College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #3

If the season ended today (rankings here🙂

AUTOMATIC BIDS (31) (ties broken with pairwise ranking):

  • America East: Maine (6-4, #117)
  • Atlantic 10: Saint Louis (11-1, #17)
  • ACC: Duke (10-1, #4)
  • Atlantic Sun: Belmont (8-5, #79)
  • Big 12: Baylor (12-0, #3)
  • Big East: Syracuse (13-0, #1)
  • Big Sky: Weber State (8-3, #107)
  • Big South: Charleston Southern (7-4, #138)
  • Big Ten: Ohio State (12-1, #6)
  • Big West: Long Beach State (7-6, #87)
  • Colonial: VCU (9-3, #101)
  • Conference USA: Southern Miss (10-2, #23)
  • Horizon: Cleveland State (11-2, #22)
  • Ivy: Harvard (10-1, #28)
  • Metro Atlantic: Iona (10-2, #19)
  • Mid-American: Ohio (11-1, #11)
  • MEAC: Norfolk State (9-5, #85)
  • Missouri Valley: Creighton (10-1, #12)
  • Mountain West: UNLV (13-2, #30)
  • Northeast: Robert Morris (10-3, #48)
  • Ohio Valley: Murray State (13-0, #9)
  • Pac 12: California (10-3, #58)
  • Patriot: Lehigh (9-4, #57)
  • SEC: Kentucky (11-1, #13)
  • Southern: Charleston (10-2, #37)
  • Southland: Lamar (8-4, #82)
  • SWAC: Jackson State (2-10, #199)
  • Summit: South Dakota State (10-4, #56)
  • Sun Belt: Denver (10-2, #27)
  • West Coast: Gonzaga (9-2, #32)
  • WAC: Nevada (9-3, #80)

At Larges (37)

  1. Louisville (12-0, #2)
  2. Missouri (12-0, #5)
  3. Marquette (11-1, #7)
  4. UConn (12-0, #8)
  5. Seton Hall (11-1, #10)
  6. Kansas State (10-1, #14)
  7. Virginia (10-1, #16)
  8. Minnesota (12-1, #17)
  9. North Carolina (11-2, #18)
  10. Oklahoma (9-1, #20)
  11. Mississippi State (12-1, #21)
  12. Georgetown (10-1, #24)
  13. Northern Iowa (10-2, #25)
  14. Wisconsin (11-2, #26)
  15. Michigan State (11-2, #29)
  16. Michigan (10-2, #31)
  17. Illinois (11-2, #33)
  18. Indiana State (9-2, #34)
  19. Wichita State (9-2, #35)
  20. Florida (10-2, #36)
  21. San Diego State (11-2, #38)
  22. Saint Mary’s (11-2, #39)
  23. Middle Tennessee State (11-2, #40)
  24. Northwestern (10-2, #41)
  25. Marshall (9-2, #42)
  26. Alabama (9-3, #43)
  27. Saint Joseph’s (9-3, #44)
  28. Pittsburgh (11-2, #45)
  29. Wyoming (12-2, #46)
  30. Ole Miss (9-3, #47)
  31. Xavier (9-3, #49)
  32. West Virginia (9-3, #50)
  33. Purdue (10-3, #51)
  34. Kansas (8-3, #52)
  35. New Mexico (10-2, #53)
  36. Iowa State (10-3, #54)
  37. Virginia Tech (10-3, #55)

The two opening round doubleheaders feature, the last 4 at-large teams and the 4 lowest seeds in general:

  • Bubble Matchups: Kansas vs Virginia Tech, New Mexico vs Iowa State
  • Lowest Seeds: Weber State vs Jackson State, Maine vs Charleston Southern

The draw, disregarding regions and seeding rules:

EAST (Boston)

  • (1) Syracuse vs (16) Maine/Charleston Southern
  • (8) Gonzaga vs (9) Illinois
  • (4) Minnesota vs (13) Xavier
  • (5) Saint Louis vs (12) Robert Morris
  • (2) Connecticut vs (15) Belmont
  • (7) Northern Iowa vs (10) Middle Tennessee
  • (3) Murray State vs (14) California
  • (6) Georgetown vs (11) Northwestern

SOUTH (Atlanta)

  • (1) Duke vs (16) Long Beach State
  • (8) Harvard vs (9) Florida
  • (4) Kentucky vs (13) Kansas/Virginia Tech
  • (5) Oklahoma vs (12) Pittsburgh
  • (2) Missouri vs (15) Norfolk State
  • (7) Harvard vs (10) Charleston
  • (3) Creighton vs (14) New Mexico/Iowa State
  • (6) Mississippi State vs (11) Saint Joseph’s

MIDWEST (Saint Louis)

  • (1) Louisville vs (16) Weber State/Jackson State
  • (8) Michigan vs (9) Indiana State
  • (4) Virginia vs (13) West Virginia
  • (5) North Carolina vs (12) Ole Miss
  • (2) Marquette vs (15) Nevada
  • (7) Wisconsin vs (10) Saint Mary’s
  • (3) Seton Hall vs (14) Lehigh
  • (6) Southern Miss vs (11) Marshall

WEST (Phoenix)

  • (1) Baylor vs (16) VCU
  • (8) UNLV vs (9) Wichita State
  • (4) Kansas State vs (13) Purdue
  • (5) Iona vs (12) Wyoming
  • (2) Ohio State vs (15) Lamar
  • (7) Denver vs (10) San Diego State
  • (3) Ohio vs (14) South Dakota State
  • (6) Cleveland State vs (11) Alabama

Conference Ratings

  1. Big Ten
  2. Big 12
  3. Mountain West
  4. Big East
  5. SEC
  6. ACC
  7. Missouri Valley
  8. Atlantic 10
  9. West Coast
  10. Pac 12
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