2016 NCAA Football Standings #3 – (post-Week 5)

Well, the USC-UCLA-Washington gauntlet ended with a thud for Stanford.  After one week at the top, Stanford slips to #7.  While there are other unbeaten teams below them, Stanford’s very tough schedule keeps the loss from being excessively damaging.  Winning the Pac-12 as a one-loss team is still very much on the radar.  Ohio State did nothing wrong to drop from #2 aside from adding Rutgers to their resume (as well as Bowling Green seeming to be really awful).  But Clemson had the best win of the week and with Auburn’s last couple of weeks (and Troy being 4-1) and their schedule actually shapes up quite well.

W L Pts Scale SOS Rank
1 Clemson 5 0 0.5588 1.000 0.5588 6
2 Texas A&M 5 0 0.5030 0.956 0.5030 16
3 Tennessee 5 0 0.4790 0.937 0.4790 21
4 Alabama 5 0 0.4480 0.913 0.4480 35
5 Ohio State 4 0 0.4234 0.894 0.4234 40
6 Western Michigan 5 0 0.4161 0.888 0.4161 43
7 Stanford 3 1 0.4034 0.878 0.6534 2
8 Miami-FL 4 0 0.4016 0.877 0.4016 50
9 Michigan 5 0 0.3754 0.856 0.3754 63
10 Houston 5 0 0.3455 0.833 0.3455 79
11 Nebraska 5 0 0.3426 0.830 0.3426 82
12 West Virginia 4 0 0.3358 0.825 0.3358 85
13 Boise State 4 0 0.3349 0.824 0.3349 86
14 Wisconsin 4 1 0.3262 0.817 0.5262 12
15 North Carolina 4 1 0.2818 0.783 0.4818 20
16 Washington 4 0 0.2800 0.781 0.2800 107
17 Air Force 4 0 0.2710 0.774 0.2710 109
18 Louisville 4 1 0.2582 0.764 0.4582 33
19 Maryland 4 0 0.2400 0.750 0.2400 120
20 Colorado 4 1 0.2267 0.739 0.4267 38
21 Baylor 5 0 0.2070 0.724 0.2070 126
22 Arkansas 4 1 0.2045 0.722 0.4045 47
23 Florida State 3 2 0.1940 0.714 0.5940 3
24 Troy 4 1 0.1777 0.701 0.3777 60
25 Wake Forest 4 1 0.1770 0.700 0.3770 61
26 Florida 4 1 0.1753 0.699 0.3753 64
27 Arizona State 4 1 0.1594 0.687 0.3594 72
28 Oklahoma 2 2 0.1552 0.683 0.6552 1
29 Georgia 3 2 0.1355 0.668 0.5355 10
30 UCLA 3 2 0.1344 0.667 0.5344 11
31 Georgia Southern 3 1 0.1262 0.661 0.3762 62
32 Appalachian State 3 2 0.1250 0.660 0.5250 13
33 Utah 4 1 0.1170 0.653 0.3170 93
34 South Florida 4 1 0.1152 0.652 0.3152 94
35 Tulsa 3 1 0.0992 0.639 0.3492 77
36 Virginia Tech 3 1 0.0931 0.634 0.3431 81
37 Navy 3 1 0.0896 0.632 0.3396 84
38 Ole Miss 3 2 0.0720 0.618 0.4720 25
39 Georgia Tech 3 2 0.0711 0.617 0.4711 26
40 Penn State 3 2 0.0701 0.616 0.4701 28
41 MTSU 4 1 0.0662 0.613 0.2662 111
42 Auburn 3 2 0.0631 0.611 0.4631 31
43 LSU 3 2 0.0581 0.607 0.4581 34
44 NC State 3 1 0.0576 0.607 0.3076 101
45 Eastern Michigan 4 1 0.0482 0.599 0.2482 116
46 Central Michigan 3 2 0.0469 0.598 0.4469 36
47 San Diego State 3 1 0.0374 0.591 0.2874 103
48 Texas Tech 3 1 0.0359 0.590 0.2859 104
49 Southern Miss 4 1 0.0313 0.586 0.2313 122
50 Memphis 3 1 0.0201 0.577 0.2701 110
51 UCF 3 2 0.0185 0.576 0.4185 42
52 Akron 3 2 0.0036 0.564 0.4036 48
53 Toledo 3 1 0.0031 0.564 0.2531 114
54 California 3 2 -0.0072 0.556 0.3928 55
55 USC 2 3 -0.0085 0.555 0.5915 4
56 Pittsburgh 3 2 -0.0165 0.549 0.3835 57
57 Texas State 2 2 -0.0170 0.548 0.4830 19
58 Minnesota 3 1 -0.0198 0.546 0.2302 123
59 Indiana 3 1 -0.0323 0.536 0.2177 125
60 Oklahoma State 3 2 -0.0334 0.535 0.3666 67
61 Old Dominion 3 2 -0.0495 0.523 0.3505 75
62 South Carolina 2 3 -0.0510 0.521 0.5490 9
63 Army 3 1 -0.0528 0.520 0.1972 128
64 Wyoming 3 2 -0.0560 0.518 0.3440 80
65 South Alabama 3 2 -0.0598 0.515 0.3402 83
66 Michigan State 2 2 -0.0660 0.510 0.4340 37
67 Idaho 2 3 -0.0775 0.501 0.5225 14
68 Boston College 3 2 -0.0792 0.499 0.3208 91
69 Western Kentucky 3 2 -0.0863 0.494 0.3137 95
70 Kansas State 2 2 -0.0902 0.491 0.4098 45
71 TCU 3 2 -0.0906 0.490 0.3094 97
72 Cincinnati 3 2 -0.0909 0.490 0.3091 99
