NFL Power Rankings – Week 8

In another week of high impact games, we see the Saints and Packers make huge statements.  As always, the rankings are point margin based (modified so blowouts count less) and combined with the opponents results against other teams.

Rank Team W L T Margin Sched Rtg SOS Rank Last Wk
1 Titans 5 3 0 13.97 3.126 8 1
2 Steelers 5 2 0 12.838 4.446 2 2
3 Patriots 6 1 0 10.98 2.372 14 4
4 Jets 5 2 0 10.076 1.576 17 3
5 Chargers 3 5 0 9.42 3.357 5 10
6 Colts 5 2 0 9.273 -0.012 26 5
7 Packers 5 3 0 8.715 1.965 15 12
8 Falcons 5 2 0 7.922 1.207 20 7
9 Eagles 4 3 0 7.349 3.241 7 11
10 Giants 5 2 0 7.18 2.537 13 8
11 Lions 2 5 0 7.142 3.285 6 13
12 Chiefs 5 2 0 6.69 -0.667 28 6
13 Ravens 5 2 0 6.427 1.57 18 9
14 Raiders 4 4 0 5.691 0.254 25 22
15 Vikings 2 5 0 3.89 4.033 3 15
16 Bears 4 3 0 3.784 0.57 24 14
17 Dolphins 4 3 0 2.788 3.074 9 21
18 Redskins 4 4 0 2.678 2.803 12 16
19 Saints 5 3 0 2.655 -1.001 31 25
20 Texans 4 3 0 2.462 4.819 1 19
21 Browns 2 5 0 2.392 3.821 4 18
22 Rams 4 4 0 0.898 -0.696 30 24
23 Bengals 2 5 0 0.304 0.732 22 23
24 Seahawks 4 3 0 -0.982 -0.554 27 20
25 Cowboys 1 6 0 -2.52 0.694 23 17
26 49ers 2 6 0 -2.58 0.795 21 27
27 Broncos 2 6 0 -3.135 2.927 11 26
28 Bucs 5 2 0 -3.753 -1.395 32 28
29 Jaguars 4 4 0 -4.524 1.351 19 30
30 Cardinals 3 4 0 -5.335 1.772 16 29
31 Bills 0 7 0 -6.463 2.965 10 32
32 Panthers 1 6 0 -8.473 -0.687 29 31

Some observations:

  • Finally, the Cowboys form is starting to dip.  They were doing just enough to lose against a schedule of good teams, but now getting crushed by Jacksonville sent them tumbling.  They are as bad as they seem.
  • On the other hand, the Chargers vault back into the Top 5 with a win over the Titans, still the #1 due to the body of work.  The Chargers have been the ultimate team that is a few mistakes away from a good record.  The #1 offense and defense by yards, their wins have been dominant and their losses have been maddening.  I do not think they are the 5th best team in the NFL, but their ranking is a good potential harbinger for future results.  Of course they will put the ball on the ground 4 possessions in a row again now that I said it.
  • The Saints have scuffled all season, with their offense not popping and a pretty mediocre schedule.  But the win against Pittsburgh was huge for them – they have a chance to fix what ails them.
  • Yes, the 2-5 Lions are 11th – they have a positive scoring margin.  They seem like they just need to learn to win the games they are losing – if they make a 2nd half run, don’t be stunned.
  • The Bucs at #28 are still not getting any respect from the model, despite the 5-2 record (they are the opposite of Detroit, a good record with a negative margin).  They need to start beating decent teams, and that has not materialized yet.  But when they do, the numbers will respect it.
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