florida
  45. Stanford
  46. Marquette
  47. Colorado State
  48. Arkansas
  49. Brigham Young
  50. Charleston/Virginia Tech
  51. Robert Morris/Vanderbilt
  52. DAVIDSON
  53. NEVADA
  54. GEORGE MASON
  55. LONG BEACH STATE
  56. BELMONT
  57. NORFOLK STATE
  58. COLORADO
  59. WEBER STATE
  60. LONG ISLAND
  61. BUFFALO
  62. LAMAR
  63. BUCKNELL/TEXAS SOUTHERN
  64. STONY BROOK/NC-ASHEVILLE

The first four teams out:

  1. Marshall
  2. Wagner
  3. Saint Louis
  4. NC State

The next four teams out:

  1. Northwestern
  2. Temple
  3. Arizona
  4. LaSalle

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #4

If the season ended today (rankings here :)

AUTOMATIC BIDS (31) (ties broken with pairwise ranking):

  • America East: Albany (8-6, #151)
  • Atlantic 10: Saint Louis (12-2, #34)
  • ACC: Duke (12-1, #3)
  • Atlantic Sun: Belmont (9-5, #73)
  • Big 12: Baylor (13-0, #2)
  • Big East: Syracuse (15-0, #1)
  • Big Sky: Weber State (10-3, #81)
  • Big South: Coastal Carolina (10-3, #94)
  • Big Ten: Ohio State (13-2, #20)
  • Big West: Cal State-Fullerton (9-3, #141)
  • Colonial: VCU (10-3, #79)
  • Conference USA: Southern Miss (13-2, #18)
  • Horizon: Milwaukee (10-5, #102)
  • Ivy: Harvard (12-1, #11)
  • Metro Atlantic: Fairfield (8-6, #137)
  • Mid-American: Ohio (12-1, #13)
  • MEAC: Norfolk State (10-5, #77)
  • Missouri Valley: Missouri State (9-5, #89)
  • Mountain West: UNLV (15-2, #19)
  • Northeast: Robert Morris (10-4, #62)
  • Ohio Valley: Murray State (14-0, #7)
  • Pac 12: California (12-3, #56)
  • Patriot: Lehigh (11-4, #47)
  • SEC: Kentucky (13-1, #8)
  • Southern: Charleston (10-3, #53)
  • Southland: Lamar (9-5, #98)
  • SWAC: Jackson State (2-10, #203)
  • Summit: South Dakota State (12-4, #41)
  • Sun Belt: Middle Tennessee State (13-2, #35)
  • West Coast: Saint Mary’s (13-2, #29)
  • WAC: Nevada (10-3, #83)

The two opening round doubleheaders feature, the last 4 at-large teams and the 4 lowest seeds in general:

  • Bubble Matchups: Kansas vs Virginia Tech, New Mexico vs Iowa State
  • Lowest Seeds: Weber State vs Jackson State, Maine vs Charleston Southern

The draw, disregarding regions and seeding rules:

EAST (Boston)

  • (1) Syracuse vs (16) Cal State-Fullerton/Albany
  • (8) Cleveland State vs (9) Alabama
  • (4) Seton Hall vs (13) Indiana State/West Virginia
  • (5) Gonzaga vs (12) Wichita State/Oral Roberts
  • (2) Kentucky vs (15) Nevada
  • (7) Creighton vs (10) Denver
  • (3) North Carolina vs (14) Weber State
  • (6) Louisville vs (11) South Dakota State

WEST (Phoenix)

  • (1) Connecticut vs (16) Milwaukee
  • (8) Saint Mary’s vs (9) Illinois
  • (4) Ohio vs (13) Robert Morris
  • (5) Michigan State vs (12) Wagner
  • (2) Missouri vs (15) Lamar
  • (7) Oklahoma vs (10) Purdue
  • (3) Virginia vs (14) Belmont
  • (6) Marquette vs (11) Colorado State

MIDWEST (Saint Louis)

  • (1) Baylor vs (16) Fairfield/Jackson State
  • (8) Minnesota vs (9) Saint Louis
  • (4) Ohio State vs (13) Charleston
  • (5) Southern Miss vs (12) Lehigh
  • (2) Murray State vs (15) Missouri State
  • (7) San Diego State vs (10) New Mexico
  • (3) Kansas State vs (14) VCU
  • (6) Michigan vs (11) Wisconsin

SOUTH (Atlanta)

  • (1) Duke vs (16) Eastern Kentucky
  • (8) Mississippi State vs (9) Middle Tennessee State
  • (4) Georgetown vs (13) California
  • (5) UNLV vs (12) Virginia Tech
  • (2) Indiana vs (15) Coastal Carolina
  • (7) Florida vs (10) Temple
  • (3) Harvard vs (14) Norfolk State
  • (6) Iona vs (11) North Dakota State

Conference Ratings

  1. Big Ten
  2. Big 12
  3. SEC
  4. ACC
  5. Mountain West
  6. Big East
  7. Atlantic 10
  8. Missouri Valley
  9. West Coast
  10. Pac 12

College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #3

If the season ended today (rankings here :)

AUTOMATIC BIDS (31) (ties broken with pairwise ranking):

