College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #12

If the season ended today –  (rankings here🙂

The Field of 68.  Easier to present it this way – ignoring procedural seeding rules.  Conference champs (leaders, wins first tiebreak, pairwise ranking second) in caps.  This week, after looking at the criteria – it felt like we did need at least one “How did they play” component, so we’ve added the Pomeroy Ranking to the composition of the rankings.  Technically this is still only 20% of the crtieria, and at best 50% (since every team can be compared on both RPI and KenPom at the least).  So yes, this is not consistent with the frameworks earlier, but hopefully it is a better one in what the committee should be looking at:

BOSTON

  • (1) SYRACUSE vs (16) LONG ISLAND/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
  • (8) ORAL ROBERTS vs (9) Iowa State
  • (4) Saint Louis vs (13) Oregon
  • (5) Indiana vs (12) Purdue
  • (2) MISSOURI vs (15) DAVIDSON
  • (7) UNLV vs (10) BYU
  • (3) WICHITA STATE vs (14) AKRON
  • (6) SOUTHERN MISS vs (11) SAINT MARY’S

PHOENIX

  • (1) MICHIGAN STATE vs (16) WEBER STATE
  • (8) Virginia vs (9) Connecticut
  • (4) Georgetown vs (13) NEVADA
  • (5) Wisconsin vs (12) IONA
  • (2) North Carolina vs (15) VALPARAISO
  • (7) Memphis vs (10) MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE
  • (3) Baylor vs (14) DREXEL
  • (6) Louisville vs (11) San Diego State

ATLANTA

  • (1) KENTUCKY vs (16) VERMONT/SAVANNAH STATE
  • (8) Alabama vs (9) Notre Dame
  • (4) Florida vs (13) Miami-FL/Arizona
  • (5) Florida State vs (12) LONG BEACH STATE
  • (2) Kansas vs (15) TEXAS-ARLINGTON
  • (7) Creighton vs (10) Kansas State
  • (3) Marquette vs (14) BELMONT
  • (6) CALIFORNIA vs (11) Texas

SAINT LOUIS

  • (1) DUKE vs (16) NC-ASHEVILLE
  • (8) Vanderbilt vs (9) West Virginia
  • (4) TEMPLE vs (13) Cincinnati/Washington
  • (5) Michigan vs (12) VCU
  • (2) Ohio State vs (15) BUCKNELL
  • (7) HARVARD vs (10) Seton Hall
  • (3) NEW MEXICO vs (14) MURRAY STATE
  • (6) Gonzaga vs (11) Northwestern

First four out: Xavier, South Dakota State, Saint Joseph’s, Massachusetts

Next four out: NC State, LSU, South Florida, Colorado State

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • Pac 12 (4)
  • Big East (9)
  • ACC (5)
  • Big Ten (7)
  • Mountain West (3)
  • Big 12 (6)
  • West Coast (3)
  • SEC (4)
  • Conference USA (2)
  • Missouri Valley (2)
  • Atlantic 10 (2)
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