NFL Power Rankings – Week 4

Four weeks in the books, and this past week got some real key results – the Steelers no longer being unbeaten and the Bears being undressed in New York in maybe the worst football game of the season so far.  Add in the Patriots well rounded demolition of Miami, and we get a lot of change. As always, 50% of the rating is average margin of victory with adjustments for home field and diminishing marginal returns (so running up the score has less value) and the other half is the average margin of victory of a team’s opponents in all the other games those opponents play. (i.e. a team’s 3 opponent rating is 50% based on the team’s effort, and 50% on the average margin of the 3 opponents in their other games against the other teams on their schedule to date)

Rank Team W L T Margin Sched Rtg SOS Rank Last Wk
1 Steelers 3 1 0 20.708 10.021 1 1
2 Jets 3 1 0 14.604 1.604 16 5
3 Chiefs 3 0 0 14.278 3.111 9 8
4 Ravens 3 1 0 13.021 8.896 2 11
5 Chargers 2 2 0 12.042 0.167 22 10
6 Patriots 3 1 0 11.479 1.292 20 14
7 Titans 2 2 0 11.271 2.896 11 4
8 Packers 3 1 0 8.854 -1.146 28 3
9 Colts 2 2 0 8.417 -0.458 24 7
10 Falcons 3 1 0 8.354 -0.896 25 2
11 Eagles 2 2 0 5.688 0 23 9
12 Redskins 2 2 0 5.625 5.375 4 23
13 Broncos 2 2 0 4.958 2.708 12 21
14 Cowboys 1 2 0 4.833 2.167 14 13
15 Texans 3 1 0 4.479 1.229 21 12
16 Bengals 2 2 0 4.438 1.563 17 20
17 Seahawks 2 2 0 4.208 2.958 10 15
18 Bears 3 1 0 3.958 1.958 15 6
19 Browns 1 3 0 3.646 4.146 5 19
20 Rams 2 2 0 2.813 -4.313 31 24
21 Lions 0 4 0 0.708 4.083 6 22
22 Saints 3 1 0 0.333 -2.292 29 16
23 Vikings 1 2 0 0.167 -2.667 30 16
24 Giants 2 2 0 -1.75 1.375 19 28
25 Bucs 2 1 0 -2.833 -1 27 25
26 Dolphins 2 2 0 -3.188 1.563 17 18
27 Jaguars 2 2 0 -3.75 5.375 3 31
28 Raiders 1 3 0 -6.938 -0.938 26 26
29 49ers 0 4 0 -6.979 3.146 8 30
30 Cardinals 2 2 0 -9.563 2.5 13 27
31 Bills 0 4 0 -10.688 3.563 7 29
32 Panthers 0 4 0 -13.083 -4.583 32 32

Some observations:

  • The Chiefs are the last unbeaten – amazing.  They bubble up to #3 based on positive results by teams they’ve beaten, the Chargers and Browns specifically.
  • The Redskins probably are not this good.  But their win at Philadelphia paired with the Rams and Texans victories elevated them the most this week.  The Patriots did not have that sort of schedule jump, but their battering of Miami was big.
  • The plunge of the week thusly goes to Chicago after that disgrace in New York.  Add meh performances by Green Bay get you spiraling downward.
  • Despite the close loss to the Ravens, the Steelers hold the top for another week.  No team has played better against a better slate – for now.
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