2014 College Football – One Week Left

First, Happy Thanksgiving.  Clearly it has been a while.  I’ll keep things pithy this time.  Rankings are below.  Anyway, this coming weekend are the conference title games, and it is interesting how things are coming together.  Florida State and Oregon seem to have clear paths to the Final Four by how the committee is thinking.  At the same time, there is very little so far to say Florida State is one of the four best teams in the country (aside from them not losing a game on their not that taxing schedule).  Georgia Tech has better wins.  Georgia Tech is going to pose a real threat next week.  (seriously somebody on social media I follow who called the Paul Johnson era a time of disappointment which shows why I hate Georgia Tech football fans)  Also, the SEC logjam got fixed, enough that both the Big 12 and Big Ten have paths to the national playoff now.  Heck, Arkansas is probably the 2nd best team in the ACC Coastal Division.  Anyway, on to the grading:

  • The final 4: Alabama, Ohio State, Baylor, TCU.  It is amazing that all of the SEC contenders have dropped off, but it is hard to see it another way.  Florida State and Oregon have their individual cases clearly, but neither team have the scalps or have played as consistently well.  After JT Barrett suffered his injury – I saw some talking heads discussing how it could impact Ohio State’s rankings.  Personally, it doesn’t.  You cannot consider injuries to me – the season is the season.
  • Other automatic qualifiers:  Oregon from the Pac 12, Florida State from the ACC, Boise State from “everybody else”.  Michigan State at #5 now gets the other Orange Bowl spot.
  • This leaves just four more spots.  Here, this gets Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Georgia Tech and Wisconsin.  After all the weeks of doing some individual finagling with some subjective criteria – we actually have a clean Top 12 now.  I was not sure how to place the Mississippi schools, but given Georgia Tech played Ole Miss last year, might has well flip flop them.
  • BOWL PROJECTIONS.
    • Sugar Bowl: Auburn v TCU
    • Rose Bowl: Ohio State v Baylor
    • Orange Bowl: Florida State v Michigan State
    • Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss v Wisconsin  
    • Peach Bowl: Georgia Tech v Mississippi State
    • Fiesta Bowl: Oregon v Boise State

Weekly Power Rankings

Rank Team W L RPI Scale DSR Scale TotalRank
1 Alabama 11 1 0.951 (2) 1 (1) 0.976
2 Ohio State 11 1 0.916 (4) 0.899 (6) 0.908
3 Baylor 10 1 0.878 (6) 0.936 (3) 0.907
4 TCU 10 1 0.92 (3) 0.886 (7) 0.903
5 Michigan State 10 2 0.818 (13) 0.945 (2) 0.882
6 Wisconsin 10 2 0.832 (11) 0.912 (5) 0.872
7 Ole Miss 9 3 0.801 (15) 0.917 (4) 0.859
8 Oregon 11 1 0.901 (5) 0.816 (16) 0.858
