2014 College Football – Week 7 – The Number of Teams is Not the Only Thing Messy About the Big XII

Another fun week passes with the Mississippi teams flexing their muscles in this SEC West gauntlet.  But much was talked about there – let’s look at the 2nd best conference in the country, the ten team Big XII.  After their big win against Oklahoma, one figured TCU – who was in our Final Four last week – would have an interesting time against Baylor in the back to back.  Indeed, it was interesting, as TCU allowed 28 points in the 4th to let it slip away.  Baylor, who had been strong against a soft slate gets one of the more significant bumps of the week.  This week more mayhem in the conference is on slate, with Kansas State-Oklahoma and TCU-Oklahoma State serving as de facto conference elimination games while Baylor goes to West Virginia for a very dangerous roadie (West Virginia is 4-2, but has played a lot better than that).

As far as the one-man playoff selection committee?

  • The final 4: Mississippi State, Ole Miss, Baylor and Notre Dame.  Last week we noted why more than 2 teams from a conference seems unlikely.  Given that, Baylor is a natural for the 3rd team.  The final spot comes down to Notre Dame v Michigan State v Florida State. Notre Dame has solidly the best resume of the three, although their game at Florida State this week will settle much.
  • Other automatic qualifiers:  Florida State from the ACC, Michigan State from the Big Ten, USC from the Pac 12 (highest ranked of seven one-loss teams), Marshall represents everybody else. This provides eight of the 12 spots.  The other four?  Going down the list, Alabama, Auburn, TCU, Georgia take the other slots.  I suspect a team like Oregon will rise higher as the season goes on, but we’re not there yet.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.
    • Sugar Bowl: Mississippi State v Notre Dame
    • Rose Bowl: Ole Miss v Baylor
    • Orange Bowl: Florida State v Auburn 
    • Cotton Bowl: Alabama v TCU 
    • Peach Bowl: Georgia v Marshall
    • Fiesta Bowl: Michigan State v USC

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Mississippi State 6 0 1 (1) 0.937 (5) 0.969
2 Ole Miss 6 0 0.981 (2) 0.956 (4) 0.969
3 Auburn 5 1 0.917 (4) 1 (1) 0.959
4 Alabama 5 1 0.882 (6) 0.981 (3) 0.932
5 Baylor 6 0 0.85 (7) 0.981 (2) 0.915
6 Notre Dame 6 0 0.937 (3) 0.77 (18) 0.854
7 Georgia 5 1 0.825 (9) 0.864 (6) 0.844
8 TCU 4 1 0.797 (10) 0.818 (11) 0.808
9 Michigan State 5 1 0.79 (14) 0.794 (14) 0.792
10 Florida State 6 0 0.91 (5) 0.664 (34) 0.787
11 Marshall 6 0 0.797 (11) 0.771 (17) 0.784
12 LSU 5 2 0.721 (25) 0.84 (7) 0.78
13 Oklahoma 5 1 0.85 (8) 0.71 (27) 0.78
