Mock Tournament – 2015/16 NCAA Men’s Basketball (results thru March 7)

For the whole season I’ve been fitting Bradley-Terry results, and that still holds.  But another consideration is “HOW” you play – and nothing captures that better in a simple way than Ken Pomeroy (and schedule adjusted also).  Giving them equal weight?  I used the “Bradley-Terry” winning percentage as one scale and KenPom’s pythag ratings as another.  Averaging them, how do things change?  We’ll track this the rest of the way.  Automatics in BOLD

REGION A:

  • (1) Kansas v (16) Florida Gulf Coast/Hampton
  • (8) Notre Dame v (9) Connecticut
  • (4) Arizona v (13) UNC-Wilmington
  • (5) Duke v (12) Stephen F Austin
  • (2) North Carolina v (15) New Mexico State
  • (7) Butler v (10) VCU
  • (3) Miami-FL v (14) UAB
  • (6) Seton Hall v (11) Syracuse

REGION B:

  • (1) Villanova v (16) Texas Southern/Austin Peay
  • (8) Vanderbilt v (9) Gonzaga
  • (4) Kentucky v (13) Akron
  • (5) Iowa v (12) Hawaii
  • (2) Xavier v (15) Green Bay
  • (7) Wisconsin v (10) South Carolina
  • (3) Oregon v (14) Iona
  • (6) Baylor v (11) San Diego State

REGION C:

  • (1) Virginia v (16) Lehigh
  • (8) Cincinnati v (9) Dayton
  • (4) Purdue v (13) South Dakota State
  • (5) California v (12) Yale
  • (2) West Virginia v (15) UNC-Asheville
  • (7) Texas Tech v (10) Saint Joseph’s
  • (3) Indiana v (14) Stony Brook
  • (6) Texas v (11) Colorado/Oregon State

REGION D:

  • (1) Oklahoma v (16) Wagner
  • (8) Saint Mary’s v (9) Providence
  • (4) Utah v (13) Chattanooga
  • (5) Texas A&M v (12) Arkansas-Little Rock
  • (2) Michigan State v (15) Weber State
  • (7) Wichita State v (10) Pittsburgh
  • (3) Iowa State v (14) Northern Iowa
  • (6) Maryland v (11) USC/Michigan

LAST FOUR IN FIELD OF 64: Saint Joseph’s, South Carolina, VCU, Syracuse

LAST FOUR IN FIELD OF 68: Colorado, USC, Michigan, Oregon State

FIRST FOUR OUT: Florida State, Florida, Valparaiso, Tulsa

NEXT FOUR OUT: Houston, Kansas State, Creighton, Georgia Tech

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s