NFL Power Rankings – Week 14

After bearing witness to one of the league’s best weeks, featuring the most improbable comeback of recent memory – what does that do to the numbers?  Interestingly, not much – as the season wears on the results create less and less shock.  More instructive are the numbers, and that in theory, on a neutral field, there is evidence that up to fourteen teams are within roughly a touchdown of each other.  As always this combines scoring margin and opponent’s scoring margin.

Rank Team W L T Margin Sched Rtg SOS Rank Last Wk
1 Patriots 12 2 0 15.309 4.094 1 1
2 Chargers 8 6 0 11.861 1.433 20 5
3 Packers 8 6 0 11.678 2.089 15 3
4 Steelers 10 4 0 11.513 3.709 3 2
5 Falcons 12 2 0 10.977 1.477 19 4
6 Eagles 10 4 0 9.831 2.867 7 6
7 Ravens 10 4 0 8.968 2.146 13 7
8 Jets 10 4 0 6.91 2.213 12 10
9 Saints 10 4 0 6.457 -1.043 32 8
10 Colts 8 6 0 6.195 1.659 17 11
11 Giants 9 5 0 6.175 0.122 27 9
12 Titans 6 8 0 5.854 1.586 18 12
13 Bears 10 4 0 5.836 0.711 24 13
14 Chiefs 9 5 0 4.412 -0.516 29 15
15 Raiders 7 7 0 3.409 1.034 22 18
16 Lions 4 10 0 3.346 3.453 4 17
17 Dolphins 7 7 0 3.138 2.959 6 14
18 Browns 5 9 0 2.573 1.93 16 16
19 Texans 5 9 0 1.747 3.782 2 19
20 Cowboys 5 9 0 1.151 2.419 10 20
21 Bucs 8 6 0 1.127 0.092 28 21
22 Jaguars 8 6 0 0.783 2.319 11 23
23 Bills 4 10 0 -0.732 2.643 8 26
24 Vikings 5 9 0 -0.894 2.606 9 22
25 Rams 6 8 0 -1.344 -0.683 30 25
26 Redskins 5 9 0 -1.381 2.119 14 27
27 Bengals 3 11 0 -1.715 3.035 5 28
28 49ers 5 9 0 -1.824 0.997 23 24
29 Seahawks 6 8 0 -3.758 0.277 26 29
30 Broncos 3 11 0 -4.889 1.432 21 30
31 Cardinals 4 10 0 -7.281 -0.834 31 31
32 Panthers 2 12 0 -9.642 0.679 25 32

Besides the Patriots escaping against Green Bay to hang yet another impressive scalp, what can the numbers tell us?

  • It’s December.  We know the Chargers finish strong.  That said, the Chiefs have a lead on them – and so enthusiasm must be tempered.  If the Chargers make the tournament look out – but “make” is the big chore here
  • #25, #28, #29, #31 … somebody is hosting a playoff game in 3 weeks.  For realz.
  • In earlier rankings, the Lions were nearly a top 10 team.  Now, at 4-10, they are 16, which actually seems like a fair ranking for them.  The luck has not been there to win the games, but the scoring margin has.  This is a team that has a chance to do something sooner than the cynics think.
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