14 Louisville 5 2 0.695 (29) 0.837 (8) 0.766
15 Texas A&M 5 2 0.763 (18) 0.759 (21) 0.761
16 Clemson 4 2 0.691 (30) 0.826 (10) 0.759
17 USC 4 2 0.74 (21) 0.768 (19) 0.754
18 Nebraska 5 1 0.764 (17) 0.736 (23) 0.75
19 Ohio State 4 1 0.665 (36) 0.83 (9) 0.748
20 Oregon 5 1 0.795 (12) 0.648 (35) 0.722
21 West Virginia 4 2 0.629 (41) 0.788 (15) 0.708
22 Stanford 4 2 0.626 (42) 0.775 (16) 0.701
23 Florida 3 2 0.674 (35) 0.723 (25) 0.698
24 Boise State 4 2 0.695 (28) 0.676 (30) 0.686
25 Arizona 5 1 0.785 (15) 0.581 (48) 0.683
26 Iowa 5 1 0.651 (37) 0.711 (26) 0.681
27 UCLA 4 2 0.69 (31) 0.667 (32) 0.678
28 Virginia Tech 4 2 0.587 (52) 0.767 (20) 0.677
29 Arkansas 3 3 0.543 (60) 0.81 (13) 0.676
30 Kansas State 4 1 0.678 (34) 0.669 (31) 0.674
31 Georgia Tech 5 1 0.733 (24) 0.608 (42) 0.67
32 Arizona State 4 1 0.733 (23) 0.598 (45) 0.666
33 Colorado State 5 1 0.766 (16) 0.56 (50) 0.663
34 Penn State 4 2 0.625 (43) 0.685 (29) 0.655
35 Boston College 4 2 0.568 (56) 0.741 (22) 0.655
36 Duke 5 1 0.744 (20) 0.554 (51) 0.649
37 Wisconsin 4 2 0.572 (55) 0.725 (24) 0.649
38 Miami-FL 4 3 0.602 (48) 0.693 (28) 0.647
39 Pittsburgh 3 3 0.469 (74) 0.812 (12) 0.641
40 East Carolina 5 1 0.749 (19) 0.528 (57) 0.639
41 Minnesota 5 1 0.791 (13) 0.482 (66) 0.637
42 Kentucky 5 1 0.735 (22) 0.529 (56) 0.632
43 Oregon State 4 1 0.721 (26) 0.516 (60) 0.618
44 Arkansas State 4 2 0.62 (45) 0.614 (40) 0.617
45 Rutgers 5 1 0.681 (33) 0.53 (55) 0.605
46 BYU 4 2 0.603 (47) 0.608 (43) 0.605
47 Oklahoma State 5 1 0.714 (27) 0.475 (72) 0.595
48 South Carolina 3 3 0.554 (57) 0.633 (36) 0.593
49 Tennessee 3 3 0.52 (66) 0.666 (33) 0.593
50 UAB 4 2 0.53 (64) 0.618 (38) 0.574
51 Virginia 4 2 0.54 (61) 0.603 (44) 0.571
52 California 4 2 0.644 (39) 0.495 (63) 0.57
53 Georgia Southern 5 2 0.585 (53) 0.548 (52) 0.566
54 Memphis 3 3 0.538 (62) 0.592 (46) 0.565
55 Washington 5 1 0.65 (38) 0.465 (73) 0.558
56 Northwestern 3 3 0.483 (72) 0.614 (39) 0.549
57 Utah State 4 2 0.644 (40) 0.451 (78) 0.548
58 Missouri 4 2 0.604 (46) 0.481 (69) 0.543
59 Temple 4 1 0.554 (59) 0.527 (58) 0.54
60 Utah 4 1 0.685 (32) 0.393 (88) 0.539
61 Maryland 4 2 0.592 (50) 0.481 (68) 0.537
62 Akron 4 2 0.554 (58) 0.514 (61) 0.534
63 UCF 3 2 0.584 (54) 0.458 (75) 0.521
64 NC State 4 3 0.519 (67) 0.517 (59) 0.518
65 Air Force 4 2 0.624 (44) 0.409 (86) 0.516
66 Texas 2 4 0.404 (86) 0.623 (37) 0.514
67 Michigan 3 4 0.398 (88) 0.609 (41) 0.504
68 MTSU 4 3 0.588 (51) 0.418 (83) 0.503
69 Navy 3 4 0.41 (83) 0.586 (47) 0.498
70 Louisiana Tech 3 3 0.531 (63) 0.454 (77) 0.492
71 Rice 3 3 0.524 (65) 0.457 (76) 0.49
72 South Alabama 3 2 0.478 (73) 0.483 (65) 0.481
73 Nevada 3 3 0.488 (71) 0.461 (74) 0.475
