Mock Tournament – 2015/16 NCAA Men’s Basketball (results thru March 10)

For the whole season I’ve been fitting Bradley-Terry results, and that still holds.  But another consideration is “HOW” you play – and nothing captures that better in a simple way than Ken Pomeroy (and schedule adjusted also).  Giving them equal weight?  I used the “Bradley-Terry” winning percentage as one scale and KenPom’s pythag ratings as another.  Averaging them, how do things change?  We’ll track this the rest of the way.  Automatics in BOLD

REGION A:

  • (1) Kansas v (16) Hampton/Fairleigh Dickinson
  • (8) Texas Tech v (9) Saint Mary’s
  • (4) Kentucky v (13) UNC-Wilmington
  • (5) California v (12) Stephen F Austin
  • (2) Michigan State v (15) Green Bay
  • (7) Wichita State v (10) USC
  • (3) Miami-FL v (14) New Mexico State
  • (6) Texas v (11) Colorado

REGION B:

  • (1) Villanova v (16) Austin Peay/Holy Cross
  • (8) Wisconsin v (9) Connecticut
  • (4) Arizona v (13) Akron
  • (5) Baylor v (12) Hawaii
  • (2) North Carolina v (15) Middle Tennessee
  • (7) Notre Dame v (10) South Carolina
  • (3) Oregon v (14) Iona
  • (6) Iowa v (11) VCU/Syracuse

REGION C:

  • (1) Virginia v (16) Texas Southern
  • (8) Cincinnati v (9) Vanderbilt
  • (4) Purdue v (13) South Dakota State
  • (5) Texas A&M v (12) Yale
  • (2) Xavier v (15) UNC-Asheville
  • (7) Butler v (10) Pittsburgh
  • (3) Indiana v (14) Stony Brook
  • (6) Seton Hall v (11) San Diego State

REGION D:

  • (1) Oklahoma v (16) Florida Gulf Coast
  • (8) Providence v (9) Dayton
  • (4) Iowa State v (13) Chattanoooga 
  • (5) Duke v (12) Arkansas-Little Rock
  • (2) West Virginia v (15) Weber State
  • (7) Gonzaga v (10) Saint Joseph’s
  • (3) Utah v (14) Northern Iowa
  • (6) Maryland v (11) Michigan/Oregon State

LAST FOUR IN FIELD OF 64: Pittsburgh, South Carolina, USC, Colorado

LAST FOUR IN FIELD OF 68: VCU, Michigan, Oregon State, Syracuse

FIRST FOUR OUT: Florida, Valparaiso, Tulsa, Houston

NEXT FOUR OUT: Florida State, Kansas State, Creighton, Virginia Tech

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