2012 College Football Update 7

Well, after the most profound weekend of the year – where Kansas State, Alabama, and Oregon all had major tests while Notre Dame almost failed a test nobody saw coming – the race gets a little more definition. Alabama as of yesterday morning had played precisely nobody – and now after their win in the Game of the Year to date this season, that is fixed. Notre Dame continues to be spotty on offense, and needed some real luck, but they have put a lot of wins up. Kansas State keeps navigating through a very good Big 12 without a ton of difficulty, though one hopes Colin Klein’s injury is not serious. As always, rankings below are as of yesterday’s action, and the methodology can be found here:

Rank Team W L RPI Margin PairWins
1 Alabama 9 0 0.697 (2) 35.828 (1) 123
2 Kansas State 9 0 0.651 (5) 27.514 (3) 121
3 Notre Dame 9 0 0.711 (1) 23.938 (7) 120
4 Oregon 9 0 0.637 (8) 29.385 (2) 120
5 Florida 8 1 0.687 (3) 24.045 (6) 119
6 Florida State 8 1 0.582 (23) 24.111 (5) 118
7 Ohio State 10 0 0.646 (6) 19.916 (11) 118
8 Clemson 8 1 0.615 (12) 22.118 (9) 115
9 Georgia 8 1 0.63 (11) 18.474 (13) 115
10 Oregon State 7 1 0.662 (4) 16.408 (19) 114
11 South Carolina 7 2 0.636 (9) 19.767 (12) 114
12 Nebraska 7 2 0.646 (7) 15.934 (22) 112
13 Texas A&M 7 2 0.613 (13) 26.608 (4) 111
14 LSU 7 2 0.611 (15) 17.414 (14) 109
15 Oklahoma 6 2 0.606 (16) 23.9 (8) 109
16 Stanford 7 2 0.631 (10) 14.53 (27) 108
17 Texas Tech 6 3 0.592 (19) 17.25 (15) 107
18 Penn State 6 3 0.584 (22) 16.645 (17) 105
19 UCLA 7 2 0.587 (20) 15.896 (23) 105
20 Texas 7 2 0.585 (21) 14.761 (26) 103
21 Arizona 5 4 0.613 (14) 12.023 (38) 98
22 Michigan 6 3 0.602 (17) 14.89 (25) 98
23 Oklahoma State 5 3 0.564 (29) 16.529 (18) 98
24 Cincinnati 6 2 0.568 (26) 14.477 (28) 96
25 San Jose State 7 2 0.57 (25) 14.255 (31) 96
26 Iowa State 5 4 0.564 (28) 12.935 (34) 93
27 Boise State 7 2 0.541 (39) 16.174 (20) 92
28 North Carolina 6 3 0.556 (34) 12.547 (36) 91
29 Utah State 8 2 0.544 (38) 19.981 (10) 90
30 Michigan State 5 5 0.571 (24) 11.256 (40) 89
31 Northwestern 7 2 0.561 (32) 11.311 (39) 88
32 USC 6 3 0.56 (33) 14.309 (30) 88
33 Washington 5 4 0.597 (18) 3.734 (69) 86
34 Virginia Tech 5 4 0.533 (45) 12.866 (35) 85
35 Mississippi State 7 2 0.55 (37) 12.237 (37) 84
36 Fresno State 7 3 0.537 (44) 16.12 (21) 82
37 Louisville 9 0 0.565 (27) 10.565 (45) 81
38 BYU 5 4 0.53 (47) 15.339 (24) 80
39 Louisiana Tech 8 1 0.533 (46) 16.726 (16) 80
40 Missouri 4 5 0.539 (42) 8.164 (50) 80
41 Wisconsin 6 3 0.54 (40) 10.847 (42) 79
42 Rutgers 7 1 0.54 (41) 11.089 (41) 77
43 TCU 6 3 0.524 (52) 10.727 (43) 77
44 West Virginia 5 3 0.555 (35) 8.122 (51) 76
45 San Diego State 7 3 0.518 (55) 9.688 (46) 74
46 Toledo 8 1 0.561 (31) 7.083 (53) 71
47 UCF 7 2 0.514 (56) 14.334 (29) 69
48 Tennessee 4 5 0.528 (50) 8.801 (49) 67
49 Tulsa 7 2 0.522 (54) 9.004 (47) 67
50 Vanderbilt 5 4 0.508 (58) 5.823 (64) 66
51 Arizona State 5 4 0.503 (59) 13.213 (33) 65
52 Duke 6 4 0.529 (48) 3.71 (70) 65
53 Ole Miss 5 4 0.529 (49) 6.598 (57) 65
54 Arkansas State 6 3 0.523 (53) 7.003 (54) 64
