After six weeks, the Steelers fall from the #1 perch. Their controversial escape from Miami motivates this to a degree, but really a team which has been covertly piling up good result after good result is now at the top. As always, 50% a team’s scoring margin, 50% the opponents margin against other teams … and so, a very AFC heavy Top 10 …
|Rank||Team||W||L||T||Margin||Sched Rtg||SOS Rank||Last Wk|
Some observations from this week’s madness?
- One of my friends on Facebook complained about the Eagles being rated lower than the Falcons despite a head to head victory. My standard response is that the model does not know how good the teams are. Each week’s results reveal that – so an early victory gets better or worse with age. This obviously is unfair to injury cases, but you have to take that as it is. Also games like Detroit’s 44-6 win over the Rams and this weeks Raiders pasting of Denver skew a bit.
- The plunge of the week was Denver sliding to 26. I don’t think much needs to be said.
- Big mover is Cleveland, with as stunning a result as Oakland’s. And, to be fair, they have competed fairly well – and Peyton Hillis has been a covert fantasy hero. At the top of the charts, the mover is Kansas City – who week after week is proving that they might really be a good team. Certainly nobody else in the AFC West is.
- Chargers and Cowboys are the poster boys for punching below their weight. The Chargers in particular have the fundamentals (#1 offense, #1 defense) of an elite team, but the wins have not followed. Their #10 ranking is fair (the model sees what it sees) but obviously they have the losses to prove any sort of anecdotal “they suck” case.