9 Boise State 10 2 0.867 (7) 0.844 (11) 0.856
10 Florida State 12 0 1 (1) 0.702 (27) 0.851
11 Mississippi State 10 2 0.863 (8) 0.834 (12) 0.848
12 Georgia Tech 10 2 0.846 (10) 0.783 (19) 0.815
13 Georgia 9 3 0.739 (24) 0.861 (9) 0.8
14 Marshall 11 1 0.829 (12) 0.765 (20) 0.797
15 Clemson 9 3 0.775 (18) 0.816 (15) 0.796
16 Louisville 9 3 0.746 (22) 0.823 (14) 0.784
17 Auburn 8 4 0.723 (26) 0.827 (13) 0.775
18 LSU 8 4 0.669 (34) 0.867 (8) 0.768
19 Oklahoma 8 3 0.727 (25) 0.795 (17) 0.761
20 Kansas State 9 2 0.795 (17) 0.701 (28) 0.748
21 Arizona 11 2 0.861 (9) 0.627 (45) 0.744
22 Colorado State 10 2 0.817 (14) 0.653 (38) 0.735
23 UCLA 9 3 0.775 (19) 0.67 (37) 0.722
24 Nebraska 9 3 0.741 (23) 0.686 (31) 0.714
25 Missouri 10 2 0.795 (16) 0.604 (51) 0.7
26 Arizona State 9 3 0.757 (20) 0.64 (41) 0.699
27 Arkansas 6 6 0.531 (58) 0.854 (10) 0.693
28 USC 8 4 0.698 (31) 0.683 (33) 0.69
29 West Virginia 7 5 0.586 (47) 0.788 (18) 0.687
30 BYU 8 4 0.636 (40) 0.719 (22) 0.678
31 East Carolina 8 3 0.668 (36) 0.674 (35) 0.671
32 Cincinnati 8 3 0.703 (28) 0.629 (43) 0.666
33 UCF 8 3 0.653 (39) 0.675 (34) 0.664
34 Georgia Southern 9 3 0.706 (27) 0.61 (48) 0.658
35 Stanford 7 5 0.593 (45) 0.717 (23) 0.655
36 Memphis 9 3 0.699 (30) 0.611 (47) 0.655
37 Louisiana Tech 8 4 0.668 (35) 0.641 (40) 0.654
38 Air Force 8 3 0.703 (29) 0.579 (57) 0.641
39 Minnesota 8 4 0.675 (33) 0.593 (54) 0.634
40 Northern Illinois 10 2 0.757 (21) 0.506 (72) 0.632
41 Boston College 7 5 0.56 (54) 0.703 (26) 0.631
42 Notre Dame 7 5 0.582 (48) 0.672 (36) 0.627
43 Iowa 7 5 0.525 (59) 0.704 (25) 0.614
44 Duke 9 3 0.664 (37) 0.56 (63) 0.612
45 Miami-FL 6 6 0.518 (63) 0.706 (24) 0.612
46 Florida 6 5 0.539 (56) 0.684 (32) 0.611
47 Utah State 9 4 0.687 (32) 0.517 (71) 0.602
48 Texas A&M 7 5 0.595 (44) 0.598 (53) 0.597
49 Western Michigan 8 4 0.601 (43) 0.585 (55) 0.593
50 Virginia Tech 6 6 0.492 (70) 0.69 (30) 0.591
51 Pittsburgh 6 6 0.448 (79) 0.725 (21) 0.587
52 LA-Lafayette 8 4 0.613 (42) 0.56 (62) 0.587
53 Toledo 8 4 0.627 (41) 0.535 (68) 0.581
54 Penn State 6 6 0.466 (76) 0.695 (29) 0.58
55 NC State 7 5 0.573 (51) 0.574 (59) 0.573
56 Houston 7 4 0.503 (67) 0.642 (39) 0.572
57 Utah 8 4 0.663 (38) 0.479 (81) 0.571
58 Tennessee 6 6 0.509 (65) 0.631 (42) 0.57
59 Arkansas State 7 5 0.508 (66) 0.609 (49) 0.559
60 Navy 6 5 0.534 (57) 0.579 (56) 0.556
61 Texas 6 6 0.502 (68) 0.608 (50) 0.555
62 Western Kentucky 7 5 0.578 (49) 0.532 (69) 0.555
63 Appalachian State 7 5 0.473 (74) 0.628 (44) 0.551
64 South Carolina 6 6 0.489 (72) 0.599 (52) 0.544
65 North Carolina 6 6 0.514 (64) 0.567 (61) 0.541
66 Rice 7 5 0.57 (53) 0.5 (74) 0.535
67 Central Michigan 7 5 0.492 (69) 0.573 (60) 0.533
68 Washington 8 5 0.577 (50) 0.488 (79) 0.532
69 Maryland 7 5 0.572 (52) 0.487 (80) 0.53
70 Rutgers 7 5 0.59 (46) 0.453 (87) 0.521
