College Basketball Pairwise NCAA Forecast #15 – the morning of

If the season ended today –  (rankings here)

Well, only four matches left:  Kentucky-Vanderbilt, Ohio State-Michigan State, North Carolina-Florida State, Xavier-Saint Bonaventure.  Of the four, only the last one affects the bubble.  Perhaps Ohio State can leap to a #1 seed, but I think the damage is largely done.  I think though that is the most likely single change from today’s events.

Midwest Region (Saint Louis, Missouri – #1 Overall Seed)

(Louisville, Kentucky)

  • (1) Kentucky vs (16) WESTERN KENTUCKY/MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
  • (8) HARVARD vs (9) Iowa State

(Albuquerque, New Mexico)

  • (4) Michigan vs (13) West Virginia
  • (5) Florida State vs (12) OHIO

(Omaha, Nebraska)

  • (2) Missouri vs (15) LEHIGH
  • (7) MURRAY STATE vs (10) Xavier

(Nashville, Tennessee)

  • (3) Wichita State vs (14) LOYOLA-MD
  • (6) Temple vs (11) Notre Dame

West Region (Phoenix, Arizona – #4 overall seed)

(Columbus, Ohio)

  • (1) Michigan State vs (16) DETROIT
  • (8) San Diego State vs (9) Virginia

(Columbus, Ohio)

  • (4) LOUISVILLE vs (13) Iona/BYU
  • (5) CREIGHTON vs (12) LONG BEACH STATE

(Greensboro, North Carolina)

  • (2) Duke vs (15) LAMAR
  • (7) UNLV vs (10) Cincinnati

(Albuquerque, New Mexico)

  • (3) Baylor vs (14) NEW MEXICO STATE
  • (6) Saint Louis vs (11) SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

South Region (Atlanta, Georgia – #2 Overall seed)

(Greensboro, North Carolina)

  • (1) North Carolina vs (16) VERMONT/NORFOLK STATE
  • (8) Alabama vs (9) Southern Miss

(Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania)

  • (4) Indiana vs (13) Drexel
  • (5) Georgetown vs (12) Texas

(Louisville, Kentucky)

  • (2) Ohio State vs (15) LONG ISLAND
  • (7) Florida vs (10) Connecticut

(Nashville, Tennessee)

  • (3) MEMPHIS vs (14) COLORADO
  • (6) Gonzaga vs (11) Kansas State

East Region (Boston, Massachusetts – #3 overall seed)

(Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania)

  • (1) Syracuse vs (16) NC-ASHEVILLE
  • (8) California vs (9) VCU

(Portland, Oregon)

  • (4) NEW MEXICO vs (13) North Carolina State/Oregon
  • (5) Wisconsin vs (12) BELMONT

(Omaha, Nebraska)

  • (2) Kansas vs (15) MONTANA
  • (7) SAINT MARY’S vs (10) Oral Roberts

(Portland, Oregon)

  • (3) Marquette vs (14) DAVIDSON
  • (6) Vanderbilt vs (11) Purdue

Last Four In: NC State, Iona, BYU, Oregon

First Four Out: Colorado State, MTSU, Seton Hall, Nevada

Next Four Out: Northwestern, Arizona, Miami-FL, South Florida

Multi-Bid Leagues

  • ACC (5)
  • Metro Atlantic (2)
  • Big 12 (6)
  • Big Ten (6)
  • Summit (2)
  • West Coast (3)
  • Colonial (2)
  • Pac 12 (3)
  • Big East (7)
  • SEC (4)
  • Conference USA (2)
  • Mountain West (3)

The NIT Field (the regular season champs below the current at-large cut line, and the remaining at-larges without a home … with only 3 large conferences left to decide – all the below the cut regular season champs are accounted for, so an NIT should-be … assuming Xavier takes care of business:

  1. Colorado State
  2. Middle Tennessee State
  3. Seton Hall
  4. Nevada
  5. Northwestern
  6. Arizona
  7. Miami-FL
  8. South Florida
  9. Dayton
  10. Washington
  11. Ole Miss
  12. Saint Joseph’s
  13. Marshall
  14. Akron
  15. Central Florida
  16. Mississippi State
  17. Saint Bonaventure
  18. Minnesota
  19. Stanford
  20. Cleveland State
  21. Northern Iowa
  22. George Mason
  23. Massachusetts
  24. Tennessee
  25. LaSalle
  26. Illinois
  27. LSU
  28. Wyoming
  29. Bucknell
  30. Valparaiso
  31. Texas-Arlington
  32. Savannah State
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