College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #1

If the season ended today (rankings here🙂

AUTOMATIC BIDS (31) (ties broken with pairwise ranking):

  • America East: Albany (5-4, #194)
  • Atlantic 10: Xavier (8-0, #4)
  • ACC: Duke (9-1, #8)
  • Atlantic Sun: Belmont (6-2, #63)
  • Big 12: Missouri (9-0, #6)
  • Big East: Syracuse (10-0, #1)
  • Big Sky: Eastern Washington (5-4, #103)
  • Big South: Charleston Southern (5-3, #124)
  • Big Ten: Illinois (10-0, #4)
  • Big West: Long Beach State (4-5, #100)
  • Colonial: George Mason (7-3, #81)
  • Conference USA: Southern Miss (7-2, #34)
  • Horizon: Cleveland State (10-1, #16)
  • Ivy: Harvard (9-1, #35)
  • Metro Atlantic: Iona (7-2, #33)
  • Mid-American: Ohio (7-1, #12)
  • MEAC: Norfolk State (6-4, #111)
  • Missouri Valley: Northern Iowa (9-1, #9)
  • Mountain West: Wyoming (9-1, #25)
  • Northeast: Long Island (5-5, #121)
  • Ohio Valley: Murray State (10-0, #11)
  • Pac 12: Stanford (8-1, #23)
  • Patriot: Lehigh (8-3, #54)
  • SEC: Ole Miss (9-1, #19)
  • Southern: Charleston (7-1, #37)
  • Southland: Lamar (6-3, #74)
  • SWAC: Alabama A&M (2-3, #246)
  • Summit: South Dakota State (8-3, #61)
  • Sun Belt: Denver (6-3, #52)
  • West Coast: Saint Mary’s (5-1, #29)
  • WAC: New Mexico State (5-4, #90)

At Larges (37)

  1. Marquette (9-0, #2)
  2. Louisville (9-0, #3)
  3. Indiana (9-0, #7)
  4. Baylor (7-0, #9)
  5. UConn (8-1, #13)
  6. Minnesota (10-1, #14)
  7. Ohio State (8-1, #15)
  8. Seton Hall (8-1, #16)
  9. Saint Louis (9-1, #17)
  10. Kentucky (8-1, #20)
  11. Virginia (8-1, #21)
  12. Creighton (7-1, #22)
  13. Oklahoma (7-1, #24)
  14. Northwestern (7-1, #26)
  15. Pittsburgh (9-1, #27)
  16. Kansas State (6-1, #28)
  17. Alabama (8-2, #30)
  18. Mississippi State (9-1, #31)
  19. North Carolina (8-2, #32)
  20. Temple (6-2, #36)
  21. Kent State (7-1, #38)
  22. Georgetown (8-1, #39)
  23. Michigan (7-2, #40)
  24. Wisconsin (8-2, #41)
  25. Kansas (7-2, #42)
  26. Florida (7-2, #43)
  27. Purdue (9-2, #44)
  28. Wichita State (7-2, #45)
  29. San Diego State (9-2, #46)
  30. UNLV (9-2, #47)
  31. Indiana State (7-2, #48)
  32. Michigan State (8-2, #49)
  33. California (8-2, #50)
  34. BYU (8-2, #51)
  35. Dayton (7-3, #52)
  36. American (8-3, #55)
  37. Saint Joseph’s (7-3, #56)

The two opening round doubleheaders feature, the last 4 at-large teams and the 4 lowest seeds in general:

  • Bubble Matchups: BYU vs Saint Joseph’s, Dayton vs American
  • Lowest Seeds: Long Island vs Alabama A&M, Charleston Southern vs Albany

The draw, disregarding regions and seeding rules:

EAST (Boston)

  • (1) Syracuse vs (16) Charleston Southern/Albany
  • (8) North Carolina vs (9) Iona
  • (4) Seton Hall vs (13) Michigan State
  • (5) Saint Louis vs (12) Indiana State
  • (2) Duke vs (15) Lamar
  • (7) Wyoming vs (10) Michigan
  • (3) Northern Iowa vs (14) Belmont
  • (6) Oklahoma vs (11) Wisconsin

WEST (Phoenix)

  • (1) Xavier vs (16) Eastern Washington
  • (8) Mississippi State vs (9) Temple
  • (4) Connecticut vs (13) Dayton/American
  • (5) Kentucky vs (12) Wichita State
  • (2) Illinois vs (15) Long Beach State
  • (7) Kansas State vs (10) Charleston
  • (3) Ohio vs (14) Denver
  • (6) Virginia vs (11) Purdue

MIDWEST (Saint Louis)

  • (1) Marquette vs (16) Long Island/Alabama A&M
  • (8) Alabama vs (9) Southern Miss
  • (4) Ohio State vs (13) California
  • (5) Cleveland State vs (12) UNLV
  • (2) Indiana vs (15) George Mason
  • (7) Northwestern vs (10) Georgetown
  • (3) Baylor vs (14) South Dakota State
  • (6) Stanford vs (11) Kansas

SOUTH (Atlanta)

  • (1) Louisville  vs (16) Norfolk State
  • (8) Saint Mary’s vs (9) Harvard
  • (4) Minnesota vs (13) BYU/Saint Joseph’s
  • (5) Ole Miss vs (12) San Diego State
  • (2) Missouri vs (15) New Mexico State
  • (7) Pittsburgh vs (10) Kent State
  • (3) Murray State vs (14) Lehigh
  • (6) Creighton vs (11) Florida
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