55 LA-Monroe 6 3 0.5 (60) 8.805 (48) 64
56 Utah 4 5 0.486 (71) 10.609 (44) 64
57 Baylor 4 4 0.495 (61) 7.157 (52) 63
58 Northern Illinois 9 1 0.494 (63) 13.326 (32) 63
59 Pittsburgh 4 5 0.475 (76) 6.926 (55) 62
60 Western Kentucky 6 3 0.508 (57) 6.48 (58) 62
61 Ball State 6 3 0.553 (36) 5.831 (63) 61
62 Kent State 8 1 0.525 (51) 6.158 (61) 61
63 Navy 6 3 0.561 (30) 5.942 (62) 61
64 Arkansas 4 5 0.492 (65) 5.214 (65) 60
65 Iowa 4 5 0.493 (64) 3.483 (71) 60
66 Syracuse 4 5 0.488 (68) 6.346 (59) 54
67 Miami-FL 4 5 0.538 (43) 3.235 (72) 53
68 Ohio 8 1 0.487 (69) 5.084 (66) 53
69 Wake Forest 5 4 0.486 (70) -1.069 (88) 52
70 California 3 7 0.47 (81) 2.902 (74) 51
71 NC State 5 4 0.473 (78) 3.113 (73) 51
72 LA-Lafayette 5 3 0.481 (74) 6.334 (60) 50
73 Bowling Green 6 3 0.49 (67) 2.125 (78) 48
74 Kentucky 1 9 0.495 (62) -5.55 (103) 47
75 South Florida 3 6 0.474 (77) 4.874 (67) 47
76 Indiana 4 5 0.481 (73) 2.869 (75) 46
77 MTSU 6 3 0.482 (72) 2.459 (76) 46
78 Virginia 3 6 0.454 (85) -0.818 (84) 41
79 Minnesota 5 4 0.472 (80) 0.294 (82) 40
80 Nevada 6 3 0.451 (86) 4.233 (68) 40
81 Purdue 3 6 0.472 (79) 1.132 (80) 40
82 East Carolina 6 4 0.476 (75) -0.475 (83) 39
83 Auburn 2 7 0.46 (83) 1.092 (81) 38
84 Georgia Tech 4 5 0.443 (90) 6.73 (56) 37
85 UTSA 5 4 0.443 (92) -2.326 (91) 37
86 Western Michigan 4 6 0.443 (91) -0.915 (85) 33
87 Houston 4 5 0.44 (93) -1.005 (86) 32
88 Air Force 5 4 0.435 (96) 2.27 (77) 31
89 Buffalo 2 7 0.449 (88) -2.425 (92) 29
90 North Texas 3 6 0.463 (82) -3.264 (96) 28
91 Temple 3 5 0.454 (84) -3.457 (99) 28
92 Marshall 4 5 0.434 (98) -1.253 (89) 26
93 New Mexico 4 6 0.437 (95) -3.005 (94) 25
94 SMU 4 5 0.424 (103) 1.834 (79) 25
95 Troy 4 5 0.433 (99) -1.057 (87) 25
96 Kansas 1 8 0.435 (97) -3.062 (95) 24
97 Illinois 2 7 0.449 (87) -6.404 (105) 23
98 Rice 4 6 0.428 (102) -2.705 (93) 22
99 Texas State 3 5 0.444 (89) -5.05 (102) 22
100 FIU 2 8 0.428 (101) -3.303 (98) 20
101 Florida Atlantic 2 7 0.428 (100) -6.614 (106) 19
102 Boston College 2 7 0.41 (108) -4.231 (101) 18
103 Maryland 4 5 0.41 (109) -3.97 (100) 18
104 Miami-OH 4 5 0.49 (66) -7.735 (113) 18
105 Central Michigan 3 6 0.438 (94) -7.476 (111) 17
106 UNLV 2 8 0.404 (110) -1.661 (90) 17
107 Wyoming 2 7 0.411 (107) -5.635 (104) 15
108 UAB 2 7 0.404 (111) -7.274 (110) 13
109 UTEP 2 7 0.395 (114) -6.836 (107) 12
110 Washington State 2 7 0.411 (106) -9.314 (114) 12
111 Connecticut 3 6 0.39 (116) -3.293 (97) 11
112 Akron 1 9 0.381 (118) -7.261 (109) 10
113 Army 2 7 0.39 (115) -6.971 (108) 9
114 South Alabama 2 7 0.361 (124) -7.569 (112) 7
115 Tulane 2 7 0.39 (117) -11.82 (116) 7
116 Colorado State 2 7 0.378 (119) -11.616 (115) 6
117 Southern Miss 0 9 0.399 (112) -12.279 (117) 6
118 Non FBS 10 89 0.412 (105) -19.147 (124) 6
119 Eastern Michigan 1 8 0.395 (113) -13.488 (119) 5
120 Colorado 1 8 0.414 (104) -17.969 (122) 4
121 Hawaii 1 7 0.364 (122) -16.763 (121) 3
122 Memphis 1 8 0.363 (123) -13.206 (118) 1
123 New Mexico State 1 8 0.333 (125) -14.567 (120) 1
124 Idaho 1 8 0.365 (121) -18.047 (123) 0
125 Massachusetts 0 9 0.374 (120) -20.83 (125) 0

