College Football AHP: Testing with 2012

Last post, I was fishing for survey respondents to help put together some preferences and priorities for a college football ranking system – using a multi-criteria decision-making process.  Put another way, I was trying to figure out a scheme to use b-school mumbo jumbo to rank football teams.  In any event – after a few responses, here is what we know:

A system should

  • Prioritize winning (wins, strength of schedule) over performance (offense, defense – even if those are often better “leading” indicators)
  • Points are the most important measurement of offense and defense, much more than yards or turnovers – though yards should get some priority over turnovers
  • When looking at winning, the record vs good teams is most important, though winning percentage overall has value.

There is some more inside baseball sort of stuff which we’ll cover at some point.  For now, here is how it tested with last year’s data.  (Until BYU plays 2 games there is not enough yet for this year)  Using the pre-bowl numbers:

  1. Notre Dame
  2. Ohio State
  3. Oregon
  4. Alabama
  5. Florida
  6. Kansas State
  7. Stanford
  8. Kent State
  9. Oklahoma
  10. Louisville

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