NFL Power Rankings – Week 5

In a strange week of upsets and strange blowouts, we get strange impacts.  The formula is pretty simple, a team’s rating is:

50% their scoring margin (with blowout margins getting less credit)

50% opponents scoring margin against other teams (i.e. factoring out the results against that team)

The Steelers have been #1 all season with the combination of schedule strength and results.  With this being their bye week, not much changed.  There were some shakeups though:

Rank Team W L T Margin Sched Rtg SOS Rank Last Wk
1 Steelers 3 1 0 20.917 10.229 1 1
2 Jets 4 1 0 14.6 2.4 12 2
3 Titans 3 2 0 12.842 4.042 6 7
4 Ravens 4 1 0 12.45 6.35 2 4
5 Colts 3 2 0 11.383 2.283 13 9
6 Patriots 3 1 0 11.073 0.885 18 6
7 Falcons 4 1 0 10.1 0 26 10
8 Packers 3 2 0 9.963 1.863 16 8
9 Chiefs 3 1 0 9.625 2.875 8 3
10 Lions 1 4 0 8.829 4.929 3 21
11 Chargers 2 3 0 7.988 -0.613 27 5
12 Bears 4 1 0 7.633 1.933 15 18
13 Eagles 3 2 0 6.325 0.475 22 11
14 Giants 3 2 0 5.675 2.675 10 24
15 Broncos 2 3 0 4.158 4.458 5 13
16 Vikings 1 3 0 3.604 2.854 9 23
17 Cowboys 1 3 0 3.531 3.281 7 14
18 Redskins 3 2 0 3.033 2.233 14 12
19 Browns 1 4 0 2.325 4.725 4 19
20 Bengals 2 3 0 2.067 0.367 24 16
21 Seahawks 2 2 0 0.391 -0.859 29 17
22 Bucs 3 1 0 -0.979 -1.229 30 25
23 Texans 3 2 0 -1.425 0.775 20 15
24 Rams 2 3 0 -2.454 -1.904 31 20
25 Raiders 2 3 0 -3.125 0.075 25 28
26 Saints 3 2 0 -3.763 -4.563 32 22
27 Dolphins 2 2 0 -3.99 0.76 21 26
28 Jaguars 3 2 0 -4.15 0.45 23 27
29 49ers 0 5 0 -6.196 2.504 11 29
30 Cardinals 3 2 0 -6.338 1.313 17 30
31 Panthers 0 5 0 -11.033 -0.833 28 32
32 Bills 0 5 0 -12.525 0.875 19 31

The noteworthy items?

  • The Lions are almost certainly not a Top 10 team, but a 44-6 result will do that for you.  Mix some close results against decent teams in … the long run ought to solve this – but we have not reached the long run yet.
  • Chiefs fall to 9, but they do look like a Top 10 defense at least against the Colts.  Matt Cassel though does not smell like a QB for this caliber of team though.
  • Three 3-2 teams in the bottom 8.  When you don’t beat anybody who is demonstrably good, this will happen.  Saints are better than this – I am not sure the Cardinals and Jags are though.
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