73 BYU 2 3 -0.1124 0.473 0.4876 18
74 Texas 2 2 -0.1178 0.469 0.3822 58
75 Rutgers 2 3 -0.1223 0.465 0.4777 22
76 Ohio 3 2 -0.1244 0.464 0.2756 108
77 Vanderbilt 2 3 -0.1260 0.463 0.4740 23
78 Oregon 2 3 -0.1263 0.462 0.4737 24
79 Kentucky 2 3 -0.1290 0.460 0.4710 27
80 Mississippi State 2 2 -0.1362 0.455 0.3638 68
81 East Carolina 2 3 -0.1392 0.452 0.4608 32
82 Arizona 2 2 -0.1407 0.451 0.3593 73
83 Tulane 3 2 -0.1416 0.450 0.2584 113
84 Ball State 3 2 -0.1530 0.441 0.2470 117
85 Syracuse 2 3 -0.1763 0.423 0.4237 39
86 LA-Monroe 1 3 -0.1914 0.411 0.5586 7
87 Utah State 2 3 -0.1926 0.410 0.4074 46
88 Iowa 3 2 -0.2011 0.404 0.1989 127
89 Louisiana Tech 2 3 -0.2061 0.400 0.3939 52
90 Missouri 2 3 -0.2063 0.400 0.3937 53
91 Hawaii 2 3 -0.2085 0.398 0.3915 56
92 Temple 3 2 -0.2086 0.398 0.1914 129
93 Washington State 2 2 -0.2142 0.393 0.2858 105
94 Northwestern 2 3 -0.2191 0.390 0.3809 59
95 Illinois 1 3 -0.2358 0.376 0.5142 15
96 New Mexico State 2 3 -0.2363 0.376 0.3637 69
97 SMU 2 3 -0.2402 0.373 0.3598 70
98 Connecticut 2 3 -0.2404 0.373 0.3596 71
99 Marshall 1 3 -0.2492 0.366 0.5008 17
100 New Mexico 2 2 -0.2503 0.365 0.2497 115
101 Virginia 2 3 -0.2651 0.353 0.3349 87
102 Purdue 2 2 -0.2675 0.352 0.2325 121
103 LA-Lafayette 2 3 -0.2709 0.349 0.3291 88
104 Colorado State 2 3 -0.2745 0.346 0.3255 90
105 UNLV 2 3 -0.2799 0.342 0.3201 92
106 Oregon State 1 3 -0.2815 0.341 0.4685 29
107 Duke 2 3 -0.2938 0.331 0.3062 102
108 Fresno State 1 4 -0.3325 0.301 0.4675 30
109 Nevada 2 3 -0.3372 0.297 0.2628 112
110 Other 10 87 -0.3454 0.290 0.5515 8
111 Kansas 1 3 -0.3530 0.284 0.3970 51
112 Notre Dame 2 3 -0.3597 0.279 0.2403 119
113 North Texas 2 3 -0.3742 0.268 0.2258 124
114 Bowling Green 1 4 -0.3851 0.259 0.4149 44
115 Florida Atlantic 1 4 -0.3976 0.249 0.4024 49
116 UTSA 1 3 -0.4012 0.247 0.3488 78
117 Georgia State 0 4 -0.4257 0.227 0.5743 5
118 Charlotte 1 4 -0.4272 0.226 0.3728 65
119 San Jose State 1 4 -0.4332 0.221 0.3668 66
120 FIU 1 4 -0.4461 0.211 0.3539 74
121 UTEP 1 4 -0.4498 0.208 0.3502 76
122 Northern Illinois 1 4 -0.4726 0.191 0.3274 89
123 Kent State 1 4 -0.4898 0.177 0.3102 96
124 Massachusetts 1 4 -0.4907 0.176 0.3093 98
125 Iowa State 1 4 -0.4920 0.175 0.3080 100
126 Buffalo 1 3 -0.5097 0.161 0.2403 118
127 Rice 0 5 -0.5785 0.108 0.4215 41
128 Arkansas State 0 4 -0.6069 0.085 0.3931 54
129 Miami-OH 0 5 -0.7155 0.000 0.2845 106

To turn these into playoff berths – we look at the six champs:

  • SEC – Texas A&M (2)
  • ACC – Clemson (1)
  • Big 12 – West Virginia (12)
  • Big Ten – Ohio State (5)
  • Pac 12 – Washington (16)
  • Group of Five – Western Michigan (6) (Boise State wins with more true road wins right now)

Now, there are a lot of SEC teams at the top, with Tennessee and Alabama in the top 4.  However, we do expect this to sort out in the future – and we know the committee has taken conference champs very seriously.  The real question is whether the committee would take it seriously if the best credible champ was a Group of Five.  For now let’s give them the benefit of the doubt.  Western Michigan’s three true road wins over Northwestern, Illinois and Central Michigan take the day for now.  Of course, the MAC does not give many chances for this to get better.

  • Peach Bowl  (National Semifinal #1) Clemson v Western Michigan
  • Fiesta Bowl (National Semifinal #2): Texas A&M v Ohio State
  • Sugar Bowl: Tennessee v West Virginia
  • Rose Bowl: Michigan v Washington
  • Orange Bowl: Miami-FL v Alabama
  • Cotton Bowl: Stanford v Nebraska
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