NCAA Power Rankings and BCS Do-Over – Week 4

First, a plug for Adam, whose rankings probably make more sense than these!

Another rough day for the ACC (and indirectly a rough day for Alabama) shakes the rankings up.  Add Florida’s best performance of the year, and thus a change at the top.  Nebraska was the noticeable plunger of the group – mostly due to a meh performance against an FCS side.  Texas of course fell the most based on the disaster against UCLA.  You can see how we do it here.  Anyway, the results puh-leeze!

Rank Team W L Margin Sched Rtg SOS Rank
1 Florida 4 0 35.98 12.35 10
2 Ohio State 4 0 33.05 5.05 33
3 Alabama 3 0 32.56 2.22 51
4 Stanford 4 0 31.13 -0.43 68
5 Arizona 4 0 29.75 10.25 17
6 Oklahoma State 3 0 27.92 4.42 35
7 Missouri 4 0 27.75 7.5 25
8 TCU 4 0 27.48 3.48 42
9 Miami-FL 2 1 26.61 7.86 22
10 Iowa 3 1 26.31 4.18 39
11 California 2 2 26.25 12.5 9
12 Auburn 4 0 25.85 14.98 5
13 Oregon 4 0 25.54 -6.4 104
14 LSU 4 0 25.33 9.96 18
15 UCLA 2 2 24.21 22.58 1
16 USC 3 0 23.19 11.86 13
17 Oklahoma 4 0 22.9 11.77 14
18 Nebraska 4 0 22.78 -2.66 82
19 NC State 4 0 22.54 3.41 43
20 Nevada 4 0 19.67 -4.96 97
21 Penn State 3 1 19.1 7.97 21
22 Boise State 3 0 18.67 1.67 55
23 San Diego State 3 1 17.45 -5.05 98
24 Virginia Tech 2 2 16.61 7.48 26
25 South Carolina 3 1 16.52 3.15 45
26 Arkansas 3 0 16.52 -6.48 105
27 Notre Dame 1 3 16.4 20.27 2
28 Clemson 2 1 15.26 -4.07 93
29 Michigan 4 0 15.18 -1.69 78
30 Michigan State 4 0 14.91 -4.22 94
31 Houston 3 1 14.16 -2.72 83
32 Texas A&M 3 0 14.13 -9.7 114
33 Mississippi State 2 2 13.54 7.17 27
34 Arizona State 2 2 13.41 4.04 40
35 Georgia 1 3 13.35 10.35 16
36 Central Michigan 2 2 13.04 -3.02 88
37 Oregon State 1 2 12.67 16.5 4
38 Utah 4 0 12.54 -12.71 118
39 North Carolina 1 2 12.44 13.94 7
40 UCF 2 2 12.14 2.27 50
41 West Virginia 3 1 12 0.12 63
42 FIU 0 3 11.72 18.06 3
43 Northwestern 4 0 11.68 -3.07 89
44 Kansas State 4 0 11.66 0.66 59
45 Temple 3 1 11.09 6.46 28
46 Vanderbilt 1 2 10.61 13.44 8
47 Illinois 2 1 10.31 1.64 56
48 Florida State 3 1 9.9 -5.6 100
49 Maryland 3 1 9.79 -0.58 70
50 Virginia 2 1 9.79 -8.88 112
51 Kentucky 3 1 9.44 -1.88 79
52 Wisconsin 4 0 9.35 -8.77 111
53 Baylor 3 1 9.29 -2.77 86
54 SMU 2 2 8.36 4.99 34
55 Fresno State 2 1 8.31 1.31 58
56 Air Force 3 1 8.12 -8.38 109
57 Texas 3 1 8.11 -1.64 76
58 Toledo 3 1 7.69 5.69 30
59 Iowa State 2 2 7.46 4.34 36
60 Cincinnati 1 3 6.94 4.31 37
61 Troy 2 2 6.88 3.63 41
62 Washington 1 2 6.86 11.19 15
63 Pittsburgh 1 2 6.4 8.24 20
64 Connecticut 2 2 6.33 -1.67 77
65 Georgia Tech 2 2 6.16 0.54 62
66 Tennessee 2 2 5.71 7.58 24
67 Idaho 2 2 4.77 -5.73 101
68 Texas Tech 2 1 4.17 -6.25 102
69 Army 3 1 2.96 -8.54 110
70 Hawaii 2 2 2.8 -0.7 71
71 Navy 2 1 2.28 -4.56 95
72 Southern Miss 3 1 2.15 -3.35 90
73 East Carolina 2 1 1.61 -0.22 67
74 Colorado 2 1 1.19 -0.22 66
75 Tulsa 2 2 1.11 -1.58 75
76 Indiana 3 0 0.95 -21.22 121
77 South Florida 2 1 0.94 -7.89 108
78 BYU 1 3 0.85 12.35 11
79 Rutgers 2 1 -0.03 -11.36 117
80 Boston College 2 1 -0.03 -4.03 92
81 Ole Miss 2 2 -0.63 -5.5 99
82 Syracuse 3 1 -1.7 -18.39 120
83 Northern Illinois 2 2 -2.4 -3.52 91
84 Western Michigan 1 2 -2.8 -2.13 80
85 Wake Forest 2 2 -3.3 2.14 52
86 Minnesota 1 3 -3.82 -0.2 65
87 Florida Atlantic 1 2 -4.06 0.11 64
88 UTEP 3 1 -4.26 -11.14 116
89 Utah State 1 3 -4.39 2.8 47
90 UNLV 1 3 -4.83 3.29 44
91 Kent State 1 2 -5.09 -4.92 96
92 Kansas 2 2 -5.37 -9 113
93 Louisiana Tech 1 3 -5.61 1.7 54
94 Ohio 1 3 -5.67 -2.74 84
95 Miami-OH 2 2 -5.9 -0.46 69
96 MTSU 2 2 -6.15 -15.15 119
97 Marshall 1 3 -6.23 5.21 32
98 Bowling Green 1 3 -6.23 0.58 61
99 San Jose State 1 3 -6.46 12.1 12
100 Louisville 1 2 -6.51 -6.34 103
101 UAB 1 3 -7 -2.75 85
102 Western Kentucky 0 4 -7.35 14.4 6
103 Rice 1 3 -7.44 4.19 38
104 Duke 1 3 -7.64 1.73 53
105 North Texas 1 3 -8.23 0.65 60
106 Buffalo 1 3 -8.46 -1.09 72
107 Memphis 1 3 -8.58 2.48 48
108 Eastern Michigan 0 4 -9.19 9.69 19
109 Purdue 2 2 -9.28 -9.9 115
110 Tulane 1 2 -9.36 -1.53 74
111 Arkansas State 1 3 -11.67 -7.79 107
112 Wyoming 1 3 -11.76 2.36 49
113 Akron 0 4 -12.02 5.29 31
114 LA-Monroe 1 2 -14.11 -2.94 87
115 Ball State 1 3 -14.39 -7.08 106
116 Colorado State 1 3 -14.86 3.01 46
117 Washington State 1 2 -16.13 -1.3 73
118 New Mexico State 0 3 -17.75 5.83 29
119 LA-Lafayette 1 2 -18.5 -2.5 81
120 FCS 6 72 -19.77 1.41 57
121 New Mexico 0 4 -25.17 7.65 23