74 Northern Illinois 4 2 0.514 (68) 0.43 (80) 0.472
75 Washington State 2 5 0.371 (98) 0.569 (49) 0.47
76 Indiana 3 3 0.454 (77) 0.482 (67) 0.468
77 Western Kentucky 2 3 0.455 (75) 0.477 (70) 0.466
78 North Carolina 2 4 0.379 (95) 0.533 (54) 0.456
79 Central Michigan 4 3 0.496 (69) 0.415 (84) 0.455
80 Houston 3 3 0.392 (91) 0.507 (62) 0.449
81 Syracuse 2 4 0.399 (87) 0.493 (64) 0.446
82 Bowling Green 5 2 0.592 (49) 0.294 (106) 0.443
83 Colorado 2 4 0.342 (104) 0.54 (53) 0.441
84 Iowa State 2 4 0.384 (93) 0.476 (71) 0.43
85 Texas State 3 2 0.411 (82) 0.44 (79) 0.426
86 Fresno State 3 4 0.423 (81) 0.388 (90) 0.405
87 San Jose State 2 3 0.386 (92) 0.422 (82) 0.404
88 Illinois 3 4 0.392 (90) 0.413 (85) 0.403
89 Texas Tech 2 4 0.375 (96) 0.428 (81) 0.402
90 Western Michigan 3 3 0.405 (85) 0.385 (91) 0.395
91 LA-Monroe 3 3 0.454 (76) 0.331 (98) 0.393
92 Toledo 4 3 0.437 (79) 0.335 (97) 0.386
93 Cincinnati 2 3 0.356 (101) 0.403 (87) 0.38
94 San Diego State 3 3 0.444 (78) 0.309 (100) 0.376
95 Purdue 3 4 0.395 (89) 0.344 (95) 0.37
96 Old Dominion 3 4 0.407 (84) 0.305 (101) 0.356
97 FIU 3 4 0.315 (106) 0.392 (89) 0.353
98 Wyoming 3 3 0.494 (70) 0.211 (115) 0.352
99 UTEP 3 3 0.423 (80) 0.266 (110) 0.345
100 LA-Lafayette 2 3 0.38 (94) 0.302 (102) 0.341
101 UTSA 2 4 0.342 (105) 0.3 (104) 0.321
102 Hawaii 2 4 0.285 (110) 0.353 (94) 0.319
103 Buffalo 3 4 0.26 (113) 0.356 (93) 0.308
104 Tulane 2 4 0.291 (109) 0.318 (99) 0.304
105 Kansas 2 4 0.309 (107) 0.296 (105) 0.302
106 Ohio 3 4 0.368 (99) 0.218 (113) 0.293
107 New Mexico 2 4 0.279 (111) 0.284 (108) 0.282
108 Florida Atlantic 2 4 0.373 (97) 0.187 (120) 0.28
109 Tulsa 1 5 0.173 (119) 0.382 (92) 0.278
110 Southern Miss 2 4 0.361 (100) 0.145 (123) 0.253
111 New Mexico State 2 5 0.226 (116) 0.271 (109) 0.249
112 North Texas 2 4 0.26 (112) 0.204 (118) 0.232
113 Wake Forest 2 4 0.349 (103) 0.106 (126) 0.228
114 South Florida 2 4 0.238 (114) 0.202 (119) 0.22
115 Army 2 4 0.222 (117) 0.208 (116) 0.215
116 Miami-OH 1 6 0.122 (124) 0.301 (103) 0.212
117 Vanderbilt 2 5 0.292 (108) 0.108 (125) 0.2
118 Appalachian State 1 5 0.103 (126) 0.291 (107) 0.197
119 UNLV 2 5 0.233 (115) 0.141 (124) 0.187
120 Massachusetts 1 6 0.161 (122) 0.207 (117) 0.184
121 Eastern Michigan 2 4 0.354 (102) 0.008 (128) 0.181
122 Connecticut 1 5 0.133 (123) 0.211 (114) 0.172
123 Idaho 0 6 0 (129) 0.343 (96) 0.171
124 Georgia State 1 5 0.109 (125) 0.221 (112) 0.165
125 Troy 1 5 0.167 (120) 0.152 (121) 0.16
126 Ball State 1 5 0.053 (127) 0.265 (111) 0.159
127 SMU 0 5 0.167 (121) 0.07 (127) 0.119
128 Non FBS 8 91 0.191 (118) 0 (129) 0.096
129 Kent State 0 6 0.031 (128) 0.148 (122) 0.089
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