2013 College Basketball – 2/5/2013

Well, this week we got the game of the year, with Michigan and Indiana trading haymakers in a classic – though one more for hardcores than for casual fans (since Indiana was not in danger of losing in the final minute or so).  But for the talent on the floor and the level of play, you can’t get much better.   Michigan followed up with a grueling overtime win over Ohio State – as always the lesson is, the Big Ten of 2013 is a bear.  Of course with that comes a change in the power rankings which are faithfully updated (well, semi-regularly), and consequently the 68 team “should” field.  I won’t spend any time pondering the integrity of seeding and regional rules (i.e. not too many teams form one conference in one region etc).  Consider this a pure S-curve of the field.  For automatic bids, I’m going with the best record OR highest ranking in a tie.  I know UConn is not eligible – but I rank them anyway because I am lazy and it is a “should” field.  Anyhoo, here is the bracket.

REGION A: (Top overall seed, #2 seed is 8th ranked team)

  • (1) Duke v (16) NC Central/Charleston Southern
  • (8) Ole Miss v (9) Iowa State
  • (4) Butler v (13) Charlotte/BYU
  • (5) Colorado State v (12) Saint Louis
  • (2) New Mexico v (15) Harvard
  • (7) Wichita State v (10) Wisconsin
  • (3) Syracuse v (14) Davidson
  • (6) Middle Tennessee v (11) UCLA

REGION B: (4th overall seed, #2 seed is 5th ranked)

  • (1) Florida v (16) Montana
  • (8) Connecticut v (9) North Carolina
  • (4) Ohio State v (13) Stephen F Austin
  • (5) UNLV v (12) Oklahoma
  • (2) Kansas v (15) FL Gulf Coast
  • (7) NC State v (10) Colorado
  • (3) Minnesota v (14) North Dakota State
  • (6) Oregon v (11) Kentucky

REGION C: (2nd overall, #2 is 7th)

  • (1) Arizona v (16) Bryant/Southern
  • (8) Memphis v (9) Louisiana Tech
  • (4) Michigan State v (13) Akron
  • (5) Cincinnati v (12) San Diego State
  • (2) Miami-FL v (15) Niagara
  • (7) Oklahoma State v (10) LaSalle
  • (3) Gonzaga v (14) Stony Brook
  • (6) Georgetown v (11) Notre Dame

REGION D: (3rd overall, #2 is 6th)

  • (1) Michigan v (16) Long Beach State
  • (8) Kansas State v (9) VCU
  • (4) Creighton v (13) Bucknell
  • (5) Marquette v (12) Southern Miss
  • (2) Indiana v (15) Northeastern
  • (7) Pittsburgh v (10) Saint Mary’s
  • (3) Louisville v (14) Valparaiso
  • (6) Belmont v (11) Missouri

Quick impressions?

  1. It is an interesting top 4, with Florida getting trampled by Arkansas.  However, with Kansas losing at home Florida does not sag that much here.  Duke still holds the top spot, although their resume does not match the eye test.  Arizona is also one of those.
  2. Belmont as a 6 seed is probably the most lofty weird ranking – but the Pomeroy component of the comparison I think does a lot there.  I don’t expect the committee to regard them or Middle Tennessee quite this kindly.
  3. Of course 2013’s field – the “no great team” claim, is bolstered when one sees the top 2 teams in the standings (Duke and Arizona) and can think of #3 seeds (Syracuse, Louisville) who you’d pick to beat them in a best of 7.
  4. As far as who missed this field?  Baylor, Illinois, Stanford and Maryland.  Baylor gets the last spot in a UConn-free field.  Considering Illinois’ start this is rather amazing.  Maryland’s horrid nonleague schedule hurts them badly here.  Alabama, Indiana State, Arizona State and Massachusetts are even further off.

The conference breakdown

  • ACC (4): Duke, North Carolina, NC State, Miami-FL 
  • SEC (4): Ole Miss, Florida, Kentucky, Missouri
  • Big 12 (5): Iowa State, Oklahoma, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Kansas State
  • Atlantic 10 (5): Butler, Charlotte, Saint Louis, LaSalle, VCU
  • West Coast (3): BYU, Gonzaga, Saint Mary’s
  • Missouri Valley (2): Wichita State, Creighton
  • Big Ten (6): Wisconsin, Ohio State, Minnesota, Michigan State, Michigan, Indiana
  • Big East (8): Syracuse, Connecticut, Cincinnati, Georgetown, Notre Dame, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Louisville
  • Pac 12 (4): UCLA, Colorado, Oregon, Arizona
  • Mountain West (4): Colorado State, New Mexico, UNLV, San Diego State
  • Conference USA (2): Memphis, Southern Miss
  • WAC (1): Louisiana Tech
  • MAC (1): Akron
  • Colonial (1): Northeastern
  • Horizon (1): Valparaiso
  • Ohio Valley (1): Belmont
  • MEAC (1): NC Central
  • Big South (1): Charleston Southern
  • Ivy (1): Harvard
  • Southern (1): Davidson
  • Sun Belt (1): Middle Tennessee
  • Big Sky (1): Montana
  • Southland (1): Stephen F Austin
  • Atlantic Sun (1): FL Gulf Coast
  • Summit (1): North Dakota State
  • Northeast (1): Bryant
  • SWAC (1): Southern
  • MAAC (1): Niagara
  • America East (1): Stony Brook
  • Big West (1): Long Beach State
  • Patriot (1): Bucknell
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s