Mock Tournament – 2015/16 NCAA Men’s Basketball (results thru March 11)

For the whole season I’ve been fitting Bradley-Terry results, and that still holds.  But another consideration is “HOW” you play – and nothing captures that better in a simple way than Ken Pomeroy (and schedule adjusted also).  Giving them equal weight?  I used the “Bradley-Terry” winning percentage as one scale and KenPom’s pythag ratings as another.  Averaging them, how do things change?  We’ll track this the rest of the way.  Automatics in CAPS

REGION A:

  • (1) Kansas v (16) SOUTHERN/FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
  • (8) Wisconsin v (9) Notre Dame
  • (4) Utah v (13) SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
  • (5) SETON HALL v (12) UNC-WILMINGTON
  • (2) OREGON v (15) GREEN BAY
  • (7) Wichita State v (10) Colorado
  • (3) Xavier v (14) MIDDLE TENNESSEE
  • (6) Texas v (11) USC

REGION B:

  • (1) Villanova v (16) AUSTIN PEAY/HOLY CROSS
  • (8) Texas Tech v (9) Saint Mary’s
  • (4) Indiana v (13) CHATTANOOGA
  • (5) Arizona v (12) STEPHEN F AUSTIN
  • (2) West Virginia v (15) Buffalo
  • (7) Connecticut v (10) Pittsburgh
  • (3) Miami-FL v (14) CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
  • (6) Iowa v (11) Michigan/Oregon State

REGION C:

  • (1) Virginia v (16) HAMPTON
  • (8) Providence v (9) Vanderbilt
  • (4) Texas A&M v (13) NORTHERN IOWA
  • (5) Baylor v (12) YALE
  • (2) Oklahoma v (15) UNC-ASHEVILLE
  • (7) Gonzaga v (10) VCU
  • (3) Purdue v (14) IONA
  • (6) Duke v (11) South Carolina/Syracuse

REGION D:

  • (1) NORTH CAROLINA v (16) FLORIDA GULF COAST
  • (8) Saint Joseph’s v (9) Cincinnati
  • (4) Iowa State v (13) FRESNO STATE
  • (5) California v (12) HAWAII
  • (2) Michigan State v (15) WEBER STATE
  • (7) Butler v (10) Dayton
  • (3) Kentucky v (14) STONY BROOK
  • (6) Maryland v (11) AR-Little Rock

LAST FOUR IN FIELD OF 64: Pittsburgh, Michigan, VCU, USC

LAST FOUR IN FIELD OF 68: Colorado, South Carolina, Syracuse, Oregon State

FIRST FOUR OUT: Florida, Valparaiso, Kansas State, Florida State

NEXT FOUR OUT: Creighton, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Washington

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