How would this manifest itself in BCS language?

  1. Top 2 in the BCS title game.  Florida and Ohio State in different conferences, so no mystery here.
  2. ACC, SEC, Pac-10, Big Ten, Big East and Big 12 champions.  So this reveals Miami, Florida, Stanford, Ohio State, West Virginia and Oklahoma State.
  3. Highest ranked non-BCS team in the Top 12.  TCU at #8.
  4. Notre Dame is a non-issue.
  5. Alabama, who would be an at-large is ranked #3 so they automatically qualify.

So this leaves two teams to fill at-large positions.  So we look to the non-SEC choices in the Top 14 (since the SEC has filled its allotment).  Arizona (5), Missouri (7), Iowa (10), Oregon (13) are your choices.  Given this decision set, Arizona and Iowa get the nods.

As for slotting, the Sugar and Rose Bowls lose their anchor positions.  So the Sugar Bowl gets a replacement first, so they take Alabama in this alignment.  The Rose Bowl automatically gobbles up TCU (since the Rose Bowl automatically takes the highest ranked non-BCS qualifier it is has a slot open).  The rest of the slots are filled in Sugar-Orange-Fiesta priority.

  • BCS Title Game: Florida vs Ohio State
  • Rose Bowl: Stanford vs TCU
  • Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs Iowa
  • Orange Bowl: Miami vs West Virginia
  • Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma State vs Arizona
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