So what is the fun stuff this week?

  • Well clearly, wow with Oregon’s 62 point outburst.  730 yards in a regulation game against a real opponent.  Yeah yeah, you hear the “wait til they play an SEC team” bleatings, but the team had no trouble moving the ball against LSU last year – they just made mistakes.  They will be deserved underdogs against an Alabama, but what weapons they have!
  • Notre Dame – wow what a lucky Pass Interference.  But every team needs some luck – heck Alabama needed LSU to whiff on a series of 50-50 chances.
  • LSU is a heck of a team, and might be better than last year’s edition because of a real quarterback – but that’s a moot point now.

Enough of the pleasantries, the BCS assessment:

  • National Title Game: Alabama vs Kansas State – K-State moved ahead of Notre Dame after last week, no real shock there
  • Rose Bowl: still Oregon vs Nebraska, we can agree on that
  • Fiesta and Sugar Bowl lose teams, we get Florida to the Sugar Bowl and Notre Dame to the Fiesta Bowl
  • Fiesta, Sugar, Orange the pecking order … so Notre Dame gets Oregon State, Florida gets Clemson and Florida State plays Louisville.

So the BCS lineup to me should be:

  • Championship: Alabama v Kansas State
  • Rose: Oregon v Nebraska
  • Sugar: Florida v Clemson
  • Fiesta: Notre Dame v Oregon State
  • Orange: Florida State v Louisville

If we go to the National Playoff Model, using the Fiesta and Sugar Bowls as the semifinals:

  • Alabama v Oregon, Kansas State v Notre Dame … for the sake of venue, the former goes to New Orleans, the latter to Glendale
  • Rose Bowl takes Nebraska, but replaces Oregon with Oregon State
  • Orange Bowl as a contracted bowl takes Florida State vs South Carolina
  • Thing that isn’t Champions Bowl takes Florida and Oklahoma
  • Peach Bowl: Clemson vs Georgia
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