71 San Diego State 7 5 0.524 (61) 0.518 (70) 0.521
72 UTEP 7 5 0.541 (55) 0.494 (76) 0.518
73 Michigan 5 7 0.403 (85) 0.617 (46) 0.51
74 Nevada 6 5 0.52 (62) 0.495 (75) 0.508
75 UAB 6 6 0.449 (78) 0.547 (64) 0.498
76 Texas State 7 5 0.481 (73) 0.504 (73) 0.493
77 Virginia 5 7 0.403 (86) 0.575 (58) 0.489
78 MTSU 6 6 0.473 (75) 0.476 (82) 0.474
79 Northwestern 5 7 0.4 (87) 0.546 (65) 0.473
80 California 5 7 0.404 (84) 0.537 (67) 0.47
81 Illinois 6 6 0.491 (71) 0.447 (90) 0.469
82 South Alabama 6 6 0.448 (80) 0.49 (78) 0.469
83 Bowling Green 7 5 0.525 (60) 0.368 (104) 0.446
84 Ohio 6 6 0.431 (81) 0.425 (93) 0.428
85 Old Dominion 6 6 0.449 (77) 0.404 (98) 0.426
86 Fresno State 5 6 0.427 (82) 0.421 (94) 0.424
87 Kentucky 5 7 0.38 (89) 0.459 (84) 0.419
88 Oregon State 5 7 0.373 (90) 0.452 (88) 0.413
89 Temple 5 6 0.395 (88) 0.417 (95) 0.406
90 Washington State 3 9 0.269 (101) 0.542 (66) 0.406
91 Oklahoma State 5 6 0.424 (83) 0.37 (103) 0.397
92 Texas Tech 4 8 0.324 (93) 0.465 (83) 0.394
93 Buffalo 5 6 0.323 (94) 0.446 (91) 0.385
94 Akron 5 7 0.305 (97) 0.456 (85) 0.381
95 Ball State 5 7 0.335 (91) 0.364 (107) 0.35
96 Tulane 3 8 0.253 (103) 0.439 (92) 0.346
97 Colorado 2 10 0.191 (114) 0.493 (77) 0.342
98 Wyoming 4 8 0.309 (96) 0.375 (100) 0.342
99 LA-Monroe 4 8 0.27 (100) 0.409 (96) 0.34
100 San Jose State 3 8 0.23 (107) 0.449 (89) 0.339
101 Indiana 4 8 0.311 (95) 0.365 (105) 0.338
102 Syracuse 3 9 0.264 (102) 0.404 (97) 0.334
103 New Mexico 4 8 0.326 (92) 0.303 (113) 0.314
104 FIU 4 8 0.225 (109) 0.371 (102) 0.298
105 Purdue 3 9 0.229 (108) 0.355 (109) 0.292
106 South Florida 4 8 0.281 (98) 0.288 (117) 0.284
107 Hawaii 4 8 0.246 (104) 0.308 (111) 0.277
108 Southern Miss 3 9 0.232 (106) 0.307 (112) 0.269
109 UTSA 4 8 0.276 (99) 0.262 (119) 0.269
110 Iowa State 2 9 0.158 (116) 0.372 (101) 0.265
111 Kansas 3 9 0.219 (110) 0.29 (116) 0.254
112 Massachusetts 3 9 0.132 (118) 0.359 (108) 0.245
113 Florida Atlantic 3 9 0.192 (113) 0.297 (115) 0.244
114 North Texas 4 8 0.199 (112) 0.279 (118) 0.239
115 Miami-OH 2 10 0.085 (124) 0.382 (99) 0.233
116 Tulsa 2 10 0.1 (121) 0.364 (106) 0.232
117 Idaho 1 10 0.007 (128) 0.453 (86) 0.23
118 Army 4 7 0.242 (105) 0.216 (124) 0.229
119 Wake Forest 3 9 0.209 (111) 0.248 (121) 0.228
120 Kent State 2 9 0.103 (120) 0.336 (110) 0.219
121 Vanderbilt 3 9 0.187 (115) 0.203 (126) 0.195
122 Troy 3 9 0.158 (117) 0.222 (123) 0.19
123 New Mexico State 2 10 0.069 (126) 0.297 (114) 0.183
124 UNLV 2 11 0.1 (122) 0.261 (120) 0.18
125 Connecticut 2 9 0.117 (119) 0.237 (122) 0.177
126 Georgia State 1 11 0.016 (127) 0.203 (125) 0.11
127 Eastern Michigan 2 10 0.098 (123) 0.066 (127) 0.082
128 Non FBS 8 100 0.08 (125) 0.043 (128) 0.062
129 SMU 0 11 0 (129) 0 (129) 0
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s