  • America East: Maine (6-4, #117)
  • Atlantic 10: Saint Louis (11-1, #17)
  • ACC: Duke (10-1, #4)
  • Atlantic Sun: Belmont (8-5, #79)
  • Big 12: Baylor (12-0, #3)
  • Big East: Syracuse (13-0, #1)
  • Big Sky: Weber State (8-3, #107)
  • Big South: Charleston Southern (7-4, #138)
  • Big Ten: Ohio State (12-1, #6)
  • Big West: Long Beach State (7-6, #87)
  • Colonial: VCU (9-3, #101)
  • Conference USA: Southern Miss (10-2, #23)
  • Horizon: Cleveland State (11-2, #22)
  • Ivy: Harvard (10-1, #28)
  • Metro Atlantic: Iona (10-2, #19)
  • Mid-American: Ohio (11-1, #11)
  • MEAC: Norfolk State (9-5, #85)
  • Missouri Valley: Creighton (10-1, #12)
  • Mountain West: UNLV (13-2, #30)
  • Northeast: Robert Morris (10-3, #48)
  • Ohio Valley: Murray State (13-0, #9)
  • Pac 12: California (10-3, #58)
  • Patriot: Lehigh (9-4, #57)
  • SEC: Kentucky (11-1, #13)
  • Southern: Charleston (10-2, #37)
  • Southland: Lamar (8-4, #82)
  • SWAC: Jackson State (2-10, #199)
  • Summit: South Dakota State (10-4, #56)
  • Sun Belt: Denver (10-2, #27)
  • West Coast: Gonzaga (9-2, #32)
  • WAC: Nevada (9-3, #80)

At Larges (37)

  1. Louisville (12-0, #2)
  2. Missouri (12-0, #5)
  3. Marquette (11-1, #7)
  4. UConn (12-0, #8)
  5. Seton Hall (11-1, #10)
  6. Kansas State (10-1, #14)
  7. Virginia (10-1, #16)
  8. Minnesota (12-1, #17)
  9. North Carolina (11-2, #18)
  10. Oklahoma (9-1, #20)
  11. Mississippi State (12-1, #21)
  12. Georgetown (10-1, #24)
  13. Northern Iowa (10-2, #25)
  14. Wisconsin (11-2, #26)
  15. Michigan State (11-2, #29)
  16. Michigan (10-2, #31)
  17. Illinois (11-2, #33)
  18. Indiana State (9-2, #34)
  19. Wichita State (9-2, #35)
  20. Florida (10-2, #36)
  21. San Diego State (11-2, #38)
  22. Saint Mary’s (11-2, #39)
  23. Middle Tennessee State (11-2, #40)
  24. Northwestern (10-2, #41)
  25. Marshall (9-2, #42)
  26. Alabama (9-3, #43)
  27. Saint Joseph’s (9-3, #44)
  28. Pittsburgh (11-2, #45)
  29. Wyoming (12-2, #46)
  30. Ole Miss (9-3, #47)
  31. Xavier (9-3, #49)
  32. West Virginia (9-3, #50)
  33. Purdue (10-3, #51)
  34. Kansas (8-3, #52)
  35. New Mexico (10-2, #53)
  36. Iowa State (10-3, #54)
  37. Virginia Tech (10-3, #55)

The two opening round doubleheaders feature, the last 4 at-large teams and the 4 lowest seeds in general:

  • Bubble Matchups: Kansas vs Virginia Tech, New Mexico vs Iowa State
  • Lowest Seeds: Weber State vs Jackson State, Maine vs Charleston Southern

The draw, disregarding regions and seeding rules:

EAST (Boston)

  • (1) Syracuse vs (16) Maine/Charleston Southern
  • (8) Gonzaga vs (9) Illinois
  • (4) Minnesota vs (13) Xavier
  • (5) Saint Louis vs (12) Robert Morris
  • (2) Connecticut vs (15) Belmont
  • (7) Northern Iowa vs (10) Middle Tennessee
  • (3) Murray State vs (14) California
  • (6) Georgetown vs (11) Northwestern

SOUTH (Atlanta)

  • (1) Duke vs (16) Long Beach State
  • (8) Harvard vs (9) Florida
  • (4) Kentucky vs (13) Kansas/Virginia Tech
  • (5) Oklahoma vs (12) Pittsburgh
  • (2) Missouri vs (15) Norfolk State
  • (7) Harvard vs (10) Charleston
  • (3) Creighton vs (14) New Mexico/Iowa State
  • (6) Mississippi State vs (11) Saint Joseph’s

MIDWEST (Saint Louis)

  • (1) Louisville vs (16) Weber State/Jackson State
  • (8) Michigan vs (9) Indiana State
  • (4) Virginia vs (13) West Virginia
  • (5) North Carolina vs (12) Ole Miss
  • (2) Marquette vs (15) Nevada
  • (7) Wisconsin vs (10) Saint Mary’s
  • (3) Seton Hall vs (14) Lehigh
  • (6) Southern Miss vs (11) Marshall

WEST (Phoenix)

  • (1) Baylor vs (16) VCU
  • (8) UNLV vs (9) Wichita State
  • (4) Kansas State vs (13) Purdue
  • (5) Iona vs (12) Wyoming
  • (2) Ohio State vs (15) Lamar
  • (7) Denver vs (10) San Diego State
  • (3) Ohio vs (14) South Dakota State
  • (6) Cleveland State vs (11) Alabama

Conference Ratings

  1. Big Ten
  2. Big 12
  3. Mountain West
  4. Big East
  5. SEC
  6. ACC
  7. Missouri Valley
  8. Atlantic 10
  9. West Coast
  10. Pac 12